NFL Sunday: Over/Under

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
NFL Sunday: Over/Under

Week 11 of the NFL is here, and we have a football lover’s delight with some blockbuster games across the league.

In this weekly column, we answer the big question every NFL bettor wants to know: over or under?

Come with us as we spill the tea on the best O/U plays for Sunday.

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Jets @ Chargers
UNDER 46.5 points has a 56% probability

There’s one simply rule you should abide by if you are betting on football in season 2020: if the New York Jets are playing, take the under. The DimersBOT isn’t straying from the script as the worst offense in the league comes up against the Chargers.

 

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Bengals @ Football Team
UNDER 47.5 points has a 57% probability

Our predictive analysis is quite confident about this one with a 57% probability which is a high figure for a totals market. Two teams struggling to get a W may lead to some negative football.

 

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RELATED: The best spread picks for Sunday


 

Chiefs @ Raiders
UNDER 56.5 points has a 55% probability

If this game is anything like the last time these teams met a few weeks ago, it’s rightly billed as Sunday’s main event.

The Las Vegas Raiders piled on the points against the Chiefs last time out but our analysis says the points total is set far too high with more than 2 touchdowns per quarter required to go over.

 

IN FOR 6: Our most likely TD scorers for Week 11

*probabilities correct at time of publishing

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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