Thunder vs. Warriors Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Warriors NBA game on December 2, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Thunder
124
112
Chase Center
Warriors
Chase Center
TEAM1234T
Thunder
32 31 28 33 124
Warriors
26 18 44 24 112
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Thunder
    >99%
  • Warriors
    <1%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Thunder
32 31 28 33 124
Warriors
26 18 44 24 112
Q4 00:09 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:18 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:30 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:49 Pat Spencer misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:10 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:16 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:21 Draymond Green misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:30 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:49 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:02 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:00
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  3. Q4 00:09
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  4. Q4 00:18
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  5. Q4 00:18
    Warriors offensive rebound
  6. Q4 00:18
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  7. Q4 00:30
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    124-112
  8. Q4 00:46
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  9. Q4 00:49
    Pat Spencer misses two point jump shot
  10. Q4 00:54
    Warriors personal foul
  11. Q4 00:54
    +1
    Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    121-112
  12. Q4 00:54
    +1
    Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    122-112
  13. Q4 00:54
    Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Pat Spencer, Buddy Hield, Moses Moody, Draymond Green)
  14. Q4 1:03
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  15. Q4 1:03
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  16. Q4 1:03
    Instant replay
  17. Q4 1:03
    Brandin Podziemski turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  18. Q4 1:03
    Thunder challenge timeout
  19. Q4 1:04
    Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, Buddy Hield, Draymond Green)
  20. Q4 1:09
    Thunder personal foul
  21. Q4 1:10
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    120-112
  22. Q4 1:10
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  23. Q4 1:10
    Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, Seth Curry, Moses Moody, Draymond Green)
  24. Q4 1:10
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  25. Q4 1:14
    Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
  26. Q4 1:16
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  27. Q4 1:18
    Seth Curry offensive rebound
  28. Q4 1:21
    Draymond Green misses three point jump shot
  29. Q4 1:30
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    118-112
  30. Q4 1:49
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    116-112
  31. Q4 2:02
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    116-109
  32. Q4 2:11
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  33. Q4 2:12
    Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
  34. Q4 2:12
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  35. Q4 2:17
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  36. Q4 2:32
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  37. Q4 2:35
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  38. Q4 3:03
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    114-109
  39. Q4 3:07
    Thunder turnover
  40. Q4 3:10
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  41. Q4 3:20
    Warriors turnover
  42. Q4 3:34
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    114-107
  43. Q4 3:48
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  44. Q4 3:52
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  45. Q4 3:56
    Thunder personal foul
  46. Q4 3:56
    Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Buddy Hield, Seth Curry, Draymond Green)
  47. Q4 4:06
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    111-107
  48. Q4 4:15
    Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
  49. Q4 4:18
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  50. Q4 4:37
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  51. Q4 4:37
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  52. Q4 4:37
    Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, Buddy Hield, Seth Curry, Draymond Green)
  53. Q4 4:40
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    108-107
  54. Q4 4:54
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    106-107
  55. Q4 5:14
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    106-105
  56. Q4 5:20
    Ajay Mitchell offensive rebound
  57. Q4 5:26
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  58. Q4 5:39
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    104-105
  59. Q4 6:02
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    104-103
  60. Q4 6:20
    Buddy Hield offensive rebound
  61. Q4 6:20
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  62. Q4 6:20
    Thunder defensive rebound
  63. Q4 6:20
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  64. Q4 6:24
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  65. Q4 6:35
    Warriors personal foul
  66. Q4 6:35
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    100-103
  67. Q4 6:35
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    101-103
  68. Q4 6:35
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins, Ajay Mitchell, Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  69. Q4 6:35
