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Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire prediction, odds, MLS picks [3/21/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire predictions for MLS Saturday.
Philadelphia will square off with Chicago in MLS action at Subaru Park on Saturday, beginning at 4:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven MLS model projects Philadelphia as the most likely winner of the Philadelphia vs. Chicago game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's MLS game between Philadelphia and Chicago 10,000 times as part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 50.8% chance of Philadelphia winning, a 25.0% chance for Chicago, and a 24.2% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 53% chance of going over, according to our model.
Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire odds
We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Philadelphia | Chicago | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +130 | +210 | +230 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -132 | +108 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Philadelphia | +130 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +108 |
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Philadelphia to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire: Correct score predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| PHI 1-1 CHI | 11.4% |
| PHI 1-0 CHI | 10.3% |
| PHI 2-1 CHI | 9.6% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between Philadelphia and Chicago in MLS at Subaru Park is scheduled to start at 4:30 PM ET.
- Who: Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire
- Date: Saturday, March 21, 2026
- Time: 4:30 PM ET/1:30PM PT
- Venue: Subaru Park
World Cup 2026 watch: Quinn Sullivan (USA)
Philadelphia attacking midfielder Quinn Sullivan is a key name to follow for USMNT fans this season as interest ramps up in the lead up to the FIFA World Cup 2026—a tournament already sparking heavy demand for World Cup predictions and early debates about who will win the World Cup. With the United States drawn against Australia, Paraguay, and the UEFA Playoff C winner in Group D next year, Sullivan's MLS form will be tracked closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Philadelphia has a 50.8% win probability on Saturday, Chicago has a 25.0% win probability, and there is a 24.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Philadelphia vs. Chicago insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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