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Mercury vs. Liberty Prediction: New York Predicted to Win Thursday's WNBA Game [6/19/2025]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Our expert prediction for Thursday's Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty matchup.

Phoenix Mercury-New York Liberty Predictions and Game Preview.
Barclays Center sets the stage for the WNBA matchup between the Phoenix Mercury and New York Liberty this Thursday.

The New York Liberty will take on the Phoenix Mercury in WNBA action at Barclays Center on Thursday, beginning at 7:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Liberty as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Phoenix-New York game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Liberty with a win probability of 82% and the Mercury with 18%."

The Liberty, who have the likes of Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu and Jonquel Jones, will face off against the Mercury, whose lineup includes Satou Sabally, Alyssa Thomas and Alexa Held.

For expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Mercury vs. Liberty predictions page.

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Liberty vs. Mercury Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's WNBA matchup between the Mercury and Liberty 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Liberty an 82% chance of beating the Mercury.

According to our model, the Mercury (+11.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 164.5 points has a 56% chance of staying under.

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Mercury vs. Liberty Odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Mercury Liberty
Spread +11.5 (-105) -11.5 (-108)
Moneyline +520 -675
Total o164.5 (-110) u164.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Mercury vs. Liberty Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Mercury vs. Liberty matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best WNBA picks and WNBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Mercury vs. Liberty Player Props

Looking for Phoenix vs. New York WNBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Barclays Center.

Satou Sabally is expected to lead the Mercury with 15 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists, while Breanna Stewart is projected to have 22 points, 8 rebounds and 4 assists for the Liberty.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every WNBA game this season.

Projected Box Scores for Every WNBA Game
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Mercury vs. Liberty Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Thursday's action between the Liberty and Mercury at Barclays Center is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of Thursday's Mercury vs. Liberty matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Phoenix vs. New York picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Liberty, with an 82% win probability, will likely beat the Mercury on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mercury vs. Liberty insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on WNBA

Keep up with the latest WNBA betting news and WNBA parlay picks throughout the season.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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