Knicks vs. Heat prediction: Why Miami is favored to win Monday's NBA matchup [11/17/2025]

The Miami Heat and New York Knicks will lock horns in NBA action at Kaseya Center on Monday, with tipoff at 7:30PM ET.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Heat as the most likely winner of the Knicks vs. Heat game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Heat lineup will feature players like Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins and Jaime Jaquez, while the Knicks will be led by Karl-Anthony Towns, Mikal Bridges and Jordan Clarkson.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Knicks vs. Heat prediction: Who will win and cover?

As part of Dimers' NBA predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, spread, and over/under probabilities for Monday's clash between the Knicks and Heat.

According to our model, the Heat (-1.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 244.5 points has a 55% chance of staying under.

Knicks vs. Heat odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Knicks	Heat
Spread	+1.5 (-110)	-1.5 (-105)
Moneyline	+102	-115
Total	o244.5 (-110)	u244.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Knicks vs. Heat picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Heat -1.5	-105
Moneyline	Heat	-115
Total	Under 244.5	-108

According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Heat to win.

Knicks vs. Heat player props

Looking for Knicks vs. Heat NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Kaseya Center.

Karl-Anthony Towns is expected to lead the Knicks with 25 points, 12 rebounds and 3 assists, while Norman Powell is projected to have 22 points, 3 rebounds and 2 assists for the Heat.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.

Knicks prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Knicks are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
K. Towns	25	12	3	2	50
Mikal Bridges	18	4	5	2	37
Jordan Clarkson	17	3	4	2	32
Landry Shamet	13	3	1	3	22
Miles McBride	13	3	4	3	28

Heat prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Heat:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Norman Powell	22	3	2	3	35
Andrew Wiggins	19	5	3	2	37
Jaime Jaquez	16	8	4	1	37
Davion Mitchell	11	3	6	2	29
Kel'el Ware	11	10	1	1	30

Knicks vs. Heat game-day updates and essential details

Monday's action between the Heat and Knicks at Kaseya Center is scheduled to begin at 7:30PM ET.

• Who: New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat
• Date: Monday, November 17, 2025
• Time: 7:30PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Kaseya Center

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Conclusion

We predict the Heat, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Knicks on Monday, with Karl-Anthony Towns projected for a game-high 50 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Knicks vs. Heat insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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