Patriots vs. Falcons Projected Player Stats - Nov 18, 2021

Who will score the first touchdown in Patriots vs. Falcons on Thursday? The data is in.

The Atlanta Falcons and New England Patriots lock horns in Week 11 of the NFL season at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Dimers has simulated Patriots vs. Falcons 10,000 times to determine the most likely outcomes and help you find the best prop bets for Thursday's game.

This article features the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Patriots and Falcons, as well as projected player stats – and it's all free.

According to Dimers.com's renowned predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, Rhamondre Stevenson is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Patriots vs. Falcons on Thursday.

DimersBOT gives Stevenson a 9.3% chance of scoring the first TD at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the Patriots RB is a 39.7% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.

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MORE: Patriots vs. Falcons predicted final score and best bets

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

New England Patriots

• Rhamondre Stevenson: 9.3% probability
• Damien Harris: 8.9% probability
• Hunter Henry: 6.7% probability
• Jakobi Meyers: 6.6% probability
• Jonnu Smith: 5.9% probability

Atlanta Falcons

• Mike Davis: 8.9% probability
• Wayne Gallman: 6.9% probability
• Kyle Pitts: 6.7% probability
• Russell Gage: 5.1% probability
• Olamide Zaccheaus: 4.6% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

New England Patriots

• Damien Harris: 41.7% probability
• Rhamondre Stevenson: 39.7% probability
• Jakobi Meyers: 30.8% probability
• Hunter Henry: 29.4% probability
• Jonnu Smith: 26.3% probability

Atlanta Falcons

• Mike Davis: 38.5% probability
• Wayne Gallman: 33.0% probability
• Kyle Pitts: 30.1% probability
• Russell Gage: 25.1% probability
• Olamide Zaccheaus: 23.9% probability

Projected Box Score

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Mac Jones is projected to have a big game with 267 passing yards and 2.0 passing touchdowns. The Falcons' Matt Ryan is expected to throw for 232 yards and 1.4 TDs.

New England Patriots Starting QB

• Mac Jones: 267 Pass Yds, 2.0 Pass TDs

Atlanta Falcons Starting QB

• Matt Ryan: 232 Pass Yds, 1.4 Pass TDs

New England Patriots Rushing

• Damien Harris: 60 Rush Yds, 0.5 TDs
• Rhamondre Stevenson: 38 Rush Yds, 0.4 TDs
• Brandon Bolden: 14 Rush Yds, 0.2 TDs

Atlanta Falcons Rushing

• Mike Davis: 49 Rush Yds, 0.3 TDs
• Wayne Gallman: 37 Rush Yds, 0.3 TDs
• Matt Ryan: 8 Rush Yds, 0.1 TDs

New England Patriots Receiving

• Jakobi Meyers: 50 Rec Yds, 0.4 TDs
• Nelson Agholor: 50 Rec Yds, 0.3 TDs
• Kendrick Bourne: 41 Rec Yds, 0.2 TDs
• Hunter Henry: 33 Rec Yds, 0.3 TDs
• Jonnu Smith: 24 Rec Yds, 0.2 TDs

Atlanta Falcons Receiving

• Kyle Pitts: 72 Rec Yds, 0.3 TDs
• Russell Gage: 41 Rec Yds, 0.2 TDs
• Tajae Sharpe: 38 Rec Yds, 0.2 TDs
• Olamide Zaccheaus: 37 Rec Yds, 0.2 TDs
• Mike Davis: 16 Rec Yds, 0.1 TDs

MORE: Super Bowl 2022 probabilities and odds

Patriots vs. Falcons Betting Guide

Dimers has full coverage of this week's Patriots-Falcons matchup, including pre-game predictions, free betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Remember, DimersBOT updates regularly, so check this article for the latest before Patriots vs. Falcons on Thursday November 18, 2021.

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What NFL games are on today?

The Patriots and Falcons aren't the only two NFL teams in action this week. DimersBOT never stops and we've got picks and top bets for each and every NFL game via our NFL Predictions section.

Not only do we provide with you top-notch predictions, but we also have recommended bets for the Spread, Over/Under and Moneyline. Sound good? Check it out now!