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Pelicans vs. Mavericks Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pelicans vs. Mavericks NBA game on November 21, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
115
118
Nov 22, 1:30AM American Airlines Center
Nov 22, 1:30AM American Airlines Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pelicans | 34 | 29 | 22 | 30 | 115 |
Mavericks | 25 | 24 | 36 | 33 | 118 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
2%
98%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pelicans | 34 | 29 | 22 | 30 | 115 |
Mavericks | 25 | 24 | 36 | 33 | 118 |
Q4 00:04 Derik Queen misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:09 Trey Murphy III misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:21 P.J. Washington blocks Jeremiah Fears's three point jump shot
Q4 00:31 Naji Marshall makes three point jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)
Q4 00:42 Zion Williamson misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q4 1:19 Cooper Flagg makes two point turnaround bank jump shot
Q4 1:53 Zion Williamson makes two point driving floating jump shot
Q4 1:56 Zion Williamson misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:12 Cooper Flagg makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
Q4 2:25 Herbert Jones makes two point driving hook shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Derik Queen misses three point jump shot
Jeremiah Fears offensive rebound
Trey Murphy III misses three point jump shot
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Jeremiah Fears personal foul (Take) (Max Christie draws the foul)
+1
Max Christie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
115-117
+1
Max Christie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
115-118
Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Hawkins, Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Herbert Jones, Derik Queen)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, Caleb Martin, Cooper Flagg)
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
P.J. Washington blocks Jeremiah Fears's three point jump shot
Pelicans 60 second timeout
+3
Naji Marshall makes three point jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)
115-116
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Zion Williamson misses two point driving floating jump shot
Cooper Flagg turnover (lost ball) (Herbert Jones steals)
Derik Queen turnover (lost ball) (Dereck Lively II steals)
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point turnaround bank jump shot
115-113
Max Christie shooting foul (Zion Williamson draws the foul)
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
114-111
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
115-111
Naji Marshall turnover (lost ball) (Zion Williamson steals)
Zion Williamson offensive rebound
Dereck Lively II shooting foul (Zion Williamson draws the foul)
+2
Zion Williamson makes two point driving floating jump shot
112-111
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
113-111
Zion Williamson misses two point jump shot
Derik Queen shooting foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
110-110
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 1
110-111
Cooper Flagg defensive goaltending violation
+2
Herbert Jones makes two point driving hook shot
110-108
+2
Max Christie makes two point running finger roll layup (Cooper Flagg assists)
108-108
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Trey Murphy III misses three point pullup jump shot
Pelicans offensive rebound
Dereck Lively II blocks Derik Queen's two point driving layup
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Naji Marshall personal foul (Jeremiah Fears draws the foul)
Herbert Jones defensive rebound
+1
Trey Murphy III makes technical free throw 1 of 1
108-105
Herbert Jones personal foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
Naji Marshall technical foul
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 2
108-106
Cooper Flagg misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Derik Queen makes two point driving bank hook shot (Jeremiah Fears assists)
107-105
Pelicans offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
P.J. Washington blocks Derik Queen's two point driving layup
Jeremiah Fears shooting foul (Naji Marshall draws the foul)
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 2
105-104
Pelicans 60 second timeout
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-105
+2
Derik Queen makes two point driving layup
105-103
Pelicans offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Court cleanup)
Mavericks lineup change (Dereck Lively II, Max Christie, Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, Cooper Flagg)
Trey Murphy III misses two point running finger roll layup
Max Christie turnover (lost ball) (Zion Williamson steals)
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Trey Murphy III misses three point jump shot
Herbert Jones defensive rebound
Max Christie misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
115-113
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot
115-113
Pelicans lineup change (Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones, Derik Queen)
Pelicans personal foul
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Max Christie makes technical free throw 1 of 1
115-113
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Cooper Flagg)
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
115-113
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
99-100
Cooper Flagg offensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses two point driving layup
Jeremiah Fears turnover
Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Max Christie shooting foul (Jeremiah Fears draws the foul)
Mavericks violation
+2
Jeremiah Fears makes two point running layup
99-100
+1
Jeremiah Fears makes regular free throw 1 of 1
99-100
Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Brandon Williams offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Max Christie defensive rebound
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Naji Marshall, Daniel Gafford, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg)
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Brandon Williams misses three point jump shot
+2
Trey Murphy III makes two point jump shot
115-113
Derik Queen defensive rebound
P.J. Washington misses three point jump shot
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Herbert Jones offensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Saddiq Bey offensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Pelicans personal foul
Pelicans turnover
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
115-113
Pelicans lineup change (Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Herbert Jones, Derik Queen)
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
115-113
Stoppage (Court cleanup)
+2
Max Christie makes two point running dunk (Cooper Flagg assists)
94-96
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Brandon Williams blocks Jose Alvarado's three point stepback jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg)
Pelicans personal foul
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Micah Peavy, Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey, Jose Alvarado)
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 2
115-113
Mavericks lineup change (Dereck Lively II, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg)
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 2
115-113
Dereck Lively II personal foul
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
115-113
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Micah Peavy, Jeremiah Fears, Zion Williamson, Jose Alvarado)
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
115-113
Mavericks lineup change (Dereck Lively II, P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg)
+3
P.J. Washington makes three point jump shot
115-113
+2
Micah Peavy makes two point jump shot (Jose Alvarado assists)
92-92
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
115-113
Brandon Williams offensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses three point jump shot
Micah Peavy blocks Brandon Williams's two point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-87
Mavericks personal foul
Zion Williamson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Jose Alvarado defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Pelicans turnover
+1
Dereck Lively II makes regular free throw 2 of 2
89-87
+1
Dereck Lively II makes regular free throw 1 of 2
89-86
Pelicans personal foul
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Dereck Lively II offensive rebound
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
115-113
Mavericks violation
Mavericks turnover
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
115-113
Mavericks personal foul
Pelicans offensive rebound
+1
Jeremiah Fears makes regular free throw 2 of 2
85-85
Jeremiah Fears misses regular free throw 1 of 2
End of 3rd Quarter.
