New England Patriots vs. Denver Broncos: Our NFL Same Game Parlay on Sunday Night Football

New England Patriots vs. Denver Broncos: Our NFL Same Game Parlay on Sunday Night Football

The 2023 NFL season continues with Week 16 action as the Patriots and Broncos meet for a battle of AFC rivals on Sunday Night Football. Dimers has got you covered for the main event as we put our NFL player prop bets to the test, combining our model's best parlay picks of the night into a Same Game Parlay that you're going to want to lock in and ride out with us.

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NFL +525 Same Game Parlay For Sunday

PARLAY PICKS ODDS

Ezekiel Elliott (NE) Under 66.5 Rushing Yards

-110

Jerry Jeudy (DEN) Under 3.5 Receptions

-145

Courtland Sutton (DEN) Anytime Touchdown

+115

MORE: Read our week 16 NFL Parlay with Parlay Insurance on DraftKings

Sunday Night Football Parlay Analysis

New England Patriots vs. Denver Broncos 8:20PM ET

LEG 1: Ezekiel Elliott (NE) Under 66.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

We're fading the Patriots de facto RB1 on his rushing yards line for our first leg. Zeke has brought some refreshing life to his career over the past few weeks, offering some little spark to the otherwise lifeless Patriots offense. Rhamodnre Stevenson has been sidelined giving Zeke effectively full control over the backfield and yet, he's only topped this mark once since Week 3. The bigger impact he's had is in the receiving game, as he's gone from a floor of zero targets to seeing 5+ over his past three games. He's still only plodding along as a runner, maxing out at 3.1 YPC in that time. The Broncos have a notoriously poor rushing defense, but that's somewhat bloated by their early-season shellacking by the Dolphins, and the only backs they've allowed to clear this mark in their past four games are Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery last week, both much more efficient runners than Zeke. DimersBOT projects Zeke for just 57 rushing yards tonight with a 66.4% probability of going under. 

MORE: Best NFL Prop Picks

LEG 2: Jerry Jeudy (DEN) Under 3.5 Receptions (-145)

These next two legs are a redux of a previous Broncos primetime parlay, but DimersBOT likes them both again. Jerry Jeudy has disappointed throughout the early goings of his career and this season has been no exception. He has just 45 catches this whole season, clearing this mark in only four games and just once since October. He's seen his fair share of targets too, but simply fails to come down with the ball more times than not. New England's passing defense is right in the middle of the pack in the NFL but should be able to keep someone like Jeudy in his usual range of production. Our model has identified a 68.2% probability of Jeudy going under 3.5 catches once again.


LEG 3: Courtland Sutton (DEN) Anytime Touchdown (+115)

Courtland Sutton is having one of the best seasons of his career, and by far the best from a scoring perspective. He's found the endzone in ten games this year, coming off of just his fourth effort without a touchdown catch. He's made some incredible sideline grabs, too, breathing new life into the Broncos and particularly the arm of Russell Wilson. The Patriots' biggest strength is their rushing defense so expect the Broncos to try and exploit their average passing defense with some big plays to Sutton, who has proved he can produce on fairly minimal volume, as he's topped four catches just five times this year. That has rarely kept him from scoring though, and DimersBOT doesn't think it stops him tonight, giving him a 47.8% touchdown probability, currently the highest in this game.

🏈 New England Patriots vs. Denver Broncos Predictions
📈 Betting preview: New England Patriots vs. Denver Broncos


NFL +525 Same Game Parlay Sunday, December 24, 2023

1️⃣ Ezekiel Elliott (NE) Under 66.5 Rushing Yards
2️⃣ Jerry Jeudy (DEN) Under 3.5 Receptions
3️⃣ Courtland Sutton (DEN) Anytime Touchdown

The best odds for this SGP are over at DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change.

 

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Please remember to enjoy gambling responsibly. Responsible gambling means setting limits, staying in control, and understanding that luck is just part of the game. Make informed choices, set a budget, and know when to take a break. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for MLB and NFL, uses his deep knowledge to craft game previews for the NBA, MLB, and NFL. He also brings his expertise to the golf world with tournament previews and parlays for the PGA TOUR and major golf tournaments. Additionally, Dave offers valuable props for NBA, MLB, NHL, and NCAAM basketball, along with best bets for MLB, NHL, and NCAAM. 

When not delving into the world of sports, Dave is an avid advocate for New Haven pizza, enjoys reading comic books, gardening, and spending time with his cats. His broad interests and detailed sports insights ensure that his contributions are both engaging and informative.

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