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Pelicans vs. Nuggets Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pelicans vs. Nuggets NBA game on October 29, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
88
122
Oct 30, 1AM Ball Arena
Oct 30, 1AM Ball Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pelicans | 25 | 24 | 39 | 0 | 88 |
Nuggets | 34 | 33 | 55 | 0 | 122 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
7%
93%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pelicans | 25 | 24 | 39 | 0 | 88 |
Nuggets | 34 | 33 | 55 | 0 | 122 |
Q4 00:20 Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:32 Zeke Nnaji makes two point layup
Q4 00:35 Spencer Jones misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:46 Micah Peavy makes two point dunk
Q4 00:56 Pelicans makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:06 Jalen Pickett makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:17 Pelicans makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:19 Karlo Matkovic misses two point turnaround hook shot
Q4 1:34 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:37 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Nuggets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+2
Zeke Nnaji makes two point layup
88-122
Spencer Jones misses three point jump shot
Zeke Nnaji offensive rebound
+2
Micah Peavy makes two point dunk
88-122
Nuggets turnover
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
88-122
+2
Jalen Pickett makes two point jump shot
88-122
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
88-122
Derik Queen offensive rebound
Karlo Matkovic misses two point turnaround hook shot
Spencer Jones offensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
88-122
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Pelicans turnover
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Hunter Tyson defensive rebound
Pelicans offensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
Derik Queen misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Derik Queen misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Micah Peavy defensive rebound
Julian Strawther misses three point jump shot
Jalen Pickett offensive rebound
Hunter Tyson misses three point jump shot
Hunter Tyson defensive rebound
+1
Micah Peavy makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-122
Hunter Tyson personal foul (Loose ball)
Nuggets defensive rebound
Micah Peavy misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Nuggets personal foul
Pelicans personal foul
Hunter Tyson turnover
Jordan Hawkins misses three point jump shot
Hunter Tyson personal foul (Loose ball) (Micah Peavy draws the foul)
Nuggets personal foul
Spencer Jones turnover (offensive foul)
Zeke Nnaji personal foul (Bryce McGowens draws the foul)
+1
Bryce McGowens makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-122
Nuggets 60 second timeout
+1
Bryce McGowens makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-122
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
Pelicans personal foul
Pelicans lineup change (Bryce McGowens, Karlo Matkovic, Derik Queen, Micah Peavy, Jordan Hawkins)
Micah Peavy misses two point jump shot
Zeke Nnaji turnover (Derik Queen steals)
Hunter Tyson defensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
Pelicans offensive rebound
Jeremiah Fears misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Jeremiah Fears misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Jordan Hawkins defensive rebound
Spencer Jones misses three point jump shot
Hunter Tyson defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets offensive rebound
Julian Strawther misses three point jump shot
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Micah Peavy misses three point running jump shot
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
88-122
Jordan Hawkins defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Zeke Nnaji shooting foul (Jordan Hawkins draws the foul)
+1
Jordan Hawkins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-122
+1
Jordan Hawkins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-122
Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Hunter Tyson, Spencer Jones, Zeke Nnaji, Jalen Pickett)
Micah Peavy offensive rebound
Jordan Hawkins misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
88-122
Pelicans personal foul
Pelicans lineup change (Bryce McGowens, Jeremiah Fears, Derik Queen, Micah Peavy, Jordan Hawkins)
Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Bruce Brown, Zeke Nnaji, Jalen Pickett, Peyton Watson)
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
88-122
+3
Jalen Pickett makes three point jump shot (Jonas Valanciunas assists)
88-122
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Jordan Hawkins misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
88-122
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
88-122
Jordan Hawkins offensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Jeremiah Fears, Derik Queen, Micah Peavy, Jordan Hawkins)
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
88-122
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
88-122
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
88-122
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
88-122
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
88-122
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Jalen Pickett makes regular free throw 1 of 1
88-122
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
88-122
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
88-122
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-122
Saddiq Bey misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Pelicans lineup change (Saddiq Bey, Trey Murphy III, Jeremiah Fears, Jordan Poole, Derik Queen)
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
Jonas Valanciunas misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
88-122
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
88-122
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+2
