Pelicans vs. Mavericks prediction: Dallas favored to win Friday's NBA Cup matchup [11/21/2025]

The Dallas Mavericks will square off with the New Orleans Pelicans in NBA Cup action at American Airlines Center on Friday, beginning at 8:30PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Mavericks as the most likely winner of the Pelicans vs. Mavericks game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Mavericks lineup will feature stars like Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington and Brandon Williams, while the Pelicans will rely on Zion Williamson, Trey Murphy and Derik Queen.

This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Pelicans vs. Mavs prediction: Who will win NBA Cup game?

As part of Dimers' NBA predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, spread, and over/under probabilities for Friday's clash between the Pelicans and Mavericks.

Our leading predictive model gives the Mavericks a 63% chance of defeating the Pelicans. Our predicted final score has the Mavericks winning 118-114.

According to our model, the Mavericks (-3.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 234.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.

Pelicans vs. Mavericks odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Pelicans vs. Mavericks picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Mavericks to win.

Pelicans vs. Mavericks player props

NBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on Friday's Pelicans vs. Mavericks game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at American Airlines Center.

Zion Williamson is expected to lead the Pelicans with 24 points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists, while Cooper Flagg is projected to have 18 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists for the Mavericks.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.

Pelicans prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Pelicans are:

Mavericks prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Mavericks:

Pelicans vs. Mavs game-day updates and essential details

Friday's game between the Mavericks and Pelicans at American Airlines Center is scheduled to start at 8:30PM ET.

• Who: New Orleans Pelicans vs. Dallas Mavericks
• Date: Friday, November 21, 2025
• Time: 8:30PM ET/5:30PM PT
• Venue: American Airlines Center
• Tournament details: 2025 Emirates NBA Cup

Conclusion

We predict the Mavericks, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Pelicans on Friday, with Zion Williamson projected for a game-high 45 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Pelicans vs. Mavericks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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