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Read Article New England Revolution vs. Toronto FC prediction, odds, MLS picks [7/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get New England Revolution vs Toronto FC predictions for MLS Wednesday.
New England will face Toronto in MLS action at Gillette Stadium on Wednesday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLS model predicts New England as the most likely winner of the New England vs. Toronto game.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
New England Revolution vs. Toronto FC prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's MLS game between New England and Toronto, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model indicates a 55.2% chance of New England winning, a 22.0% chance for Toronto, and a 22.8% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 55.6% chance of going over, according to our model.
New England Revolution vs. Toronto FC odds
We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| New England | Toronto | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -110 | +300 | +280 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -135 | +108 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
New England Revolution vs. Toronto FC picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: New England @ -110 via ESPN BET
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -135 via DraftKings
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is New England to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
New England Revolution vs. Toronto FC: Correct score predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| NER 1-1 TFC | 10.8% |
| NER 1-0 TFC | 10% |
| NER 2-1 TFC | 9.9% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
New England Revolution vs. Toronto FC game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's game between New England and Toronto in MLS at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: New England Revolution vs. Toronto FC
- Date: Wednesday, July 22, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Gillette Stadium
Conclusion
According to our computer model, New England has a 55.2% win probability on Wednesday, Toronto has a 22.0% win probability, and there is a 22.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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