NBA player props today: Thursday's best props include Alex Caruso [12/18/2025]

Alex Caruso over 1.5 steals (+162)

• Edge: 12.2%
• Probability: 50.4%
• Projection: 1.5
• Game: Clippers vs. Thunder (8:00PM ET)

Our model has found value on Oklahoma City's Alex Caruso over 1.5 steals. A probability of 50.4% gives this play an edge of 12.2% at +162 odds.

Stephon Castle over 1.5 steals (+162)

• Edge: 10.7%
• Probability: 48.9%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Wizards vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET)

Stephon Castle’s steals prop shows a 10.7% edge at +162 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.4 steals on the over 1.5 line.

Jamal Murray over 1.5 steals (+188)

• Edge: 10.6%
• Probability: 45.3%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Magic vs. Nuggets (9:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Jamal Murray over 1.5 steals, with simulations showing a 45.3% probability and a 10.6% edge at +188.

Onyeka Okongwu over 1.5 blocks (+178)

• Edge: 10.5%
• Probability: 46.4%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Hawks vs. Hornets (7:00PM ET)

Our model projects Onyeka Okongwu to record 1.1 blocks today, creating an edge of 10.5% on the over 1.5 line at +178 odds.

Devin Vassell over 1.5 steals (+154)

• Edge: 9.8%
• Probability: 49.2%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Wizards vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Devin Vassell over 1.5 steals for San Antonio, showing an edge of 9.8% at +154 odds.

Toumani Camara over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 9.5%
• Probability: 45.5%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Kings vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET)

Toumani Camara’s steals prop shows an edge of 9.5% at +178 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.2 today.

Deni Avdija over 2.5 3-pointers made (+146)

• Edge: 9.4%
• Probability: 50.0%
• Projection: 2.5
• Game: Kings vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET)

Our model projects Deni Avdija for 2.5 3-pointers made for Portland, creating an edge of 9.4% on over 2.5 at +146 odds.

Stephen Curry over 1.5 steals (+154)

• Edge: 8.8%
• Probability: 48.1%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Warriors vs. Suns (9:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Stephen Curry for 1.4 steals, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +154 odds and a 8.8% edge.

Kyshawn George over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 8.7%
• Probability: 44.7%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Wizards vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET)

An 8.7% edge on the over 1.5 steals line makes Kyshawn George a value play in Wizards vs. Spurs, with our model projecting him for 1.1 steals at +178 odds.

Mikal Bridges under 0.5 blocks (+172)

• Edge: 8.3%
• Probability: 45.1%
• Projection: 1.0
• Game: Knicks vs. Pacers (7:00PM ET)

Simulations project Mikal Bridges for 1.0 blocks here, creating a 8.3% edge on the under 0.5 line at +172 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Thursday, December 18, 2025

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 9:58AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Clippers vs. Thunder	Alex Caruso over 1.5 steals	+162 @ FanDuel	12.2%	50.4%
Wizards vs. Spurs	Stephon Castle over 1.5 steals	+162 @ FanDuel	10.7%	48.9%
Magic vs. Nuggets	Jamal Murray over 1.5 steals	+188 @ FanDuel	10.5%	46.4%
Hawks vs. Hornets	Onyeka Okongwu over 1.5 blocks	+178 @ FanDuel	10.5%	46.4%
Wizards vs. Spurs	Devin Vassell over 1.5 steals	+154 @ DraftKings	9.8%	49.2%
Kings vs. Trail Blazers	Toumani Camara over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	9.5%	45.5%
Kings vs. Trail Blazers	Deni Avdija over 2.5 3-pointers made	+146 @ FanDuel	9.4%	50.0%
Warriors vs. Suns	Stephen Curry over 1.5 steals	+154 @ FanDuel	8.8%	48.1%
Wizards vs. Spurs	Kyshawn George over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	8.7%	44.7%
Knicks vs. Pacers	Mikal Bridges under 0.5 blocks	+172 @ FanDuel	8.3%	45.1%

Conclusion

For December 18, 2025, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Alex Caruso, Stephon Castle and Jamal Murray. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.