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Our Best NFL Bets for Super Bowl 2024: Earn Up to $558 With These Three Picks

Our Best NFL Bets for Super Bowl 2024: Earn Up to $558 With These Three Picks

The Big Game is nearly here! Depending on when you read this, there's just one week or less until the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs battle for NFL supremacy in Las Vegas on February 11.

All season long, Dimers has been delivering you trusted betting strategies, data-backed NFL player props and valuable insights to guide you through the waters of NFL betting, including identifying the most profitable promos and offers.

There may be no better time to sign up than ahead of the Big Game, as savvy bettors can get up to $558 in sign-up bonuses from the most widely available sportsbooks by betting just $15 total.

As Dimers' best US sportsbook and betting sites section explains in detail, it is imperative to have multiple sportsbooks in this era of online betting. Not just so you can shop the best odds and lines, but also so you can get your hands on as many sign-up offers as possible.

"Sportsbook promos are always changing, and the best sign-up offers can go unnoticed by bettors who use just one book," says Dimers Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

With that in mind, let us fill you in on ways to capitalize on a whopping $558 in bonuses to build your bankroll!

MORE: Our Best Super Bowl 58 Bets

The Big Game Betting Strategy to Win At Least $558

BET 1: $5 on Christian McCaffrey First TD Scorer to Receive a $158 Bonus (via BetMGM)

To Kick off our Big Game strategy, we're looking at the first TD scorer of the day., and hopefully right after kickoff to make things easy!

Our DimersBOT NFL prediction model identifies a massive 22.3% probability of San Francisco superstar RB Christian McCaffrey to score the first touchdown of the game. This is (unsurprisingly) the highest probability of scoring first out of anyone in this game.

CMC's +350 odds imply a 22.2% chance of happening, making this a fair odds bet. Usually, we're on the lookout for odds that have a lower probability than our model as that identifies value, however, since we're using this bet to cash in on a promo, finding an edge is secondary to finding a high hit probability. 

So, why place this bet on BetMGM? Because ever since the playoffs began, new users can claim $158 in Bonus Bets when they sign up and place a $5 bet  on anything they choose.

Dimers broke the news of this exclusive offer and since then, we've helped bettors just like you cash in and pad their bankroll. The best part is that you don't even need to win to receive the $158 in site credits, so if someone else scores first, you've still got $158 coming your way!

🏈 San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs Betting Preview

 

 

BET 2: Bet $5 on Mecole Hardman to Score a Touchdown and Get a $200 Bonus (via DraftKings Sportsbook)

For this bet, we're looking at longshot play on an anytime touchdown, worth potentially $255!

After identifying a fair odds play to secure our first bonus, let's take a shot on some long odds with value. That play will be on Kansas City WR Mecole Hardman to score a touchdown at any point in this game. 

Hardman is a volatile player, often used for deep balls and his big lay ability. That makes him a viable option at such long odds of +1100.

He gets an 18.6% probability to score from our model, while his odds imply just an 8.3% chance, identifying a significant 10% edge. If he hits this bet, we'll cash in $55 bucks in profit *and* our incoming $200 bonus.

DraftKings has recently leveled up their already top-tier new customer offer, by adding another fifty bucks to the bonus. Now, a $5 bet becomes $200 in Bonus Bets when you sign up and make your first wager. You can bet that $5 on anything and collect your bonus. 

If Hardman fails to score in this game, DraftKings Sportsbook will still credit your account with the $200 in bonuses as long as this is your first $5 bet.

You can sign up to DraftKings Sportsbook below.

 

MORE: Your Guide to Betting on the Super Bowl 58 Gatorade Color

BET 3: Bet $5 on Rashee Rice to Record 25+ Receiving Yards a $200 Bonus (via FanDuel)

We'll let you in on a little secret: the actual best way to use this promo is to bet on a very high probability prop that won't return you much profit if it wins. The goal here is to "guarantee" yourself a win as closely as possible, not to find a profitable play.

Why avoid profit for this bet? Because FanDuel's appealing $200 offer has a catch. Yes, you can bet on literally anything you choose, but the bet must win in order to receive your $200 bonus. If it loses, you get nothing at all, which is a waste of a sign-up offer. Risking $5 for little return far outweighs risking the $200 bonus on a valuable bet.

For that reason, we're looking at an alternate line on Chiefs rookie WR Rashee Rice. Our model projects Rice for 71 receiving yards in this game. For our "safe" play, consider betting on him to record 25+ receiving yards. The -1900 odds won't return you any value, but Rice has just two games all season with under 25 yards, including clearing the mark in all three playoff games so far.

Just a $5 bet on Rice will score you $200 in bonus bets to use on anything as long as hits that mark, which the data and history strongly suggests he will. 

You can sign up to FanDuel and claim this amazing offer below.

PARLAYS: Build your own Parlay using our free tool

Find out why definitely pays to have more than one funded US Sportsbook account when betting on sports.

Even though the offers mentioned above are some the best around, there are other sportsbooks offering a heap of enticing bonuses and promotions to get your hard-earned bankroll. Check it out and make the most of it before these promotions are gone!

Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave is a fantasy sports and betting enthusiast especially when it comes to MLB and the NFL. When he’s not arguing the case for why New Haven pizza is the greatest on Earth, he can be found reading comic books, working in the garden or hanging with the cats.

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