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NBA Thursday Betting Picks, Probabilities, Odds and Predicted Scores
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
DimersBOT is coming off another strong day for NBA picks, with 2/3 hitting last night.
As always, we've simulated all of tonight's games 10,000 times each determining where the value lies for bettors across the country.
Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on in every game via our NBA Bet Hub where we deliver you predictions and suggested bets, based on the edge we've identified against the sportsbooks' odds.
Just want picks? Sure thing. Visit our Quick Picks section and get the lowdown on the best bets for all pro and college sports.
Almost ready to join a Sportsbook and start betting online?
We’ve listed the best available Welcome Offers for each legal betting state at the bottom of this article!
Here is what the data is telling us for tonight's NBA games ⏬
Clippers @ Spurs
BET: 🔥 Total points UNDER 221.5 (-109 with FanDuel Sportsbook)
📈 51.3% probability
First up we're backing defense! Two strong defensive sides clash here and our model is taking the Under. The Over/Under is always a tight one to predict so when our model identifies a pick with over 51%, it's always a good one to throw some money down on!
MORE: Probabilities for Clippers @ Spurs
Warriors @ Kings
BET: 🔥 Kings at the moneyline (-139 with PointsBet)
📈 60.8% probability
The Golden State Warriors are still without Steph Curry and despite the recent big games from Oubre and Wiggins, we're taking the Kings in this one.
At the time of writing, the Sacramento Kings are favored by a basket and if you're really trusting our model, then they look pretty good to cover as well.
But more than just that, when PointsBet is offering free bets like they are in the offer below, why wouldn't you take advantage!?
MORE: Probabilities for Warriors @ Kings
76ers @ Lakers
BET: 🔥 76ers at the moneyline (-185 with BetMGM)
📈 66.4% probability
Sixers last 10 games: 9-1. Lakers since LeBron got injured: 0-3.
The Philadelphia 76ers should be too good in this matchup with the LeBron and AD-less Los Angeles Lakers, with Tobias Harris and Ben Simmons filling the current Embiid void well, leading the team to an incredible run.
The moneyline looks like great value for the away favorites here, with DimersBOT detecting a 4.1% edge against the sportsbooks' odds.
Click here to sign up to BetMGM to cash in!
MORE: Probabilities for 76ers @ Lakers
🏀 PROPS: NBA PLAYER PROPS
🏒 NHL: THURSDAY NHL PICKS
Ready to join a Sportsbook and start betting online? We’ve listed the best available Welcome Offers for each legal betting state.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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