Peyton Watson makes two point jump shot
60-92
+2
Jeremiah Fears makes two point jump shot
60-92
Instant replay
Jalen Pickett turnover (Jeremiah Fears steals)
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Jordan Poole makes regular free throw 1 of 1
88-122
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
58-92
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-122
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets miss heave shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jonas Valanciunas, Jalen Pickett, Peyton Watson)
Pelicans lineup change (Saddiq Bey, Trey Murphy III, Jeremiah Fears, Jordan Poole, Zion Williamson)
Nikola Jokic personal foul
Yves Missi misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pelicans offensive rebound
Yves Missi misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Pelicans defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
88-122
Jose Alvarado defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses two point floating jump shot
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Bruce Brown offensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
Pelicans turnover
Nikola Jokic personal foul (Saddiq Bey draws the foul)
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Peyton Watson)
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
88-122
Pelicans turnover
Stoppage (Other)
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
88-122
Saddiq Bey offensive rebound
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
88-122
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point finger roll layup (Jamal Murray assists)
88-122
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
54-85
Nuggets turnover
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Yves Missi offensive rebound
Saddiq Bey misses three point jump shot
Nuggets violation
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Jordan Poole makes technical free throw 1 of 1
88-122
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
79-116
Pelicans personal foul
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
88-122
Nuggets violation
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Pelicans lineup change (Saddiq Bey, Yves Missi, Jordan Poole, Zion Williamson, Jose Alvarado)
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
79-116
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Peyton Watson assists)
88-122
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Jordan Poole misses three point jump shot
Christian Braun offensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
79-116
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
79-116
Nuggets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+2
Christian Braun makes two point running dunk (Peyton Watson assists)
49-67
Pelicans lineup change (Saddiq Bey, Trey Murphy III, Yves Missi, Jordan Poole, Jose Alvarado)
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Pelicans lineup change (Saddiq Bey, Trey Murphy III, Yves Missi, Jordan Poole, Jose Alvarado)
Pelicans lineup change (Saddiq Bey, Trey Murphy III, Yves Missi, Jordan Poole, Jose Alvarado)
Pelicans turnover
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
79-116
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Pelicans lineup change (Saddiq Bey, Trey Murphy III, Jeremiah Fears, Yves Missi, Jordan Poole)
Cameron Johnson shooting foul (Yves Missi draws the foul)
Yves Missi misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Yves Missi misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pelicans offensive rebound
Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Peyton Watson)
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
79-116
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Herbert Jones misses two point jump shot
Pelicans lineup change (Saddiq Bey, Trey Murphy III, Jeremiah Fears, Yves Missi, Herbert Jones)
Nuggets personal foul
Nuggets turnover
Zion Williamson turnover (bad pass) (Jamal Murray steals)
Christian Braun turnover
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Jeremiah Fears misses three point jump shot
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Jeremiah Fears, Yves Missi, Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones)
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
79-116
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-122
Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
49-63
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Christian Braun offensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Pelicans personal foul
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
DeAndre Jordan offensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+3
Aaron Gordon makes three point jump shot (Christian Braun assists)
56-92
Christian Braun offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
56-92
+3
Cameron Johnson makes three point pullup bank jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
49-61
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
56-92
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Nuggets offensive rebound
Nuggets offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Jeremiah Fears, Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones, DeAndre Jordan)
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Herbert Jones personal foul
Pelicans lineup change (Saddiq Bey, Trey Murphy III, Jeremiah Fears, Yves Missi, Zion Williamson)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
47-53
Nuggets turnover
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
65-96
Pelicans defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses two point jump shot
Pelicans personal foul
Nikola Jokic personal foul (Loose ball) (Trey Murphy III draws the foul)
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
47-53
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
47-53
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-96
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
65-96
Yves Missi defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Jamal Murray offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
