Pelicans vs. Nuggets prediction: Denver favored to win Wednesday's NBA matchup [10/29/2025]

NBA action continues on Wednesday at 9:00PM ET as the New Orleans Pelicans take on the favored Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena.

Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Nuggets as the most likely winner of the Pelicans vs. Nuggets game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Nuggets lineup will feature players like Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon, while the Pelicans will be led by Trey Murphy, Jordan Poole and Saddiq Bey.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Pelicans vs. Nuggets prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NBA matchup between the Pelicans and Nuggets 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Nuggets an 83% chance of beating the Pelicans. Our predicted final score has the Nuggets winning 122-111.

According to our model, the Pelicans (+12.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 235.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.

Pelicans vs. Nuggets odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Pelicans	Nuggets
Spread	+12.5 (-105)	-12.5 (-114)
Moneyline	+540	-700
Total	o235.5 (-105)	u235.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Pelicans vs. Nuggets picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Pelicans +12.5	-105
Moneyline	Pelicans	+540
Total	Under 235.5	-110

According to our NBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Pelicans +12.5 at the spread.

Pelicans vs. Nuggets player props

Looking for Pelicans vs. Nuggets NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Ball Arena.

Trey Murphy is expected to lead the Pelicans with 24 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists, while Nikola Jokic is projected to have 26 points, 12 rebounds and 11 assists for the Nuggets.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.

Pelicans prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Pelicans are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
Trey Murphy	24	5	5	3
Jordan Poole	21	3	5	4
Saddiq Bey	12	5	2	2
Jeremiah Fears	12	2	2	0
Herbert Jones	10	3	3	1

Nuggets prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Nuggets:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
Nikola Jokic	26	12	11	2
Jamal Murray	22	4	6	2
Aaron Gordon	18	5	3	2
Cameron Johnson	14	4	3	2
Christian Braun	13	5	3	1

Pelicans vs. Nuggets game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's matchup between the Nuggets and Pelicans at Ball Arena is scheduled to commence at 9:00PM ET.

• Who: New Orleans Pelicans vs. Denver Nuggets
• Date: Wednesday, October 29, 2025
• Time: 9:00PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: Ball Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Nuggets, with an 83% win probability, will likely beat the Pelicans on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Pelicans vs. Nuggets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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