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Spurs vs. Warriors prediction: San Antonio to win, Victor Wembanyama projected for 27 points in Wednesday's NBA game [4/1/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors predictions for NBA Wednesday.
The Golden State Warriors and San Antonio Spurs will meet in NBA action at Chase Center on Wednesday, starting at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Spurs as the most likely winner of the Spurs vs. Warriors game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Warriors lineup will feature players like Brandin Podziemski, Gui Santos and Gary Payton, while the Spurs will look to Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle and De'Aaron Fox.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Spurs vs. Warriors prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NBA game between the Spurs and Warriors, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Spurs an 85% chance of beating the Warriors. Our predicted final score has the Spurs winning 119-107.
According to our model, the Warriors (+14) have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 227.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.
Spurs vs. Warriors odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Spurs | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -14 (-110) | +14 (-108) |
| Moneyline | -950 | +650 |
| Total | o227.5 (-108) | u227.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Spurs vs. Warriors picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Warriors +14 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Warriors | +650 |
| Total | Under 227.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Wednesday, the top play to make on this game is Warriors +14 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Spurs vs. Warriors player props
Betting on Spurs vs. Warriors NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Chase Center.
Victor Wembanyama is expected to lead the Spurs with 27 points, 12 rebounds and 4 assists, while Brandin Podziemski is projected to have 16 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists for the Warriors.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Spurs prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Spurs are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Wembanyama | 27 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 59 |
| Stephon Castle | 18 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 40 |
| De'Aaron Fox | 17 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 34 |
| Devin Vassell | 14 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 27 |
| Keldon Johnson | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 24 |
Warriors prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Warriors:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Podziemski | 16 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 36 |
| Gui Santos | 15 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 33 |
| Gary Payton | 13 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 29 |
| Pat Spencer | 10 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 25 |
| Draymond Green | 9 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 31 |
Spurs vs. Warriors game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's matchup between the Warriors and Spurs at Chase Center is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: San Antonio Spurs vs. Golden State Warriors
- Date: Wednesday, April 1, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Chase Center
Conclusion
We predict the Spurs, with an 85% win probability, will likely beat the Warriors on Wednesday, with Victor Wembanyama projected for a game-high 59 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Spurs vs. Warriors insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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