NBA picks today: Monday's best bets include Mavericks vs. Timberwolves play [11/17/2025]

Today’s NBA picks for November 17, 2025 are here, with Mavericks vs. Timberwolves and Thunder vs. Pelicans among the top plays identified by our model across Monday’s NBA slate.

Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, searching the latest basketball odds to find legitimate betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.

List of NBA picks tonight [11/17, updated 7:34PM ET]

Below, you’ll find today’s best basketball bets, ranked by edge for Monday, November 17, 2025.

Mavericks +13.5 (-105)

• Edge: 7.4%
• Probability: 58.6%
• Matchup: Mavericks vs. Timberwolves (8:00PM ET, Monday)

Our model has identified value on Mavericks +13.5 at -105 odds. A 58.6% probability produces an edge of 7.4%, making this the strongest play for today's NBA slate.

Pelicans +18.5 (-108)

• Edge: 6.8%
• Probability: 58.7%
• Matchup: Thunder vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET, Monday)

Pelicans +18.5 carries a 6.8% edge and a probability of 58.7% at -108 odds, according to our model.

Bulls +13.5 (-108)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 57%
• Matchup: Bulls vs. Nuggets (9:00PM ET, Monday)

Bulls +13.5 vs. Nuggets at -108 odds shows a 5.1% edge, supported by a 57% probability in simulations.

Bulls ML (+600)

• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 16.5%
• Matchup: Bulls vs. Nuggets (9:00PM ET, Monday)

A 2.2% edge and 16.5% probability make Bulls at the moneyline at a value play in the Bulls vs. Nuggets matchup, per our model.

Pelicans ML (+1300)

• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 9.3%
• Matchup: Thunder vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET, Monday)

Pelicans ML at +1300 odds presents a 2.1% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 9.3%.

NBA best bets summary: Monday, 11/17/2025

As of 7:34PM ET, here are our top NBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves	Mavericks +13.5	-105 @ BetMGM	7.4%	58.6%
Thunder vs. Pelicans	Pelicans +18.5	-108 @ FanDuel	6.8%	58.7%
Bulls vs. Nuggets	Bulls +13.5	-108 @ DraftKings	5.1%	57%
Bulls vs. Nuggets	Bulls ML	+600 @ BetMGM	2.2%	16.5%
Thunder vs. Pelicans	Pelicans ML	+1300 @ FanDuel	2.1%	9.3%

List of upcoming NBA games to bet on [11/17/2025]

• Mavericks vs. Timberwolves (8:00PM ET, Monday)
• Thunder vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET, Monday)
• Bulls vs. Nuggets (9:00PM ET, Monday)
• Warriors vs. Magic (7:00PM ET, Tuesday)

Conclusion

Our NBA best bets are locked and loaded for November 17, 2025, featuring plays such as Mavericks +13.5 and Pelicans +18.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate NBA insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

Note: Clicking links to our sportsbook partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.