Phillies vs. Astros Game 1 Prediction - Oct 28, 2022
Last updated: | Published:The Houston Astros and Philadelphia Phillies clash in Game 1 of the World Series at Minute Maid Park on Friday, starting at 8:03PM ET.
The Astros will send Justin Verlander (1-0, 6.30 ERA) to the mound, pitting him against Aaron Nola (2-1, 3.12 ERA) for the Phillies.
Dimers' free betting picks for Phillies vs. Astros, as well as game predictions and betting odds, are detailed in this article.
Who will win Phillies vs. Astros?
Based on state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Friday's Phillies-Astros MLB game 10,000 times.
Dimers' renowned predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Astros a 60% chance of defeating the Phillies.
More: Phillies vs. Astros Simulated 10,000 Times
Phillies vs. Astros Current Odds
- Run Line: Astros -1.5 (+140), Phillies +1.5 (-155)
- Moneyline: Astros -164, Phillies +143
- Total: Over/Under 6.5 (-120/+100)
Run Line, Moneyline and Over/Under
The Astros are listed as -1.5 favorites against the Phillies, with +140 at Caesars Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
For the underdog Phillies (+1.5) to cover the run line, DraftKings Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -155.
FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Astros at -164, which means you can risk $164 to win $100, for a total payout of $264, if they get the W.
On the other hand, Caesars Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Phillies at +143, where you can put down $100 to profit $143, earning a total payout of $243, if they win.
The Over/Under for total runs scored sits at 6.5 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -120, as well as the best odds for the Under at +100.
As always, check out the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best MLB odds and lines.
According to DimersBOT, the Phillies (+1.5) are a 59% chance of covering the run line, while the Over/Under total of 6.5 runs is a 58% chance of going Over.
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Best Bets for Phillies vs. Astros
- Run Line: Astros -1.5 @ +140 via Caesars Sportsbook
- Moneyline: Phillies @ +143 via Caesars Sportsbook
- Total: Over 6.5 @ -120 via BetMGM (58% probability)
Our best bets are based on world-class modeling and wagering expertise to help you make smarter decisions with your state's legal sportsbooks.
Even though the Phillies are more likely to cover the run line, our best bet of Astros -1.5 is based on the expectation of that happening, according to DimersBOT, and the best odds available.
And while the Astros are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Phillies moneyline is the best option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Dimers is crucial to achieving long-term profitability as a bettor.
Phillies vs. Astros Prediction
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Dimers has full betting coverage of Friday's Phillies-Astros matchup, including pregame predictions, top betting picks, and live win probabilities.
Don't forget, DimersBOT updates regularly, so refresh this article for any changes to our betting insights before Phillies vs. Astros on Friday October 28, 2022.
Phillies vs. Astros 2022 Game Info
Friday's matchup between the Astros and Phillies at Minute Maid Park is scheduled to start at 8:03PM ET.
- Who: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Houston Astros
- Date: Friday October 28, 2022
- Time: 8:03PM ET / 5:03PM PT
- Venue: Minute Maid Park
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What MLB games are on today?
The Phillies and Astros aren't the only two MLB teams you can bet on. DimersBOT never stops and we've got picks and best bets for every single MLB matchup via our MLB Predictions page.
Not only do we provide with you great predictions, but we also have recommended bets for the Run Line, Over/Under and Moneyline. Sound good? Hell yeah it does!
Finally, Dimers' MLB Futures page is our in-house approach to determining who will win the 2022 World Series, with our data-led probabilities matched against the best odds to win the World Series.