NBA player props today: Monday's best props include Joel Embiid [4/6/2026]

Joel Embiid over 4.5 assists (+108)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 54.1%
• Projection: 5.2
• Game: 76ers vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET)

Our model has found value on Philadelphia's Joel Embiid over 4.5 assists. A probability of 54.1% gives this play an edge of 6.0% at +108 odds.

Donovan Mitchell over 5.5 assists (+118)

• Edge: 6.5%
• Probability: 52.4%
• Projection: 5.9
• Game: Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM ET)

Donovan Mitchell’s assists prop shows a 6.5% edge at +118 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 5.9 assists on the over 5.5 line.

Jalen Brunson over 7.5 assists (+120)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 50.8%
• Projection: 7.6
• Game: Knicks vs. Hawks (7:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Jalen Brunson over 7.5 assists, with simulations showing a 50.8% probability and a 5.3% edge at +120.

Joel Embiid over 1.5 blocks (+194)

• Edge: 13.6%
• Probability: 47.6%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: 76ers vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET)

Our model projects Joel Embiid to put up 1.2 blocks today, creating an edge of 13.6% on the over 1.5 line at +194 odds.

OG Anunoby over 1.5 steals (+148)

• Edge: 7.0%
• Probability: 47.3%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Knicks vs. Hawks (7:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on OG Anunoby over 1.5 steals for New York, showing an edge of 7.0% at +148 odds.

Nikola Jokic over 1.5 steals (+138)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 47.3%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets (9:00PM ET)

Nikola Jokic’s steals prop shows an edge of 5.3% at +138 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.3 today.

Donovan Mitchell over 1.5 steals (+140)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 47.2%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM ET)

Our model projects Donovan Mitchell for 1.3 steals for Cleveland, creating an edge of 5.6% on over 1.5 at +140 odds.

VJ Edgecombe over 1.5 steals (+152)

• Edge: 6.4%
• Probability: 46.1%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: 76ers vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects VJ Edgecombe for 1.2 steals, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +152 odds and a 6.4% edge.

Desmond Bane over 1.5 steals (+168)

• Edge: 8.4%
• Probability: 45.7%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Pistons vs. Magic (7:00PM ET)

An 8.4% edge on the over 1.5 steals line makes Desmond Bane a value play in Pistons vs. Magic, with our model projecting him for 1.2 steals at +168 odds.

Jalen Johnson over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 9.3%
• Probability: 45.3%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Knicks vs. Hawks (7:00PM ET)

Simulations project Jalen Johnson for 1.2 steals here, creating a 9.3% edge on the over 1.5 line at +178 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Monday, April 6, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 8:52AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
76ers vs. Spurs	Joel Embiid over 4.5 assists	+108 @ FanDuel	6.0%	54.1%
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies	Donovan Mitchell over 5.5 assists	+118 @ FanDuel	6.5%	52.4%
Knicks vs. Hawks	Jalen Brunson over 7.5 assists	+120 @ FanDuel	13.6%	47.6%
76ers vs. Spurs	Joel Embiid over 1.5 blocks	+194 @ FanDuel	13.6%	47.6%
Knicks vs. Hawks	OG Anunoby over 1.5 steals	+148 @ FanDuel	7.0%	47.3%
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets	Nikola Jokic over 1.5 steals	+138 @ FanDuel	5.3%	47.3%
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies	Donovan Mitchell over 1.5 steals	+140 @ FanDuel	5.6%	47.2%
76ers vs. Spurs	VJ Edgecombe over 1.5 steals	+152 @ DraftKings	6.4%	46.1%
Pistons vs. Magic	Desmond Bane over 1.5 steals	+168 @ DraftKings	8.4%	45.7%
Knicks vs. Hawks	Jalen Johnson over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	9.3%	45.3%

Conclusion

For April 6, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Joel Embiid, Donovan Mitchell and Jalen Brunson. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.