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NBA player props today: Monday's best props include Kon Knueppel [12/22/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get NBA player props today with projections for Monday's games.
Dimers' NBA props are live for December 22, 2025, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Kon Knueppel, Brandon Miller and LaMelo Ball.
Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Hornets vs. Cavaliers and Jazz vs. Nuggets, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.
List of NBA prop picks for Monday, 12/22
Below are the top ten NBA player props for December 22, ranked by edge.
Kon Knueppel over 3.5 3-pointers made (+130)
- Edge: 11.2%
- Probability: 54.7%
- Projection: 3.9
- Game: Hornets vs. Cavaliers (7:00PM ET)
Our model has found value on Charlotte's Kon Knueppel over 3.5 3-pointers made. A probability of 54.7% gives this play an edge of 11.2% at +130 odds.
Brandon Miller over 1.5 steals (+194)
- Edge: 10.4%
- Probability: 44.4%
- Projection: 1.1
- Game: Hornets vs. Cavaliers (7:00PM ET)
Brandon Miller’s steals prop shows a 10.4% edge at +194 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.1 steals on the over 1.5 line.
LaMelo Ball over 1.5 steals (+194)
- Edge: 10.1%
- Probability: 44.2%
- Projection: 1.1
- Game: Hornets vs. Cavaliers (7:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on LaMelo Ball over 1.5 steals, with simulations showing a 44.2% probability and a 10.1% edge at +194.
Nikola Jokic over 1.5 steals (+138)
- Edge: 8.4%
- Probability: 50.4%
- Projection: 1.5
- Game: Jazz vs. Nuggets (9:00PM ET)
Our model projects Nikola Jokic to record 1.5 steals today, creating an edge of 8.4% on the over 1.5 line at +138 odds.
Jamal Murray over 1.5 steals (+162)
- Edge: 8.4%
- Probability: 46.5%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Jazz vs. Nuggets (9:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Jamal Murray over 1.5 steals for Denver, showing an edge of 8.4% at +162 odds.
Herbert Jones over 1.5 steals (+129)
- Edge: 7.4%
- Probability: 51.1%
- Projection: 1.6
- Game: Mavericks vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET)
Herbert Jones’s steals prop shows an edge of 7.4% at +129 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.6 today.
Deni Avdija over 7.5 rebounds (+120)
- Edge: 7.3%
- Probability: 52.7%
- Projection: 8.0
- Game: Pistons vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET)
Our model projects Deni Avdija for 8.0 rebounds for Portland, creating an edge of 7.3% on over 7.5 at +120 odds.
Shaedon Sharpe over 4.5 rebounds (+128)
- Edge: 7.2%
- Probability: 51.1%
- Projection: 4.7
- Game: Pistons vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET)
Our expert modelling projects Shaedon Sharpe for 4.7 rebounds, creating value on the over 4.5 line at +128 odds and a 7.2% edge.
Anthony Black over 1.5 steals (+138)
- Edge: 7.0%
- Probability: 49.0%
- Projection: 1.4
- Game: Magic vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)
A 7.0% edge on the over 4.5 steals line makes Anthony Black a value play in Magic vs. Warriors, with our model projecting him for 1.4 steals at +138 odds.
Cameron Johnson over 4.5 rebounds (+134)
- Edge: 6.4%
- Probability: 49.2%
- Projection: 4.3
- Game: Jazz vs. Nuggets (9:00PM ET)
Simulations project Cameron Johnson for 4.3 rebounds here, creating a 6.4% edge on the over 4.5 line at +134 odds.
NBA player prop summary: Monday, December 22, 2025
A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 12:02AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hornets vs. Cavaliers | Kon Knueppel over 3.5 3-pointers made | +130 @ FanDuel | 11.2% | 54.7% |
| Hornets vs. Cavaliers | Brandon Miller over 1.5 steals | +194 @ FanDuel | 10.4% | 44.4% |
| Hornets vs. Cavaliers | LaMelo Ball over 1.5 steals | +194 @ FanDuel | 8.4% | 50.4% |
| Jazz vs. Nuggets | Nikola Jokic over 1.5 steals | +138 @ FanDuel | 8.4% | 50.4% |
| Jazz vs. Nuggets | Jamal Murray over 1.5 steals | +162 @ FanDuel | 8.4% | 46.5% |
| Mavericks vs. Pelicans | Herbert Jones over 1.5 steals | +129 @ DraftKings | 7.4% | 51.1% |
| Pistons vs. Trail Blazers | Deni Avdija over 7.5 rebounds | +120 @ FanDuel | 7.3% | 52.7% |
| Pistons vs. Trail Blazers | Shaedon Sharpe over 4.5 rebounds | +128 @ FanDuel | 7.2% | 51.1% |
| Magic vs. Warriors | Anthony Black over 4.5 steals | +138 @ FanDuel | 7.0% | 49.0% |
| Jazz vs. Nuggets | Cameron Johnson over 4.5 rebounds | +134 @ FanDuel | 6.4% | 49.2% |
Conclusion
For December 22, 2025, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Kon Knueppel, Brandon Miller and LaMelo Ball. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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