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PGA Golf Best Bets: Our Valspar Championship Winner Picks and Predictions

PGA Golf Best Bets: Our Valspar Championship Winner Picks and Predictions

THE PLAYERS delivered a crushing blow to DimersBOT's best outright picks last weekend. Our +5000 Wyndham Clark and +2200 Xander Schauffele were in lock-step for the lead on Day 4. And then, Scottie learned how to putt.

Scottie Scheffler stole the show and avoided a playoff with Clark who lipped out a 20-footer on 18 to settle for a T2. Onward and upward, and at least Scottie can't beat us this week.

Our predictive analytics model has run 1000s of simulations for the Valspar Championship, identifying value bets in the winner and placement markets. We're heading to Palm Harbor in Florida with an $8.4 million purseup for grabs.

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Valspar Championship Golf Betting Preview

Our best bets are here to help with outright winner plays, as well as recommended Top-5, Top-10 and Top-20 picks.

Also, make sure you visit Dimers all golf season long, where we'll be feeding you our trusted PGA best betson a weekly basis. These PGA predictions are sourced from our powerful predictive analytics modelthat pulled off some big wins in 2023 and has already returned an 80-1 winner with Wyndham Clark in 2024.

Betting on these tournaments is a great way to take advantage of weekly promotions from the sportsbooks, especially at Fanatics, where you can earn a $100 bet match each day of the tournament and beyond, up to $1,000 total. Claim this offer here or via the card below!


Who Will Win the 2024 Valspar Championship?

Here are the five most likely winners of this week's Valspar Championship, the result of simulating the tournament 10,000 times via our A.I. models: 

GOLFER
WIN
TOP 5
TOP 10
Xander Schauffele16.5%42.1%
56.4%
Sam Burns6.1%21.8%
34.7%
Brian Harman5.4%20.0%
32.5%
Jordan Spieth4,2%15.8%
27.1%
Justin Thomas2.8%
13.9%
24.6%


At 7,340 yards and a Par 71, the Cooperhead Course at Innisbrook is famous for its surrounding tree line that makes it feel like you're more in the middle of a forest than at a golf course in Florida. It has a unique offering of five par 4s and four par 5s that prove critical to golfers chipping away at their scores.

For access to every probabilities and projection beyond the Top 5 in each category, hit the Dimers Pro button below:


Dimers' Top-Ranked Golfers at the Valspar Championship

GOLFER
Dimers Rank
OWGR
Xander Schauffele#2
#5
Sam Burns#11
#19
Brian Harman#13
#8
Jordan Spieth#22
#16
Justin Thomas#26
#28


MORE: Dimer Pro's In-House Golf Rankings

2024 Valspar Championship Best Bets

Xander Schauffele to Win (+800on BetMGM)

We are going right back to the well with the top-ranked golfer in this tournament, Xander Schauffele. As mentioned up above, we had Xander pegged as a +2200 winner at THE PLAYERS and he nearly did so, but it wasn't meant to be, settling for a T2.

He's done a lot of settling this year, with five finished of T10 or better, with three inside a T5. He's third in Stroked Gained overall and 8th off the tee, which will be key in these tight windows at Copperhead. He's our model's favorite to win at a 16.5% probability, which his +800 odds implying just 11.1%

Placement Value: Schauffele gets an edge in his odds to finish Top 5 (+180) and top 10 (-105) as well.

 

Brian Harman to Win (+2200 on FanDuel)

Next up is a guy who narrowly stole victory from everyone at THE PLAYERS, and that's Brian Harman, who happens to be DimersBOT's 13th-ranked golfer and third-highest in this field.

Harman has flirted with victory a few times this season; his recent T2 as well as starting the year with a T5 at The Sentry. He's got two T20 finishes as well and with many of the top golfers out this week, his path to victory is clear.

At 5.4% to win, his probability isn't going to blow the doors off, but it means he should be closer to +1700 according to our model, giving us +500 in value.

 

Andrew Putnam to Win (+8000 on BetMGM)

Now for a longshot with a big-time edge. DimersBOT nailed one +8000 winner this year, so why not another?

