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Thunder vs. Warriors prediction: Oklahoma City favored to win Tuesday's NBA game [12/2/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors predictions for NBA Tuesday.
NBA action continues on Tuesday at 11:00PM ET as the favored Oklahoma City Thunder square off with the Golden State Warriors at Chase Center.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of the Thunder vs. Warriors game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Warriors lineup will feature players like Jimmy Butler, Brandin Podziemski and Jonathan Kuminga, while the Thunder will look to Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Thunder vs. Warriors prediction: Who will win and cover?
As part of Dimers' NBA predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, spread, and over/under probabilities for Tuesday's clash between the Thunder and Warriors.
Our famous predictive model gives the Thunder an 80% chance of beating the Warriors. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 116-106.
According to our model, the Warriors (+11.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 223.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Thunder vs. Warriors odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Thunder | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -11.5 (-102) | +11.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -550 | +425 |
| Total | o223.5 (-106) | u223.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Thunder vs. Warriors picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Warriors +11.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Warriors | +425 |
| Total | Under 223.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Tuesday, the top play to make on this game is Warriors +11.5 at the spread.
Thunder vs. Warriors player props
Looking for Thunder vs. Warriors NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Chase Center.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is expected to lead the Thunder with 29 points, 5 rebounds and 7 assists, while Jimmy Butler is projected to have 20 points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists for the Warriors.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.
Thunder prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Thunder are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Gilgeous-Alexander | 29 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 52 |
| Jalen Williams | 19 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 39 |
| Chet Holmgren | 17 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 37 |
| Ajay Mitchell | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 27 |
| Aaron Wiggins | 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
Warriors prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Warriors:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler | 20 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 40 |
| B. Podziemski | 14 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 31 |
| J. Kuminga | 13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 24 |
| Moses Moody | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 24 |
| Draymond Green | 9 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 31 |
Thunder vs. Warriors game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's game between the Warriors and Thunder at Chase Center is scheduled to commence at 11:00PM ET.
- Who: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Golden State Warriors
- Date: Tuesday, December 2, 2025
- Time: 11:00PM ET/8:00PM PT
- Venue: Chase Center
Conclusion
We predict the Thunder, with an 80% win probability, will likely beat the Warriors on Tuesday, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander projected for a game-high 52 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Thunder vs. Warriors insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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