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  70. Q4 6:35
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  71. Q4 6:35
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  72. Q4 6:43
    Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
  73. Q4 6:44
    Thunder personal foul
  74. Q4 6:44
    Warriors personal foul
  75. Q4 6:44
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Ajay Mitchell)
  76. Q4 6:48
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  77. Q4 7:08
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  78. Q4 7:10
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  79. Q4 7:27
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    99-103
  80. Q4 7:36
    Will Richard defensive rebound
  81. Q4 7:39
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  82. Q4 7:56
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    99-100
  83. Q4 8:16
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    99-98
  84. Q4 8:28
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    97-98
  85. Q4 8:56
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  86. Q4 8:56
    Thunder turnover
  87. Q4 8:56
    Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, Buddy Hield, Draymond Green, Will Richard)
  88. Q4 9:07
    Thunder personal foul
  89. Q4 9:07
    Warriors personal foul
  90. Q4 9:10
    Warriors personal foul
  91. Q4 9:10
    Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Buddy Hield, Will Richard, Quinten Post)
  92. Q4 9:10
    Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Buddy Hield, Will Richard, Quinten Post)
  93. Q4 9:12
    Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
  94. Q4 9:15
    Gary Payton II misses two point jump shot
  95. Q4 9:27
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    97-95
  96. Q4 9:47
    +3
    Seth Curry makes three point jump shot (Gary Payton II assists)
    95-95
  97. Q4 9:58
    +2
    Chet Holmgren makes two point jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)
    95-92
  98. Q4 10:13
    +2
    Gary Payton II makes two point jump shot
    93-92
  99. Q4 10:20
    Thunder violation
  100. Q4 10:23
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  101. Q4 10:28
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  102. Q4 10:46
    Warriors personal foul
  103. Q4 10:46
    Brandin Podziemski turnover (offensive foul)
  104. Q4 10:59
    Warriors personal foul
  105. Q4 10:59
    Thunder personal foul
  106. Q4 10:59
    +1
    Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    93-90
  107. Q4 10:59
    +1
    Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    92-90
  108. Q4 11:03
    Jalen Williams defensive rebound
  109. Q4 11:07
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  110. Q4 11:17
    Thunder turnover
  111. Q4 11:31
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    91-90
  112. Q4 11:42
    Gary Payton II defensive rebound
  113. Q4 11:45
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  114. Q3 00:00
    Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
  115. Q3 00:00
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    91-88
  116. Q4 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Seth Curry, Will Richard, Quinten Post)
  117. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  118. Q4 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins, Ajay Mitchell, Kenrich Williams)
  119. Q3 00:03
    Warriors personal foul
  120. Q3 00:03
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    90-85
  121. Q3 00:03
    Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, Seth Curry, Moses Moody, Jonathan Kuminga)
  122. Q3 00:03
    Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, Seth Curry, Moses Moody, Jonathan Kuminga)
  123. Q3 00:03
    Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  124. Q3 00:03
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    91-85
  125. Q3 00:12
    Jonathan Kuminga offensive rebound
  126. Q3 00:12
    Thunder personal foul
  127. Q3 00:12
    Jonathan Kuminga misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  128. Q3 00:12
    Warriors offensive rebound
  129. Q3 00:12
    +1
    Jonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    89-85
  130. Q3 00:12
    Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Buddy Hield, Moses Moody, Jonathan Kuminga, Will Richard)
  131. Q3 00:13
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  132. Q3 00:37
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    89-84
  133. Q3 00:53
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    86-84
  134. Q3 1:11
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    86-82
  135. Q3 1:20
    Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
  136. Q3 1:20
    Warriors personal foul
  137. Q3 1:20
    Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Ajay Mitchell, Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  138. Q3 1:24
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  139. Q3 1:31
    Pat Spencer defensive rebound
  140. Q3 1:33
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  141. Q3 1:46
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    83-82
  142. Q3 1:49
    Quinten Post offensive rebound
  143. Q3 1:51
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  144. Q3 2:07
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    83-79
  145. Q3 2:14
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  146. Q3 2:17
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  147. Q3 2:26
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    81-79
  148. Q3 2:26
    Pat Spencer offensive rebound
  149. Q3 2:26
    Thunder turnover
  150. Q3 2:29
