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Read Article Liberty vs. Mercury Prediction: Phoenix Predicted to Win Friday's WNBA Matchup [6/27/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Our expert prediction for Friday's New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury matchup.
The Phoenix Mercury and New York Liberty will meet in the WNBA at PHX Arena on Friday, starting at 10:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Mercury as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday's Liberty-Mercury game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict the Mercury's chance of winning is 57%, while the Liberty's is 43%."
The Mercury, who have star players such as Kahleah Copper, Satou Sabally and Alyssa Thomas, are set to take on the Liberty, who feature Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu and Natasha Cloud.
For expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Liberty vs. Mercury predictions page.
Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20BASKETBALL Get Dimers Pro Mercury vs. Liberty Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's WNBA matchup between the Liberty and Mercury 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Mercury a 57% chance of beating the Liberty.
According to our model, the Mercury (-1.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 168.5 points has a 55% chance of staying under.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 2:01AM, Jun 28
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
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Liberty vs. Mercury Odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Liberty | Mercury |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +1.5 (-108) | -1.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +110 | -125 |
| Total | o168.5 (-110) | u168.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Liberty vs. Mercury Picks and Best Bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Liberty vs. Mercury matchup is on the spread.
Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best WNBA picks and WNBA best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Liberty-Mercury Pick Get Dimers Pro Liberty vs. Mercury Player Props
WNBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on Friday's Liberty vs. Mercury game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at PHX Arena.
Breanna Stewart is expected to lead the Liberty in scoring, while Kahleah Copper is projected to be the top scorer for the Mercury.
Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every WNBA game this season.
Projected Box Scores for Every WNBA Game Get Dimers Pro Liberty vs. Mercury Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Friday's action between the Mercury and Liberty at PHX Arena is scheduled to start at 10:00PM ET.
- Who: New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury
- Date: Friday, June 27, 2025
- Time: 10:00PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: PHX Arena
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Friday's Liberty vs. Mercury matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Liberty vs. Mercury picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Mercury, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Liberty on Friday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Liberty vs. Mercury insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on WNBA
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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