NBA player props today: Thursday's best props include De'Aaron Fox [2/19/2026]

De'Aaron Fox over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 11.8%
• Probability: 45.8%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Suns vs. Spurs (8:30PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on San Antonio's De'Aaron Fox over 1.5 steals. A probability of 45.8% gives this play an edge of 11.8% at +194 odds.

Paul Reed over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 11.7%
• Probability: 47.7%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Pistons vs. Knicks (7:30PM ET)

Paul Reed’s steals prop shows an 11.7% edge at +178 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.3 steals on the over 1.5 line.

Jay Huff over 2.5 blocks (+154)

• Edge: 11.3%
• Probability: 50.6%
• Projection: 2.6
• Game: Pacers vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Jay Huff over 2.5 blocks, with simulations showing a 50.6% probability and an 11.3% edge at +154.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 11.1%
• Probability: 45.1%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Hawks vs. 76ers (7:00PM ET)

Our model projects Nickeil Alexander-Walker to record 1.1 steals today, creating an edge of 11.1% on the over 1.5 line at +194 odds.

Andrew Nembhard over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 10.9%
• Probability: 45.0%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Pacers vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Andrew Nembhard over 1.5 steals for Indiana, showing an edge of 10.9% at +194 odds.

Keegan Murray over 1.5 blocks (+165)

• Edge: 10.3%
• Probability: 48.0%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Magic vs. Kings (10:00PM ET)

Keegan Murray’s blocks prop shows an edge of 10.3% at +165 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.3 today.

Brandon Miller over 1.5 steals (+180)

• Edge: 10.0%
• Probability: 45.7%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Rockets vs. Hornets (7:00PM ET)

Our model projects Brandon Miller for 1.2 steals for Charlotte, creating an edge of 10.0% on over 1.5 at +180 odds.

Paul Reed over 1.5 blocks (+154)

• Edge: 9.2%
• Probability: 48.6%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Pistons vs. Knicks (7:30PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Paul Reed for 1.3 blocks, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +154 odds and a 9.2% edge.

Ryan Kalkbrenner over 1.5 blocks (+148)

• Edge: 9.1%
• Probability: 49.4%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Rockets vs. Hornets (7:00PM ET)

A 9.1% edge on the over 1.5 blocks line makes Ryan Kalkbrenner a value play in Rockets vs. Hornets, with our model projecting him for 1.4 blocks at +148 odds.

Onyeka Okongwu over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 9.0%
• Probability: 45.0%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Hawks vs. 76ers (7:00PM ET)

Simulations project Onyeka Okongwu for 1.1 steals here, creating a 9.0% edge on the over 1.5 line at +178 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Thursday, February 19, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 5:27AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Suns vs. Spurs	De'Aaron Fox over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	11.8%	45.8%
Pistons vs. Knicks	Paul Reed over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	11.7%	47.7%
Pacers vs. Wizards	Jay Huff over 2.5 blocks	+154 @ FanDuel	11.1%	45.1%
Hawks vs. 76ers	Nickeil Alexander-Walker over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	11.1%	45.1%
Pacers vs. Wizards	Andrew Nembhard over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	10.9%	45.0%
Magic vs. Kings	Keegan Murray over 1.5 blocks	+165 @ BetMGM	10.3%	48.0%
Rockets vs. Hornets	Brandon Miller over 1.5 steals	+180 @ DraftKings	10.0%	45.7%
Pistons vs. Knicks	Paul Reed over 1.5 blocks	+154 @ DraftKings	9.2%	48.6%
Rockets vs. Hornets	Ryan Kalkbrenner over 1.5 blocks	+148 @ FanDuel	9.1%	49.4%
Hawks vs. 76ers	Onyeka Okongwu over 1.5 steals	+178 @ DraftKings	9.0%	45.0%

Conclusion

For February 19, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as De'Aaron Fox, Paul Reed and Jay Huff. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.