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  151. Q3 2:33
    Thunder turnover
  152. Q3 2:42
    Jonathan Kuminga offensive rebound
  153. Q3 2:42
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  154. Q3 2:42
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    81-77
  155. Q3 2:46
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  156. Q3 2:52
    Seth Curry defensive rebound
  157. Q3 2:55
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  158. Q3 3:07
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    81-75
  159. Q3 3:18
    Thunder turnover
  160. Q3 3:29
    Seth Curry offensive rebound
  161. Q3 3:29
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    81-73
  162. Q3 3:32
    Aaron Wiggins turnover (bad pass)
  163. Q3 3:36
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  164. Q3 3:47
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    81-71
  165. Q3 4:00
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    78-71
  166. Q3 4:10
    Thunder personal foul
  167. Q3 4:10
    Isaiah Joe turnover (offensive foul)
  168. Q3 4:10
    Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  169. Q3 4:25
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    78-69
  170. Q3 4:41
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    78-67
  171. Q3 4:55
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    75-67
  172. Q3 5:05
    Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
  173. Q3 5:08
    Warriors personal foul
  174. Q3 5:08
    Cason Wallace misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  175. Q3 5:08
    Thunder offensive rebound
  176. Q3 5:08
    Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Buddy Hield, Seth Curry, Jonathan Kuminga, Quinten Post)
  177. Q3 5:08
    Cason Wallace misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  178. Q3 5:26
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    75-64
  179. Q3 5:39
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    75-62
  180. Q3 5:52
    Warriors turnover
  181. Q3 5:52
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  182. Q3 5:52
    Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, Buddy Hield, Seth Curry, Draymond Green)
  183. Q3 6:10
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  184. Q3 6:13
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  185. Q3 6:37
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    72-62
  186. Q3 6:57
    Will Richard defensive rebound
  187. Q3 7:01
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  188. Q3 7:13
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    72-60
  189. Q3 7:31
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    72-57
  190. Q3 7:39
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  191. Q3 7:42
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  192. Q3 8:02
    Gary Payton II defensive rebound
  193. Q3 8:04
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  194. Q3 8:19
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  195. Q3 8:20
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    70-57
  196. Q3 8:39
    Warriors personal foul
  197. Q3 8:39
    Thunder offensive rebound
  198. Q3 8:39
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  199. Q3 8:39
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    70-55
  200. Q3 8:56
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    69-54
  201. Q3 8:56
    Thunder personal foul
  202. Q3 8:56
    +1
    Gary Payton II makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    69-55
  203. Q3 8:59
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  204. Q3 9:01
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  205. Q3 9:18
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    69-52
  206. Q3 9:24
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  207. Q3 9:28
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  208. Q3 9:32
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  209. Q3 9:34
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  210. Q3 9:36
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  211. Q3 9:37
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  212. Q3 9:42
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  213. Q3 9:51
    Thunder personal foul
  214. Q3 9:51
    +1
    Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    69-48
  215. Q3 9:51
    +1
    Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    69-49
  216. Q3 10:05
    Thunder personal foul
  217. Q3 10:05
    Chet Holmgren turnover (offensive foul)
  218. Q3 10:08
    Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
  219. Q3 10:12
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  220. Q3 10:23
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    69-47
  221. Q3 10:32
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  222. Q3 10:34
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  223. Q3 10:48
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    67-47
  224. Q3 11:05
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    65-47
  225. Q3 11:24
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    65-44
  226. Q3 11:42
    Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
  227. Q3 11:47
    Moses Moody misses three point jump shot
  228. Q2 00:00
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    63-44
  229. Q2 00:00
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  230. Q2 00:00
    Warriors personal foul
  231. Q2 00:00
    Jump ball. (Will Richard gains possession)
  232. Q2 00:00
    Warriors defensive rebound
  233. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  234. Q3 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Draymond Green, Will Richard)
