Chicago vs. Philadelphia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Chicago vs. Philadelphia MLS match on March 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Chicago
2
1
Mar 21, 4:30 PM ET Subaru Park
Philadelphia
Mar 21, 4:30 PM ET Subaru Park
PhiladelphiaPHI
Score Summary
ChicagoCHI
M. Iloski (45')
Soccer ball icon
H. Cuypers (45')
Soccer ball icon
J. Bamba (58')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Philadelphia
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Chicago
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Shokalook replaces R. Lod
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Dean replaces J. Bamba
87'
Yellow Card
V. Radojevic (Chicago Fire) cautioned
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: B. Bender replaces P. Ndinga
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Rafanello replaces D. Jean Jacques
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: M. Jakupovic replaces C. Sullivan
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: I. Vassilev replaces A. Bedoya
58'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by J. Bamba
2-1
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Lukic replaces J. Bueno
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: V. Radojevic replaces A. Gutman
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by H. Cuypers, assisted by A. Gutman
1-0
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by M. Iloski
1-1
37'
Yellow Card
P. Ndinga (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
31'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Haile-Selassie replaces P. Zinckernagel
23'
Yellow Card
D. D'Avilla (Chicago Fire) cautioned
8'
Yellow Card
R. Lod (Chicago Fire) cautioned

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Chicago vs. Philadelphia: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Chicago vs. Philadelphia
  • Date: Saturday, March 21, 2026
  • Time: 4:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Subaru Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Chicago +185, Philadelphia +160, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-115/+100)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Chicago: 26.9%
  • Philadelphia: 48.5%
  • Draw: 24.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Chicago 1-1 Philadelphia (11.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Chicago vs. Philadelphia? Prediction & correct score

Philadelphia is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 48.5%.

The most likely correct score is Chicago 1-1 Philadelphia.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Chicago vs. Philadelphia, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.