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New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - Week 17 [2023]
The Buffalo Bills will face the New England Patriots in NFL Week 17 action at Highmark Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 1:00PM ET.
Dimers.com's full betting preview for this week's Patriots vs. Bills matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.
Patriots vs. Bills Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread
We have used advanced machine learning and data analysis to simulate the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Patriots and Bills 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of NFL predictions.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Bills a 91% chance of beating the Patriots in Week 17 of the NFL season, and our predicted final score has the Bills winning 26-13.
According to our model, the Patriots (+13.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 40.5-point Over/Under has a 53% chance of going under.
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Patriots vs. Bills Odds
We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Bet Type | Patriots | Bills |
---|---|---|
Spread | +13.5 (-115) | -13.5 (-105) |
Moneyline | +590 | -800 |
Total | o40.5 (-105) | u40.5 (-115) |
- The Bills are currently -13.5 favorites against the Patriots, with -105 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
- For the underdog Patriots (+13.5) to cover the spread, FanDuel also has the best odds currently on the market at -115.
- BetMGM Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Bills at -800, which means you can risk $800 to win $100 for a total payout of $900 if they get the W.
- Meanwhile, FanDuel currently has the best moneyline odds for the Patriots at +590, where you can bet $100 to profit $590, earning a total payout of $690 if they win.
- The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 40.5 with FanDuel, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -105, as well as the best odds for the Under at -115.
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
As always, check out all the online sportsbooks available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.
Patriots vs. Bills Picks
By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have found the best betting picks to make on this game:
Bet Type | Our Pick | Best Odds |
---|---|---|
Spread | Patriots +13.5 | -115 |
Moneyline | Bills | -800 |
Total | Under 40.5 | -115 |
Dimers' NFL best bets are based on world-class simulations and gambling intelligence to bring you the best possible plays every time.
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Patriots vs. Bills TD Scorers
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Patriots vs. Bills?
According to our model, Buffalo's Josh Allen is most likely to score the first touchdown in Patriots vs. Bills.
Our projections give Allen a 15.1% chance of scoring the first TD at Highmark Stadium, while the Bills QB is a 53.6% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
New England Patriots
Player | First TD Probability |
---|---|
Ezekiel Elliott | 10.1% |
Hunter Henry | 6.9% |
Demario Douglas | 3.9% |
DeVante Parker | 3.7% |
Bailey Zappe | 3.4% |
Buffalo Bills
Player | First TD Probability |
---|---|
Josh Allen | 15.1% |
James Cook | 13.7% |
Stefon Diggs | 7.9% |
Gabe Davis | 7.0% |
Dalton Kincaid | 5.9% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
New England Patriots
Player | Anytime TD Probability |
---|---|
Ezekiel Elliott | 42.2% |
Hunter Henry | 29.7% |
Demario Douglas | 18.3% |
DeVante Parker | 17.3% |
Bailey Zappe | 15.5% |
Buffalo Bills
Player | Anytime TD Probability |
---|---|
Josh Allen | 53.6% |
James Cook | 49.4% |
Stefon Diggs | 31.9% |
Gabe Davis | 29.2% |
Dalton Kincaid | 25.2% |
Patriots vs Bills Player Props
Here, you will find detailed projections for all of the key offensive players from the Patriots and Bills, including passing, rushing and receiving yards.
Patriots vs. Bills Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Bailey Zappe is projected for 210 passing yards, while the Bills' Josh Allen is expected to throw for 234 yards.
Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
---|---|
Bailey Zappe (NE) | 210 yds |
Josh Allen (BUF) | 234 yds |
Patriots Rushing
Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
---|---|
Ezekiel Elliott | 51 yds |
Kevin Harris | 20 yds |
Bailey Zappe | 10 yds |
Bills Rushing
Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
---|---|
James Cook | 59 yds |
Latavius Murray | 28 yds |
Josh Allen | 18 yds |
Patriots Receiving
Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
---|---|
Demario Douglas | 44 yds |
DeVante Parker | 42 yds |
Hunter Henry | 29 yds |
JuJu Smith-Schuster | 22 yds |
Ezekiel Elliott | 22 yds |
Bills Receiving
Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
---|---|
Stefon Diggs | 81 yds |
Dalton Kincaid | 37 yds |
Gabe Davis | 32 yds |
James Cook | 22 yds |
Khalil Shakir | 20 yds |
Don't forget, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Patriots vs. Bills on Sunday December 31, 2023.
Patriots vs. Bills Game Information
The NFL Week 17 action between the Bills and Patriots at Highmark Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills
- Date: Sunday December 31, 2023
- Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
- Venue: Highmark Stadium
Our full coverage of Patriots vs. Bills includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.
How to Bet on Patriots vs. Bills
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Conclusion
This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on Patriots vs. Bills Week 14 clash, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.
Dimers' picks and predictions are made thanks to 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While our Patriots vs. Bills predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively.
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