NBA Playoffs Betting: Our Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Game 3 Betting Strategy

NBA Playoffs Betting: Our Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Game 3 Betting Strategy

Now that we're into the second round of the NBA Playoffs, we're seeing at most two matchups per day. With the smaller slates and focused games, the books have been rolling out expanded betting markets, especially on player props that can offer lucrative plus-money opportunities.

For example, ahead of Pacers-Knicks Game 2, we looked at the Top Points Scorer market with Jalen Brunson such a heavy favorite. Well, it turned out to be the right day to do so as Brunson missed a quarter of play and some of our lucky followers bet on Tyrese Haliburton to be the points leader at a big +3500 payday. Last night, we correctly predicted Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to be the top points scorer with a precise projection of 33 points and cashing +170.

We're going to dive into a few different markets for Game 3 of the Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves series.

Our model has been running simulations on today's slate ever since lines became available and we are using that data to identify betting opportunities in the Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves game.


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Four Ways to Bet on Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game 3 - May 10, 2024

As mentioned, we are looking at the Game 3 matchup featuring the Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves.

You can find numerous value playsas well as prop projections for every player in this game with Dimers Pro, so if you're not keen on these wagers, use our data to find the play that's right for you!

Bet #1 - Rudy Gobert Rebounds Leader (+125 on FanDuel)

For our first plus-money prop, we're looking at Rudy Gobert who missed Game 2 of this series to welcome his newborn son. The Wolves took care of business without him but now they get his new dad energy as they look to take a 3-0 lead at home.

Gobert grabbed the most boards in Game 1 with 13 - five more than the next highest rebounders at 8 apiece (McDaniels, Jokic). He gets a projection of 12 rebounds tonight which does come in as our second-highest total behind Jokic's projected 14, but makes his +125 odds pretty appealing.

Full Game Projections: Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

Bet #2 - Anthony Edwards Points Leader (+155 on FanDuel)

After a 43-point Game 1 explosion, Edwards turned in 27 points alongside Karl-Anthony Towns (who DimersBOT loves tonight) to tie for the top scorer in Game 2. Edwards has been scoring at an ungodly pace in these playoffs and we've got him projected for 29 tonight, one point behind Nikola Jokic who is a minus-odds favorite to lead tonight in scoring. 

A little line reading shows why we really like this too - Jokic is at 29.5 with juice to the under at -120, while Edwards' points line of 27.5 is juiced to the over at -118. 

Bet #3 - Nikola Jokic To Record a Triple Double (+200 on FanDuel)

This prop printed money in the regular season with Jokic rarely going under double-digit boards making his TD prop a great value anytime he was projected close to double-digit dimes, and that's what we've got tonight.

The freshly-named MVP draws a projected line of 30 points, 14 rebounds and 12 assists tonight. He nearly got there in both games so far (8 REB, 9 AST in Game 1 and 16 REB, 8 AST in Game 2) and the Nuggets will likely need everything from their star tonight. At +200 for a guy favored and projected to lead in the game in AST and REB, this is some classic DimersBOT value.

Bet #4 - K. Towns & M. Porter Jr. 20+ Points Each (+307 on FanDuel)

We'll finish off with a little two-team SGP on FanDuel backed by our model. MPJ and KAT are each projected to clear 20 points, with Towns getting a 27-point projection (little ladder anyone?) and Porter Jr. getting just over with 21 points from our model. 

Porter has hit 20+ in 5/7 playoff games, landing right on 20 twice and 19 once, while Towns has hit this in his past three.

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Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for MLB and NFL, uses his deep knowledge to craft game previews for the NBA, MLB, and NFL. He also brings his expertise to the golf world with tournament previews and parlays for the PGA TOUR and major golf tournaments. Additionally, Dave offers valuable props for NBA, MLB, NHL, and NCAAM basketball, along with best bets for MLB, NHL, and NCAAM. 

When not delving into the world of sports, Dave is an avid advocate for New Haven pizza, enjoys reading comic books, gardening, and spending time with his cats. His broad interests and detailed sports insights ensure that his contributions are both engaging and informative.

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