NY Red Bulls vs. Philadelphia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the NY Red Bulls vs. Philadelphia MLS match on July 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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NY Red Bulls
1
3
Subaru Park
Philadelphia
Subaru Park
PhiladelphiaPHI
Score Summary
NY Red BullsNY
M. Iloski (9')
Soccer ball icon
I. Vassilev (57')
Soccer ball icon
N. Pierre (66')
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C. Cowell (38')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Philadelphia
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • NY Red Bulls
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 88'
    Yellow Card
    G. Berggren (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
  2. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: E. Alladoh replaces M. Iloski
  3. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Bueno replaces C. Sullivan
  4. 85'
    Yellow Card
    O. Valencia (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
  5. 77'
    Yellow Card
    R. Donkor (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
  6. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: G. Berggren replaces E. Forsberg
  7. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: M. Sofo replaces C. Cowell
  8. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: J. Bazan replaces J. Marshall-Rutty
  9. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: Q. Sullivan replaces I. Vassilev
  10. 66'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by N. Pierre, assisted by K. Wagner
    1-3
  11. 57'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by I. Vassilev, assisted by F. Westfield
    1-2
  12. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: N. Pierre replaces J. Sery Larsen
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: O. Valencia replaces M. Dos Santos
  14. 38'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by C. Cowell, assisted by E. Forsberg
    1-1
  15. 9'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by M. Iloski
    0-1

NY Red Bulls vs. Philadelphia: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: NY Red Bulls vs. Philadelphia
  • Date: Wednesday, July 22, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Subaru Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: NY Red Bulls +325, Philadelphia -135, draw +333
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-250/+188)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • NY Red Bulls: 23.0%
  • Philadelphia: 56.2%
  • Draw: 20.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: NY Red Bulls 1-2 Philadelphia (9.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win NY Red Bulls vs. Philadelphia? Prediction & correct score

Philadelphia is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 56.2%.

The most likely correct score is NY Red Bulls 1-2 Philadelphia.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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