Dueling Parlays in Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game 6

Dueling Parlays in Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game 6

After winning their first six games of the NBA Playoffs, the Timberwolves now find themselves on the brink of elimination. Anthony Edwards is poised to be one of the biggest young stars in this league but he'll now have to lead Minnesota to back-to-back wins to advance.

Will they survive or does their impressive postseason run come to an end? Well, we've used the DimersBOT to craft dueling Same-Game Parlays - one with the Nuggets winning and the other with Minnesota forcing a Game 7.

You just have to pick which side you're on. And no matter which one you choose, you can play it no-sweat at DraftKings.

Our model has been running simulations on today's slate ever since lines became available and we've used that data to identify the following betting opportunities in the Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves game.

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Two Ways to Bet on Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game 6 - May 16, 2024

As mentioned, we are looking at the Game 6 matchup featuring the Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves.

You can find numerous value playsas well as prop projections for every player in this game with Dimers Pro, so if you're not keen on either parlay, go ahead and use our data to find the play that's right for you!

No matter what you decide, be sure to use DraftKings' No-Sweat SGP Token to get your bet back as a bonus bet if it loses.

SGP #1 - "The Elimination Parlay" (+550 on DraftKings)

Nuggets Win
Nikola Jokic 10+ Assists
Jamal Murray Over 19.5 Points

The first parlay is centered around the Nuggets winning and eliminating the Timberwolves from the playoffs. Naturally, the first bet in this parlay is the Nuggets to win, which our model projects with a 45% probability and they're +110 to do so. DimersBOT projects the Nuggets to cover the 2.5-point spread with a 52% probability, so we expect a close one.

Next is an alternate assists prop on Nikola Jokic as we look for him to dish out at least 10 dimes. Jokic has done so just once in this series with 13 last game, though he had 9 twice. If you like, you can take his regular assists line of 8.5 for lower odds, but since we're using the no-sweat token, we like the plus-money as we project Jokic for 12 assists tonight.

Finally, we'll take Jamal Murray, the emergent villain of this series, to go over his points prop of 19.5. He gets a 25-point projection from our model tonight which presents a potential plus-money play on its own, or as a way to really bump these odds up if you're feeling daring.

Full Game Projections: Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

SGP #2 - "The Not Today Parlay" (+575 on DraftKings)

Timberwolves Win
Anthony Edwards Over 29.5 Points
Karl-Anthony Towns Over 2.5 Threes

If you're on the Timberwolves' side in Game 6, then you'll be getting them at -130 on the moneyline and a 55% probability from our model, which is almost in line with the implies probability of 56.5 by those odds. Taking them to cover the narrow spread will get you better odds, but we give them a 48% probability of doing so, and it only raises the SGP to +650.

If Anthony Edwards wants to force a Game 7, he'll need to play like he did during the Wolves' first six games when he head four games with 33+ points and two games with 40+. We project him for right on the money tonight with 30, just clearing his line of 29.5 points.

For the final leg of the "Not Today Parlay," we'll look at one of the better value props on the board tonight, with Karl-Anthony Towns to go over his three-pointers line of 2.5. Towns gets a 59% probability to clear this with a projection of 3.3from DimersBOT. We get generous plus-money odds of +160 for this prop, which suggests just a 38.5% probability, identifying clear value in this prop as a standalone play, too.

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Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for MLB and NFL, uses his deep knowledge to craft game previews for the NBA, MLB, and NFL. He also brings his expertise to the golf world with tournament previews and parlays for the PGA TOUR and major golf tournaments. Additionally, Dave offers valuable props for NBA, MLB, NHL, and NCAAM basketball, along with best bets for MLB, NHL, and NCAAM. 

When not delving into the world of sports, Dave is an avid advocate for New Haven pizza, enjoys reading comic books, gardening, and spending time with his cats. His broad interests and detailed sports insights ensure that his contributions are both engaging and informative.

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