Penguins vs. Lightning Predictions and Odds - Mar 3, 2022

The Tampa Bay Lightning take on the Pittsburgh Penguins in NHL action at Amalie Arena on Thursday, beginning at 7:00PM EST.

Dimers' best betting picks for Penguins vs. Lightning, plus game predictions, best odds and player props, are featured in this article.

Who will win Penguins vs. Lightning?

Based on advanced computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Thursday's Penguins-Lightning NHL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' famous predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Lightning a 59% chance of defeating the Penguins.

MORE: Penguins vs. Lightning Simulated 10,000 Times

Puck Line, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Lightning are currently -1.5 favorites versus the Penguins, with +145 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Penguins (+1.5) to cover the puck line, BetMGM has the best odds currently on offer at -165.

Caesars Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lightning at -169, which means you can risk $169 to win $100, for a total payout of $269, if they get the W.

On the other hand, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Penguins at +150, where you can bet $100 to profit $150, earning a total payout of $250, if they win.

The Over/Under is set at 6 with Caesars Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, while BetMGM currently has the best odds for the Under at -105.

As always, check out all the sportsbooks that are available in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Penguins (+1.5) are a 63% chance of covering the puck line, while the Over/Under total of 6 goals is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

MORE: Predictions for Every NHL Game

Best Bets for Penguins vs. Lightning

• Puck Line: Penguins +1.5 at -165 with BetMGM (63% probability)
• Moneyline: Penguins at +150 with DraftKings Sportsbook (0.8% edge)
• Over/Under: Under 6 at -105 with BetMGM (50% probability)

Dimers' best bets are based on complex simulations and betting intelligence to serve you the best possible plays every time.

While the Lightning are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Penguins moneyline is the best option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Dimers is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.

Penguins vs. Lightning Betting Guide

Use our dynamic widget below to explore the latest Moneyline, Over/Under and Puck Line probabilities and odds for Pittsburgh vs. Tampa Bay, and click or tap on See Matchup for more.

Dimers has full coverage of Thursday's Penguins-Lightning matchup, including pre-game predictions, free betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Penguins vs. Lightning Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Penguins vs. Lightning? The data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Penguins and Lightning.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop picks for Thursday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Tampa Bay's Steven Stamkos is most likely to score the first goal in Penguins vs. Lightning.

DimersBOT gives Stamkos an 8.4% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star is a 36.8% chance of registering an anytime goal.

Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Prediction

Pittsburgh Penguins

• Bryan Rust: 6.4% probability
• Sidney Crosby: 6.3% probability
• Jake Guentzel: 5.3% probability
• Evgeni Malkin: 4.7% probability
• Jeff Carter: 3.6% probability

Tampa Bay Lightning

• Steven Stamkos: 8.4% probability
• Nikita Kucherov: 6.9% probability
• Brayden Point: 6.4% probability
• Alex Killorn: 4.9% probability
• Ross Colton: 4.2% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Prediction

Pittsburgh Penguins

• Bryan Rust: 33.3% probability
• Sidney Crosby: 32.0% probability
• Jake Guentzel: 30.2% probability
• Evgeni Malkin: 26.3% probability
• Jeff Carter: 20.4% probability

Tampa Bay Lightning

• Steven Stamkos: 36.8% probability
• Nikita Kucherov: 36.0% probability
• Brayden Point: 32.2% probability
• Alex Killorn: 24.8% probability
• Ross Colton: 22.2% probability

Remember, DimersBOT updates regularly, so check this page for the latest betting analysis before Penguins vs. Lightning on Thursday March 3, 2022.

Penguins-Lightning $10 Live Free Bet Promo

Free bet alert! New and current BetMGM customers can get a $10 Free Bet to use on any sport when they place a $50+ live bet on Pittsburgh vs. Tampa Bay this Thursday.

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Note: when you click or tap on a link on Dimers that leads to a third-party website that we have a commercial arrangement with (such as a sportsbook), we may earn a referral fee.

Penguins vs. Lightning 2022 Game Info

When do the Lightning play the Penguins?

• Date: Thursday March 3, 2022
• Time: 7:00PM EST / 4:00PM PST
• Venue: Amalie Arena

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What NHL games are on tonight?

Now you've got the 411 on Penguins vs. Lightning, see the latest betting coverage for all upcoming NHL games in Dimers' NHL Bet Hub. There you can find probabilities and odds, as well as our best bets for every single NHL matchup.

Want a pick for the Puck Line? You got it. How about the Over/Under? Yup, got that too. The Moneyline? Yes sir. And these picks are good, I mean REALLY good. Take a look now!