Andrew Putnam draws a 2.3% probability to win the Valspar Championship. While that sounds small, and it is, it's just a half percent less than our fifth-most likely winner, Justin Thomas at 2.8%. Yet Thomas is priced at just +1400, while you can get Putnam at +8000. We say Putnam shouldn't be any longer than +4100, meaning we get nearly double the odds.

He's got a T8 and a T10 this year and you can do much worse on a dart throw play.

 

Bud Cauley Top 20 (+500 on DraftKings)

Outside of our winner picks, we have a longer plus-money odds play in the Top 20 market.

It's Bud Cauley, whose 22.6% probability to grab a Top-20 or better from our model says he should be closer to +350. He's played in just two events this year, finished 65 at the WM Phoenix Open and T21 at the Cognizant Classic two weeks ago.

 

These aren't the only value plays on the board, but our selected ones based on our model's recommendations. With Dimers Pro, you can check out our full predictions for the Valspar Championship to find your favorite plays, with plenty more edges to be found!

Build Round Robins, Top 20 parlays and get round-by-round updates each day with Dimers Pro.


Dimers' Expert Golf Picks and Predictions

As well as being your best source for PGA golf predictions, Dimers also has the latest golf news, golf predictionsfor every game, weekly golf rankings, and golf matchup H2H tool.

Can I bet on golf with Dimers?

No. There’s no golf bet slip on our site because we don’t take any golf bets ourselves. We’re the friend who gives you the best golf picks and predictions then tells you where and how to get the best golf sign up offers at the sportsbooks, so you can throw your golf bets down. That’s it!

When you click on one of our buttons or links in our golf content, you’re whisked away to DraftKings, BetMGM, FanDuel, or one of the many other sportsbooks we work with.

Once you get there, you can join up to score a welcome bonus (up to $200!), and then get those golf bets down for yourself, but you’re betting on the golf with them, not us. Since you are never betting anything directly with us, we don’t have access to your personal information or sensitive financial info like credit card numbers.

It also means that despite our best efforts to confirm that a sports betting site still has that awesome golf sign up offer available, the best ones often disappear just as quickly as they appeared. We always take these offers down once we know they’re no longer available. We take our responsibility to provide up to date golf information very seriously.

Finally, Responsible Gambling is extremely important to us, so please remember that golf betting should be seen as a form of entertainment - adding to your enjoyment while watching from the course of the couch - not a side hustle or second income stream.

If Dimers doesn't take golf bets, then how do you make money?

Whenever you join a sportsbook mentioned in our golf picks and predictions across the website, or use one of our promo codes, we get a small commission for referring you. Don’t worry, though, this doesn’t affect you in any way at all. That’s a fee the sportsbook pays us as a thank-you for sending another golf bettor their way.

We’re always happy to help our readers troubleshoot any problems. Start with our About Us or Contact Us and if that doesn’t work for you, then you can always send us an email at contact@dimers.com. We’ll do our best to help you figure it out.

Dimers and golf betting

  • Dimers, and online sports betting, are not scams – golf betting has been legal since May 2018.
  • We give you the best golf picks and predictions, and tell you where to find the best sign up offers, but you don’t actually bet on golf with us.
  • We do not collect sportsbook sign up or credit card information.
  • We get a commission if you join a sportsbook through our golf content, buttons or links.
  • We’re always happy to help you troubleshoot any issues. Just ask!

Dimers and Responsible Gambling

Remember to please gamble responsibly. If you sense that you're taking your luck too far, know when to call it quits and don't be afraid to seek assistance. Keep in mind that gambling is all about having a fantastic experience! If you or someone you know is grappling with gambling issues, reach out to 1-800-GAMBLER for crisis counseling and support.

Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for MLB and NFL, uses his deep knowledge to craft game previews for the NBA, MLB, and NFL. He also brings his expertise to the golf world with tournament previews and parlays for the PGA TOUR and major golf tournaments. Additionally, Dave offers valuable props for NBA, MLB, NHL, and NCAAM basketball, along with best bets for MLB, NHL, and NCAAM. 

When not delving into the world of sports, Dave is an avid advocate for New Haven pizza, enjoys reading comic books, gardening, and spending time with his cats. His broad interests and detailed sports insights ensure that his contributions are both engaging and informative.

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