Toronto vs. New England Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Toronto vs. New England MLS match on July 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Toronto
0
:
0
Gillette Stadium
New England
Gillette Stadium
New EnglandNE
Score Summary
TorontoTOR
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • New England
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Toronto
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    B. Raines (New England Revolution) cautioned
  2. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: J. Yueill replaces A. Yusuf
  3. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: B. Ceballos replaces E. Kohler
  4. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: L. Langoni replaces M. Polster
  5. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: W. Harris replaces D. Turgeman
  6. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: Z. Monlouis replaces R. Chukwu
  7. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: M. Henry replaces D. Kerr
  8. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: T. Corbeanu replaces J. Vilsaint
  9. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: M. Zambrano replaces G. Yow
  10. 56'
    Yellow Card
    M. Polster (New England Revolution) cautioned
  11. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: J. Sargent replaces E. Aristizabal

Toronto vs. New England: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Toronto vs. New England
  • Date: Wednesday, July 22, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Gillette Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Toronto +300, New England -110, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-135/+108)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Toronto: 22.0%
  • New England: 55.2%
  • Draw: 22.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Toronto 1-1 New England (10.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Toronto vs. New England? Prediction & correct score

New England is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 55.2%.

The most likely correct score is Toronto 1-1 New England.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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