PGA Golf Best Bets: Our Valspar Championship Winner Picks and Predictions

THE PLAYERS delivered a crushing blow to DimersBOT's best outright picks last weekend. Our +5000 Wyndham Clark and +2200 Xander Schauffele were in lock-step for the lead on Day 4. And then, Scottie learned how to putt.

Scottie Scheffler stole the show and avoided a playoff with Clark who lipped out a 20-footer on 18 to settle for a T2. Onward and upward, and at least Scottie can't beat us this week.

Our predictive analytics model has run 1000s of simulations for the Valspar Championship, identifying value bets in the winner and placement markets. We're heading to Palm Harbor in Florida with an $8.4 million purseup for grabs.

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Valspar Championship Golf Betting Preview

Our best bets are here to help with outright winner plays, as well as recommended Top-5, Top-10 and Top-20 picks.

Also, make sure you visit Dimers all golf season long, where we'll be feeding you our trusted PGA best betson a weekly basis. These PGA predictions are sourced from our powerful predictive analytics modelthat pulled off some big wins in 2023 and has already returned an 80-1 winner with Wyndham Clark in 2024.

Betting on these tournaments is a great way to take advantage of weekly promotions from the sportsbooks, especially at Fanatics, where you can earn a $100 bet match each day of the tournament and beyond, up to $1,000 total. Claim this offer here or via the card below!

Who Will Win the 2024 Valspar Championship?

Here are the five most likely winners of this week's Valspar Championship, the result of simulating the tournament 10,000 times via our A.I. models: 

At 7,340 yards and a Par 71, the Cooperhead Course at Innisbrook is famous for its surrounding tree line that makes it feel like you're more in the middle of a forest than at a golf course in Florida. It has a unique offering of five par 4s and four par 5s that prove critical to golfers chipping away at their scores.

For access to every probabilities and projection beyond the Top 5 in each category, hit the Dimers Pro button below:

Dimers' Top-Ranked Golfers at the Valspar Championship

MORE: Dimer Pro's In-House Golf Rankings

2024 Valspar Championship Best Bets

Xander Schauffele to Win (+800on BetMGM)

We are going right back to the well with the top-ranked golfer in this tournament, Xander Schauffele. As mentioned up above, we had Xander pegged as a +2200 winner at THE PLAYERS and he nearly did so, but it wasn't meant to be, settling for a T2.

He's done a lot of settling this year, with five finished of T10 or better, with three inside a T5. He's third in Stroked Gained overall and 8th off the tee, which will be key in these tight windows at Copperhead. He's our model's favorite to win at a 16.5% probability, which his +800 odds implying just 11.1%

Placement Value: Schauffele gets an edge in his odds to finish Top 5 (+180) and top 10 (-105) as well.

Brian Harman to Win (+2200 on FanDuel)

Next up is a guy who narrowly stole victory from everyone at THE PLAYERS, and that's Brian Harman, who happens to be DimersBOT's 13th-ranked golfer and third-highest in this field.

Harman has flirted with victory a few times this season; his recent T2 as well as starting the year with a T5 at The Sentry. He's got two T20 finishes as well and with many of the top golfers out this week, his path to victory is clear.

At 5.4% to win, his probability isn't going to blow the doors off, but it means he should be closer to +1700 according to our model, giving us +500 in value.

Andrew Putnam to Win (+8000 on BetMGM)

Now for a longshot with a big-time edge. DimersBOT nailed one +8000 winner this year, so why not another?

Andrew Putnam draws a 2.3% probability to win the Valspar Championship. While that sounds small, and it is, it's just a half percent less than our fifth-most likely winner, Justin Thomas at 2.8%. Yet Thomas is priced at just +1400, while you can get Putnam at +8000. We say Putnam shouldn't be any longer than +4100, meaning we get nearly double the odds.

He's got a T8 and a T10 this year and you can do much worse on a dart throw play.

Bud Cauley Top 20 (+500 on DraftKings)

Outside of our winner picks, we have a longer plus-money odds play in the Top 20 market.

It's Bud Cauley, whose 22.6% probability to grab a Top-20 or better from our model says he should be closer to +350. He's played in just two events this year, finished 65 at the WM Phoenix Open and T21 at the Cognizant Classic two weeks ago.

These aren't the only value plays on the board, but our selected ones based on our model's recommendations. With Dimers Pro, you can check out our full predictions for the Valspar Championship to find your favorite plays, with plenty more edges to be found!

Build Round Robins, Top 20 parlays and get round-by-round updates each day with Dimers Pro.

Dimers' Expert Golf Picks and Predictions

As well as being your best source for PGA golf predictions, Dimers also has the latest golf news, golf predictionsfor every game, weekly golf rankings, and golf matchup H2H tool.

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