NFL Super Bowl LV: Who Will Score a Touchdown?

NFL Super Bowl LV: Who Will Score a Touchdown?

Super Bowl LV is here and undoubtedly the most fun prop bet to make is on who will score the first touchdown of the game!


We've run over 10,000 simulations of the Super Bowl, with DimersBOT pulling out the probability of each player scoring a touchdown.

We've found the top five guys from each of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Kansas City Chiefs who look good to score and we've identified some seriously juicy value in a few picks. Why not tail us, using the below offer from DraftKings Sportsbook? It doesn't actually matter who gets in for six, we only need one TD to double our money!

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers💥


First touchdown scorers:

The first team we're diving into is the side with the home ground advantage: Tom Brady's Tampa Bay Buccaneers. With the greatest quarterback of all time on their side, the most likely Bucs scorer is wide receiver Chris Godwin. Following Jones VERY closely, we find Mike Evans and Ronald Jones as big Bucs chances.

If you're looking to place a bet on a Bucs player scoring the first TD of the game, it's hard to look past the odds of Antonio Brown at +1800, which is super cheeky!

Anytime touchdown scorers:

The anytime touchdown scorers for Tampa look pretty similar to the first touchdown probabilities, and it really comes down to personal preference as to if you want to sweat a receiver or a rusher scoring for the Bucs! Personally, the staff at Dimers loves Evans for an Anytime.

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Kansas City Chiefs💥


First touchdown scorers:

The two Chiefs players our model LOVES as a first TD chance are Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce, with the WR and TE both sitting above an 11% chance according to our projections. The Cheetah has been quiet in recent weeks on the TD front but history shows he saves his best games for the Bucs. If you're looking to add some extra JUICE to your day, the best play for you is on Sammy Watkins at +2000 to score the first tuddy of the game! Unlikely? Sure. The reward? Extraordinary.

Anytime touchdown scorers:

The anytime TD probabilities again correlate strongly with the first TD probabilities for Chiefs Kingdom, with Tyreek Hill a massive 58% CHANCE of getting in for six at some point during Super Bowl LV! It's hard to go past Kelce to score at some point as well.

If you're looking for something nice and simple, the folks at PointsBet have one of the better Super Bowl offers for new customers. Basically, you just need to sign up and deposit $50 and they will give you another $100 FREE. This is a great offer that needs to be claimed even if you have an account with another sportsbook. Heck, why wouldn't ya take a free $100!?

Ready to join a Sportsbook and start betting online? We’ve listed the best available Welcome Offers for each legal betting state below.

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Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Sports Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver has long been entrenched in the world of sports and sports betting, now specializing in the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. His passion shines through in his detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles for both the NBA and NFL, along with his sharp prop bets for college football and insightful best bets for college basketball. Ryan’s expertise also extends to soccer, where he frequently offers practical betting tips and highlights the bets of the day. 

Known for his keen eye for valuable betting promos, Ryan adeptly guides bettors toward opportunities that enhance their wagering experiences. Collaborating often with DimersBOT, his articles are meticulously researched and offer savvy betting advice, making him a trusted source for sports bettors.

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