Mercury vs. Sun Prediction: Phoenix Predicted to Win Wednesday's WNBA Matchup [6/18/2025]

The Connecticut Sun and Phoenix Mercury will meet in the WNBA at Mohegan Sun Arena on Wednesday, with tipoff at 7:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Mercury as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Phoenix-UConn game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate the Mercury's chance of winning at 88%, with the Sun at 12%."

The Sun, with stars such as Tina Charles, Marina Mabrey and Jacy Sheldon, will face off against the Mercury, whose lineup includes Satou Sabally, Kahleah Copper and Alexa Held.

For expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Mercury vs. Sun predictions page.

Sun vs. Mercury Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's WNBA game between the Mercury and Sun 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Mercury an 88% chance of beating the Sun.

According to our model, the Sun (+14.5) have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the 157.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of going over.

Mercury vs. Sun Odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Mercury	Sun
Spread	-14.5 (-108)	+14.5 (-110)
Moneyline	-1100	+710
Total	o157.5 (-110)	u157.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Mercury vs. Sun Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Mercury vs. Sun matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best WNBA picks and WNBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Mercury vs. Sun Player Props

WNBA player props are a popular way to wager on Wednesday's Phoenix vs. Connecticut matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Mohegan Sun Arena.

Satou Sabally is expected to lead the Mercury in scoring, while Tina Charles is projected to be the top scorer for the Sun.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every WNBA game this season.

Mercury vs. Sun Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Wednesday's action between the Sun and Mercury at Mohegan Sun Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun
• Date: Wednesday, June 18, 2025
• Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Mohegan Sun Arena

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Wednesday's Mercury vs. Sun matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Phoenix vs. Connecticut picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Mercury, with an 88% win probability, will likely beat the Sun on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mercury vs. Sun insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on WNBA

Stay up-to-date with the latest WNBA news and WNBA parlay picks throughout the season.