  235. Q3 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  236. Q2 00:04
    Warriors turnover
  237. Q2 00:25
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    61-44
  238. Q2 00:31
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  239. Q2 00:34
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  240. Q2 00:46
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    58-44
  241. Q2 1:01
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  242. Q2 1:01
    Thunder defensive rebound
  243. Q2 1:03
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  244. Q2 1:16
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  245. Q2 1:16
    Warriors personal foul
  246. Q2 1:16
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    56-44
  247. Q2 1:16
    Thunder offensive rebound
  248. Q2 1:16
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  249. Q2 1:27
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    55-44
  250. Q2 1:34
    Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
  251. Q2 1:40
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  252. Q2 1:40
    Isaiah Joe turnover (bad pass)
  253. Q2 1:55
    Will Richard defensive rebound
  254. Q2 1:57
    Warriors personal foul
  255. Q2 1:57
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  256. Q2 1:57
    Jaylin Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  257. Q2 1:57
    +1
    Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    55-41
  258. Q2 1:57
    Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green, Will Richard)
  259. Q2 2:16
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    54-41
  260. Q2 2:22
    Pat Spencer defensive rebound
  261. Q2 2:24
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  262. Q2 2:31
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  263. Q2 2:34
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  264. Q2 2:46
    Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
  265. Q2 2:49
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  266. Q2 2:56
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  267. Q2 2:59
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  268. Q2 3:18
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    54-39
  269. Q2 3:22
    Warriors turnover
  270. Q2 3:44
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  271. Q2 3:45
    Warriors defensive rebound
  272. Q2 3:45
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  273. Q2 3:46
    Cason Wallace turnover (out of bounds step)
  274. Q2 3:57
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  275. Q2 4:00
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  276. Q2 4:05
    Will Richard defensive rebound
  277. Q2 4:11
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  278. Q2 4:17
    Jaylin Williams offensive rebound
  279. Q2 4:20
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  280. Q2 4:39
    Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
  281. Q2 4:39
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  282. Q2 4:39
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  283. Q2 4:44
    Jonathan Kuminga offensive rebound
  284. Q2 4:44
    Draymond Green misses three point jump shot
  285. Q2 4:48
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  286. Q2 4:58
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  287. Q2 4:58
    Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  288. Q2 5:12
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    52-39
  289. Q2 5:27
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    50-39
  290. Q2 5:51
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    50-37
  291. Q2 6:03
    Warriors personal foul
  292. Q2 6:03
    Draymond Green turnover (offensive foul)
  293. Q2 6:10
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  294. Q2 6:10
    Jalen Williams defensive rebound
  295. Q2 6:10
    Thunder turnover
  296. Q2 6:36
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  297. Q2 6:36
    Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Buddy Hield, Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green, Will Richard)
  298. Q2 6:37
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    48-37
  299. Q2 6:44
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  300. Q2 6:44
    Warriors turnover
  301. Q2 7:02
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    46-37
  302. Q2 7:16
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    44-37
  303. Q2 7:30
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    44-34
  304. Q2 7:42
    Warriors turnover
  305. Q2 7:42
    Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, Seth Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Quinten Post)
  306. Q2 7:58
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    42-34
  307. Q2 8:24
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    39-34
  308. Q2 8:48
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    39-32
  309. Q2 8:48
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  310. Q2 9:03
    Warriors personal foul
  311. Q2 9:03
    Quinten Post turnover (offensive foul)
  312. Q2 9:19
    Thunder personal foul
  313. Q2 9:19
    Chet Holmgren turnover (offensive foul)
  314. Q2 9:20
    Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
  315. Q2 9:25
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  316. Q2 9:36
    Warriors defensive rebound
  317. Q2 9:36
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  318. Q2 9:41
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  319. Q2 9:49
    Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
  320. Q2 9:52
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    37-35
  321. Q2 9:52
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  322. Q2 10:15
