Jul 22, 2026
LA Galaxy vs. St Louis City prediction, odds, MLS picks [7/22/2026]
Read Article Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake prediction, odds, MLS picks [7/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Los Angeles FC vs Real Salt Lake predictions for MLS Wednesday.
LAFC will square off with Salt Lake in MLS action at BMO Stadium on Wednesday, starting at 10:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLS model projects LAFC as the most likely winner of the LAFC vs. Salt Lake game.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's MLS game between LAFC and Salt Lake, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently suggests a 56.6% chance of LAFC winning, a 21.6% chance for Salt Lake, and a 21.8% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 59.7% chance of going over, according to our model.
Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake odds
We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| LAFC | Salt Lake | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -140 | +370 | +320 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -200 | +150 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Salt Lake @ +370 via DraftKings
- Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +150 via Bet365
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: Correct score predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| LAF 1-1 RSL | 10.1% |
| LAF 2-1 RSL | 9.9% |
| LAF 1-0 RSL | 8.9% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's action between LAFC and Salt Lake in MLS at BMO Stadium is scheduled to begin at 10:30 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake
- Date: Wednesday, July 22, 2026
- Time: 10:30 PM ET/7:30PM PT
- Venue: BMO Stadium
Conclusion
According to our computer model, LAFC has a 56.6% win probability on Wednesday, Salt Lake has a 21.6% win probability, and there is a 21.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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