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Chicago vs. Philadelphia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Chicago vs. Philadelphia at the MLS on March 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Chicago
2
1
Mar 21, 8:30PM Subaru Park
Philadelphia
Mar 21, 8:30PM Subaru Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
PhiladelphiaPHI
Score Summary
ChicagoCHI
M. Iloski (45')
Soccer ball icon
H. Cuypers (45')
Soccer ball icon
J. Bamba (58')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
PHI
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
CHI
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Shokalook replaces R. Lod
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Dean replaces J. Bamba
87'
Yellow Card
V. Radojevic (Chicago Fire) cautioned
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: B. Bender replaces P. Ndinga
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Rafanello replaces D. Jean Jacques
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: M. Jakupovic replaces C. Sullivan
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: I. Vassilev replaces A. Bedoya
58'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by J. Bamba
2-1
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Lukic replaces J. Bueno
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: V. Radojevic replaces A. Gutman
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by H. Cuypers, assisted by A. Gutman
1-0
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by M. Iloski
1-1
37'
Yellow Card
P. Ndinga (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
31'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Haile-Selassie replaces P. Zinckernagel
23'
Yellow Card
D. D'Avilla (Chicago Fire) cautioned
8'
Yellow Card
R. Lod (Chicago Fire) cautioned

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Chicago vs. Philadelphia: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Chicago vs. Philadelphia prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Chicago vs. Philadelphia
  • Date: Saturday, March 21, 2026
  • Time: 4:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Subaru Park
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Chicago +185, Philadelphia +160, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-115/+100)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Chicago: 26.9%
  • Philadelphia: 48.5%
  • Draw: 24.5%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Chicago 1-1 Philadelphia, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Chicago is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 26.9% probability, while Philadelphia sits at 48.5%, with the draw at 24.5%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Chicago vs. Philadelphia prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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