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Penn State vs. Indiana prediction: Why Indiana is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [12/9/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Penn State vs Indiana predictions for college basketball Tuesday.
Indiana will square off with Penn State in men's college basketball action at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall on Tuesday, commencing at 8:30PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Indiana as the most likely winner of the Penn State vs. Indiana game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Penn State vs. Indiana prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NCAA basketball matchup between Penn State and Indiana 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Indiana a 92% chance of beating Penn State. Our predicted final score has Indiana winning 84-68.
According to our model, Indiana (-15.5) has a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 154.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Penn State vs. Indiana odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Penn State | Indiana |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +15.5 (-106) | -15.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +900 | -1600 |
| Total | o154.5 (-110) | u154.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Penn State vs. Indiana picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Indiana -15.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Penn State | +900 |
| Total | Under 154.5 | -105 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 154.5 total points.
Penn State vs. Indiana game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's men's college basketball game between Indiana and Penn State at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall is scheduled to commence at 8:30PM ET.
- Who: Penn State vs. Indiana
- Date: Tuesday, December 9, 2025
- Time: 8:30PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall
Conclusion
We predict Indiana, with a 92% win probability, will likely beat Penn State on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Penn State vs. Indiana insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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