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Yankees vs. Brewers prediction: Why Yankees are favored to win Saturday's MLB matchup [5/9/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get New York Yankees vs Milwaukee Brewers predictions for MLB Saturday.
MLB action continues on Saturday at 7:10 PM ET as the New York Yankees lock horns with the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field.
Kyle Harrison (3-1, 2.12 ERA) will get the ball for the Brewers, pitting him against Cam Schlittler (5-1, 1.52 ERA) for the Yankees.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Yankees a slight edge with a 54% win probability over the Brewers.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's Yankees vs. Brewers matchup, including best bets and picks.
Yankees vs. Brewers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLB matchup between the Yankees and Brewers, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Yankees a 54% chance of beating the Brewers.
According to our model, the Brewers (+1.5) have a 59% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 53% chance of going over.
Yankees vs. Brewers odds [5/9/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Yankees | Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+126) | +1.5 (-149) |
| Moneyline | -134 | +114 |
| Total | o7.5 (-105) | u7.5 (-107) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Yankees vs. Brewers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Brewers +1.5 | -149 |
| Moneyline | Brewers | +114 |
| Total | Over 7.5 | -105 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Yankees vs. Brewers game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's MLB matchup between the Brewers and Yankees at American Family Field is scheduled to begin at 7:10 PM ET.
- Who: New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers
- Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
- Time: 7:10 PM ET/4:10PM PT
- Venue: American Family Field
Conclusion
We predict the Yankees, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Brewers in Saturday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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