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    37-32
  323. Q2 10:28
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    34-32
  324. Q2 10:44
    Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
  325. Q2 10:46
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  326. Q2 11:02
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    34-28
  327. Q2 11:02
    Thunder personal foul
  328. Q2 11:02
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    34-29
  329. Q2 11:13
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    34-26
  330. Q2 11:16
    Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
  331. Q2 11:17
    Gary Payton II turnover (bad pass) (Aaron Wiggins steals)
  332. Q2 11:20
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  333. Q2 11:29
    Gary Payton II defensive rebound
  334. Q2 11:34
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  335. Q2 11:44
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  336. Q2 11:47
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  337. Q1 00:00
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  338. Q1 00:00
    Warriors offensive rebound
  339. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  340. Q2 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins, Ajay Mitchell, Kenrich Williams)
  341. Q2 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Seth Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Quinten Post)
  342. Q1 00:02
    Moses Moody offensive rebound
  343. Q1 00:05
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  344. Q1 00:23
    Warriors personal foul
  345. Q1 00:23
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    31-26
  346. Q1 00:23
    Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  347. Q1 00:23
    Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Buddy Hield, Seth Curry, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III)
  348. Q1 00:23
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    32-26
  349. Q1 00:39
    Thunder personal foul
  350. Q1 00:39
    +1
    Buddy Hield makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    30-24
  351. Q1 00:39
    +1
    Buddy Hield makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    30-25
  352. Q1 00:39
    Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  353. Q1 00:39
    Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, Buddy Hield, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III)
  354. Q1 00:39
    +1
    Buddy Hield makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    30-26
  355. Q1 00:49
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    29-23
  356. Q1 00:49
    Warriors personal foul
  357. Q1 00:49
    Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Buddy Hield, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Quinten Post)
  358. Q1 00:49
    Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Branden Carlson, Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  359. Q1 00:49
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    30-23
  360. Q1 1:01
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    27-23
  361. Q1 1:11
    Thunder personal foul
  362. Q1 1:14
    Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
  363. Q1 1:16
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  364. Q1 1:31
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    27-20
  365. Q1 1:53
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    27-17
  366. Q1 2:04
    Thunder defensive rebound
  367. Q1 2:04
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  368. Q1 2:07
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  369. Q1 2:21
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  370. Q1 2:29
    Thunder turnover
  371. Q1 2:31
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  372. Q1 2:35
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  373. Q1 2:41
    Thunder personal foul
  374. Q1 2:41
    Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Buddy Hield, Jonathan Kuminga, Jimmy Butler III, Quinten Post)
  375. Q1 2:55
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    2-3
  376. Q1 3:13
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  377. Q1 3:13
    Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Branden Carlson, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  378. Q1 3:15
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    2-3
  379. Q1 3:23
    Quinten Post offensive rebound
  380. Q1 3:25
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  381. Q1 3:43
    Thunder turnover
  382. Q1 3:43
    Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, Buddy Hield, Jonathan Kuminga, Quinten Post)
  383. Q1 3:43
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  384. Q1 3:46
    Warriors turnover
  385. Q1 4:02
    Gary Payton II defensive rebound
  386. Q1 4:06
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  387. Q1 4:13
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  388. Q1 4:20
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  389. Q1 4:37
    Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
  390. Q1 4:40
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  391. Q1 4:44
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  392. Q1 4:49
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  393. Q1 4:56
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  394. Q1 5:00
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  395. Q1 5:11
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  396. Q1 5:13
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  397. Q1 5:33
    Warriors personal foul
  398. Q1 5:33
    +1
    Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    2-3