56-92
Pelicans defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
65-96
Christian Braun defensive rebound
+2
Yves Missi makes two point jump shot
35-51
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Nuggets personal foul
Yves Missi misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun)
Nuggets personal foul
Jonas Valanciunas turnover (offensive foul)
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Jeremiah Fears, Yves Missi, Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones)
Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun)
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
65-96
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
65-96
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
65-96
+2
Jeremiah Fears makes two point jump shot
31-47
Nuggets turnover
Pelicans turnover
Nuggets personal foul
Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown, Jonas Valanciunas, Christian Braun, Peyton Watson)
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Pelicans turnover
+2
Peyton Watson makes two point jump shot
35-53
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
47-53
Derik Queen personal foul
Julian Strawther misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Nuggets offensive rebound
+1
Julian Strawther makes regular free throw 2 of 2
47-53
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Jeremiah Fears, Yves Missi, Derik Queen, Herbert Jones)
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Derik Queen offensive rebound
Derik Queen misses two point jump shot
Derik Queen offensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Yves Missi defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Jeremiah Fears offensive rebound
Pelicans turnover
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Jeremiah Fears, Yves Missi, Jordan Poole, Derik Queen)
Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Julian Strawther, Bruce Brown, Jonas Valanciunas, Peyton Watson)
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Nuggets defensive rebound
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Jeremiah Fears, Yves Missi, Jordan Poole, Derik Queen)
Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Julian Strawther, Bruce Brown, Jonas Valanciunas, Peyton Watson)
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Jordan Poole, Derik Queen, Jose Alvarado, DeAndre Jordan)
Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Bruce Brown, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Jonas Valanciunas)
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Julian Strawther misses three point jump shot
Pelicans turnover
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Jordan Poole, Derik Queen, Jose Alvarado, DeAndre Jordan)
+2
Jonas Valanciunas makes two point jump shot (Julian Strawther assists)
47-53
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Aaron Gordon personal foul (Jordan Poole draws the foul)
Instant replay (Request: Stands)
Pelicans 60 second timeout
+3
Julian Strawther makes three point jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)
27-42
Jose Alvarado misses three point running pullup jump shot
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses three point running pullup jump shot
DeAndre Jordan turnover (lost ball) (Bruce Brown steals)
+3
Bruce Brown makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
27-39
Bruce Brown shooting foul (Jordan Poole draws the foul)
+1
Jordan Poole makes regular free throw 2 of 2
27-36
Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Bruce Brown, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Jonas Valanciunas)
+1
Jordan Poole makes regular free throw 1 of 2
26-36
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Aaron Gordon misses three point pullup jump shot
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Trey Murphy III misses three point jump shot
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Jose Alvarado misses three point jump shot
Trey Murphy III offensive rebound
Pelicans turnover
Pelicans turnover
Pelicans lineup change (Jeremiah Fears, Yves Missi, Jordan Poole, Herbert Jones, DeAndre Jordan)
Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Peyton Watson)
Pelicans personal foul
Zion Williamson turnover (lost ball)
Zion Williamson misses two point turnaround jump shot
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 22 | D. Queen | 4 | 8 | 0 |
| G-F | 14 | M. Peavy | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| F-C | 17 | K. Matkovic | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 11 | B. McGowens | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| G | 24 | J. Hawkins | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 24 | J. Pickett | 8 | 2 | 3 |
| F | 21 | S. Jones | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| F | 5 | H. Tyson | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| F-C | 22 | Z. Nnaji | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| G | 3 | J. Strawther | 6 | 2 | 2 |
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Pelicans vs. Nuggets: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Pelicans vs. Nuggets
- Date: Wednesday, October 29, 2025
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- Venue: Ball Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Nuggets favored at -11.5
- Total (Over/Under): 240
- Moneyline Odds: Pelicans +500, Nuggets -590
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Pelicans: 20%
- Nuggets: 80%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pelicans 113-124 Nuggets.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pelicans a win probability of 20%, while the Nuggets have a win probability of 80%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Nuggets are more likely to beat the Pelicans in the NBA game at Ball Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Pelicans vs. Nuggets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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