Mavericks lineup change (Dereck Lively II, P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson, Caleb Martin, Brandon Williams)
Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Hawkins, Yves Missi, Micah Peavy, Zion Williamson, Jose Alvarado)
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Mavericks defensive rebound
Pelicans personal foul
Daniel Gafford misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Hawkins, Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Jose Alvarado)
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson, Caleb Martin, Daniel Gafford)
+1
Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 1 of 2
115-113
Jordan Hawkins misses two point driving layup
Jordan Hawkins defensive rebound
Jaden Hardy misses three point jump shot
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Mavericks personal foul
Zion Williamson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Zion Williamson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Pelicans offensive rebound
Jordan Hawkins defensive rebound
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 2
84-85
Naji Marshall misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
84-85
Daniel Gafford personal foul (Zion Williamson draws the foul)
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
108-106
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
82-83
+2
Jose Alvarado makes two point jump shot
108-106
Jose Alvarado defensive rebound
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 1 of 2
108-106
Daniel Gafford misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Klay Thompson defensive rebound
Micah Peavy misses three point jump shot
Zion Williamson defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
108-106
Mavericks turnover
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Pelicans personal foul
Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Hawkins, Yves Missi, Micah Peavy, Zion Williamson, Jose Alvarado)
Jaden Hardy defensive rebound
Daniel Gafford blocks Micah Peavy's two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
108-106
Cooper Flagg personal foul
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Micah Peavy, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Jose Alvarado)
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
84-85
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
108-106
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson, Daniel Gafford, Jaden Hardy)
Naji Marshall turnover (bad pass) (Herbert Jones steals)
+2
Trey Murphy III makes two point jump shot (Derik Queen assists)
76-78
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Cooper Flagg offensive rebound
Max Christie misses three point jump shot
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+3
Brandon Williams makes three point jump shot
76-78
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot (Brandon Williams assists)
76-78
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Jose Alvarado misses three point jump shot
Derik Queen personal foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 1
76-78
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
108-106
+2
Derik Queen makes two point jump shot
76-78
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Naji Marshall, Daniel Gafford, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg)
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Max Christie defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Herbert Jones defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Herbert Jones misses two point jump shot
Mavericks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jose Alvarado defensive rebound
Brandon Williams misses two point driving layup
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
76-78
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Pelicans lineup change (Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Herbert Jones, Jose Alvarado, Derik Queen)
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
76-78
Derik Queen turnover (bad pass) (Max Christie steals)
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 2 of 2
70-62
Herbert Jones personal foul
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 2
76-78
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Dereck Lively II offensive foul (Off the ball) (Trey Murphy III draws the foul)
Dereck Lively II turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Jeremiah Fears makes two point jump shot
76-78
Mavericks turnover
Pelicans turnover
Trey Murphy III personal foul
+1
Max Christie makes regular free throw 1 of 1
76-78
Mavericks technical foul (Defensive three second)
+1
Trey Murphy III makes technical free throw 1 of 1
94-96
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
72-70
Pelicans 60 second timeout
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
76-78
Dereck Lively II offensive rebound
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
76-78
P.J. Washington misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Derik Queen makes two point jump shot
76-78
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
70-62
Dereck Lively II personal foul
+1
Derik Queen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
64-54
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+1
Derik Queen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
70-62
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point driving layup (Brandon Williams assists)
63-54
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+3
Max Christie makes three point jump shot (Brandon Williams assists)
63-52
Jaden Hardy misses three point jump shot
Herbert Jones defensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Pelicans lineup change (Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones, Derik Queen)
Mavericks lineup change (Dereck Lively II, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson, Jaden Hardy, Cooper Flagg)
Pelicans lineup change (Micah Peavy, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Herbert Jones, Jose Alvarado)
Saddiq Bey personal foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
63-49
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
63-49
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Micah Peavy, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Herbert Jones)
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
P.J. Washington personal foul (Trey Murphy III draws the foul)
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
P.J. Washington turnover (Derik Queen steals)
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 1
63-49
Stoppage (Court cleanup)
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Pelicans turnover
Pelicans lineup change (Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones, Derik Queen)
Daniel Gafford turnover (Trey Murphy III steals)
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
63-49
Herbert Jones defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Jaden Hardy defensive rebound
Herbert Jones misses two point driving floating jump shot
Herbert Jones defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
58-49
+3
Jaden Hardy makes three point running jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)
56-49
Pelicans turnover
Herbert Jones turnover
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Jaden Hardy, Cooper Flagg)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Jaden Hardy, Cooper Flagg)
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones)
Pelicans lineup change (Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones)
Herbert Jones defensive rebound
Max Christie misses three point jump shot