  399. Q1 5:33
    Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Buddy Hield, Jonathan Kuminga, Quinten Post)
  400. Q1 5:33
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  401. Q1 5:33
    +1
    Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    2-3
  402. Q1 5:35
    Warriors turnover
  403. Q1 5:50
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    2-3
  404. Q1 6:05
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    2-3
  405. Q1 6:15
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  406. Q1 6:18
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  407. Q1 6:24
    Jalen Williams defensive rebound
  408. Q1 6:29
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  409. Q1 6:34
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  410. Q1 6:36
    Chet Holmgren misses two point jump shot
  411. Q1 6:51
    Brandin Podziemski turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  412. Q1 6:51
    Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, Moses Moody, Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green)
  413. Q1 6:58
    Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
  414. Q1 6:58
    +2
    Chet Holmgren makes two point jump shot
    17-12
  415. Q1 7:03
    Jalen Williams misses two point cutting layup
  416. Q1 7:21
    +2
    Brandin Podziemski makes two point driving floating jump shot (Moses Moody assists)
    15-12
  417. Q1 7:34
    Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
  418. Q1 7:41
    Cason Wallace misses three point jump shot
  419. Q1 7:48
    Will Richard personal foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)
  420. Q1 7:55
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  421. Q1 7:57
    Brandin Podziemski misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  422. Q1 7:57
    +2
    Brandin Podziemski makes two point driving floating jump shot
    15-10
  423. Q1 7:57
    Chet Holmgren shooting foul (Brandin Podziemski draws the foul)
  424. Q1 8:13
    +2
    Jalen Williams makes two point driving layup (Chet Holmgren assists)
    15-8
  425. Q1 8:23
    Draymond Green personal foul (Cason Wallace draws the foul)
  426. Q1 8:29
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  427. Q1 8:32
    Jimmy Butler III misses two point driving floating jump shot
  428. Q1 8:42
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  429. Q1 8:42
    +2
    Cason Wallace makes two point running layup
    13-8
  430. Q1 8:45
    Draymond Green turnover (bad pass) (Cason Wallace steals)
  431. Q1 8:56
    +3
    Ajay Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Chet Holmgren assists)
    11-8
  432. Q1 9:12
    +2
    Brandin Podziemski makes two point driving floating jump shot (Will Richard assists)
    8-8
  433. Q1 9:29
    Brandin Podziemski shooting foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)
  434. Q1 9:29
    +2
    Chet Holmgren makes two point floating jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
    7-6
  435. Q1 9:29
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    8-6
  436. Q1 9:36
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  437. Q1 9:38
    Brandin Podziemski misses three point pullup jump shot
  438. Q1 9:49
    +3
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes three point stepback jump shot
    5-6
  439. Q1 9:59
    +3
    Brandin Podziemski makes three point jump shot (Will Richard assists)
    2-6
  440. Q1 10:14
    Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
  441. Q1 10:16
    Jalen Williams misses three point stepback jump shot
  442. Q1 10:28
    Warriors turnover (shot clock violation)
  443. Q1 10:28
    Warriors offensive rebound
  444. Q1 10:28
    Cason Wallace blocks Brandin Podziemski's two point jump shot
  445. Q1 10:28
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  446. Q1 10:42
    Moses Moody offensive rebound
  447. Q1 10:45
    Will Richard misses three point jump shot
  448. Q1 10:51
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  449. Q1 10:59
    Ajay Mitchell misses three point jump shot
  450. Q1 11:04
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  451. Q1 11:08
    Draymond Green misses two point driving floating jump shot
  452. Q1 11:15
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  453. Q1 11:17
    Cason Wallace misses three point jump shot
  454. Q1 11:30
    +3
    Moses Moody makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler III assists)
    2-3
  455. Q1 11:44
    +2
    Jalen Williams makes two point fadeaway jump shot
    2-0
  456. Q1 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  457. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
  458. Q1 12:00
    Chet Holmgren vs. Draymond Green (Jalen Williams gains possession)
  459. Q1 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green, Will Richard)
Box Score
Thunder
PosPlayerPts
Warriors
PosPlayerPts

Thunder vs. Warriors: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Thunder vs. Warriors
  • Date: Tuesday, December 2, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Chase Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -11
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Thunder -550, Warriors +440

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Thunder: 80%
  • Warriors: 20%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 117-107 Warriors.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 80%, while the Warriors have a win probability of 20%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Warriors in the NBA game at Chase Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Thunder vs. Warriors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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