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Mets vs. Rockies prediction: Why Mets are favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [5/7/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get New York Mets vs Colorado Rockies predictions for MLB Thursday.
The Colorado Rockies and New York Mets will meet in MLB action at Coors Field on Thursday, starting at 3:10 PM ET.
Jose Quintana (1-2, 4.07 ERA) will start for the Rockies, while the Mets have opted for Christian Scott (0-0, 4.26 ERA).
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model predicts the Mets as the most likely winner of the Mets vs. Rockies game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mets vs. Rockies prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Rockies, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Mets a 59% chance of beating the Rockies.
According to our model, the Rockies (+1.5) have a 52% chance of covering the run line, while the 11-run over/under has a 53% chance of going over.
Mets vs. Rockies odds [5/7/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mets | Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+112) | +1.5 (-126) |
| Moneyline | -142 | +125 |
| Total | o11 (-105) | u11 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mets vs. Rockies picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Mets -1.5 | +112 |
| Moneyline | Mets | -142 |
| Total | Over 11 | -105 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 11 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mets vs. Rockies game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's MLB matchup between the Rockies and Mets at Coors Field is scheduled to start at 3:10 PM ET.
- Who: New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies
- Date: Thursday, May 7, 2026
- Time: 3:10 PM ET/12:10PM PT
- Venue: Coors Field
Conclusion
We predict the Mets, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Rockies in Thursday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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