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Yves Missi misses two point driving floating jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
56-46
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jeremiah Fears turnover
Micah Peavy defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Jaden Hardy turnover
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
56-43
Zion Williamson defensive rebound
Pelicans personal foul
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Naji Marshall, Daniel Gafford, Jaden Hardy, Cooper Flagg)
Naji Marshall misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 2
56-43
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Micah Peavy, Jeremiah Fears, Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones)
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Herbert Jones misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
54-42
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Pelicans offensive rebound
Mavericks personal foul
Derik Queen misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pelicans offensive rebound
+1
Derik Queen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
54-40
Mavericks violation
Pelicans lineup change (Micah Peavy, Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey, Herbert Jones, Derik Queen)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
53-40
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
53-38
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (Dereck Lively II, Max Christie, Naji Marshall, Jaden Hardy, Cooper Flagg)
Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
50-38
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
51-38
Pelicans lineup change (Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Herbert Jones, Derik Queen)
Mavericks lineup change (Dereck Lively II, Naji Marshall, Klay Thompson, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg)
Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Saddiq Bey makes two point jump shot
49-38
Mavericks turnover
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
47-38
Derik Queen offensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Pelicans 60 second timeout
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
45-38
Klay Thompson offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Mavericks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
45-35
Dereck Lively II offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
44-33
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Derik Queen makes regular free throw 1 of 1
45-33
Pelicans lineup change (Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Jose Alvarado, Derik Queen)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pelicans defensive rebound
Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Hawkins, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Jose Alvarado, Derik Queen)
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot (Zion Williamson assists)
42-33
Zion Williamson offensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Pelicans defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (Dereck Lively II, P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson, Caleb Martin, Brandon Williams)
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Pelicans turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
39-33
Pelicans personal foul
Pelicans personal foul
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
39-31
Mavericks turnover
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
36-31
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
36-28
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
34-28
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Pelicans offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Hawkins, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Jose Alvarado, Derik Queen)
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson, Caleb Martin, Daniel Gafford, Brandon Williams)
Jose Alvarado defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Jose Alvarado offensive rebound
Pelicans personal foul
Mavericks personal foul
Mavericks turnover
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Hawkins, Yves Missi, Micah Peavy, Zion Williamson, Jose Alvarado)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Hawkins, Yves Missi, Micah Peavy, Zion Williamson, Jose Alvarado)
Instant replay
Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Hawkins, Yves Missi, Micah Peavy, Saddiq Bey, Jose Alvarado)
P.J. Washington turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Pelicans challenge timeout
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Jose Alvarado defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
32-25
Yves Missi offensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson, Daniel Gafford, Jaden Hardy)
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
30-25
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
28-25
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Yves Missi misses two point tip layup
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Pelicans personal foul
Mavericks offensive rebound
P.J. Washington misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Hawkins, Yves Missi, Micah Peavy, Saddiq Bey, Jose Alvarado)
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-23
Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
28-22
Mavericks personal foul
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
27-19
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Herbert Jones)
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson, Moussa Cisse, Jaden Hardy)
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 1
28-19
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
25-19
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
25-17
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
23-17
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
23-14
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
21-14
Herbert Jones offensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
18-14
Pelicans turnover
Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
Mavericks turnover
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Brandon Williams turnover (lost ball)
+3
Jeremiah Fears makes three point pullup jump shot
18-12
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Pelicans lineup change (Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Herbert Jones, Derik Queen)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Naji Marshall, Moussa Cisse, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg)
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
15-12
+3
Herbert Jones makes three point jump shot (Derik Queen assists)
15-10
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Pelicans vs. Mavericks: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Pelicans vs. Mavericks
- Date: Friday, November 21, 2025
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Mavericks favored at -3.5
- Total (Over/Under): 234
- Moneyline Odds: Pelicans +140, Mavericks -154
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Pelicans: 37%
- Mavericks: 63%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pelicans 115-119 Mavericks.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pelicans a win probability of 37%, while the Mavericks have a win probability of 63%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Mavericks are more likely to beat the Pelicans in the NBA game at American Airlines Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Pelicans vs. Mavericks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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