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Read Article Mercury vs. Wings Prediction: Paige Bueckers Projected to Score 20 Points in Thursday's WNBA Game [7/3/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Thursday's Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings matchup.
The Dallas Wings and Phoenix Mercury will meet in the WNBA at College Park Center on Thursday, starting at 8:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Mercury as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Mercury-Wings game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Mercury with a win probability of 80% and the Wings with 20%."
The Wings, with the likes of Paige Bueckers, JJ Quinerly and Aziaha James, are set to take on the Mercury, featuring Kahleah Copper, Satou Sabally and Alyssa Thomas.
Bueckers, the Wings' No. 1 pick in the 2025 WNBA draft, is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 20 points and 2 threes.
For further insights into Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Mercury vs. Wings predictions page.
Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20BASKETBALL Get Dimers Pro Wings vs. Mercury Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's WNBA matchup between the Mercury and Wings 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Mercury an 80% chance of beating the Wings.
According to our model, the Wings (+11.5) have a 60% chance of covering the spread, while the 165.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of going over.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 12:01AM, Jul 4
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
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Mercury vs. Wings Odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mercury | Wings |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -11.5 (-108) | +11.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -600 | +470 |
| Total | o165.5 (-108) | u165.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Mercury vs. Wings Picks and Best Bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Mercury vs. Wings matchup is on the over/under.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best WNBA picks and WNBA best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Mercury-Wings Pick Get Dimers Pro Mercury vs. Wings Player Props
Betting on Phoenix vs. Dallas WNBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at College Park Center.
Kahleah Copper is expected to lead the Mercury with 20 points, 4 rebounds and 2 assists, while Paige Bueckers is projected to have 20 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists for the Wings.
Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every WNBA game this season.
Projected Box Scores for Every WNBA Game Get Dimers Pro Mercury vs. Wings Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Thursday's action between the Wings and Mercury at College Park Center is scheduled to start at 8:00PM ET.
- Who: Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings
- Date: Thursday, July 3, 2025
- Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: College Park Center
Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Thursday's Mercury vs. Wings matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Mercury vs. Wings picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Mercury, with an 80% win probability, will likely beat the Wings on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mercury vs. Wings insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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