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NBA player props today: MLK Day best props include Moses Moody [1/19/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get NBA player props today with projections for Monday's games.
Dimers' NBA props are live for MLK Day, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Moses Moody, De'Aaron Fox and James Harden.
Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Bucks vs. Hawks and Thunder vs. Cavaliers, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.
List of NBA prop picks for Monday, 1/19
Below are the top 6 NBA player props for January 19, ranked by edge.
Moses Moody over 2.5 3-pointers made (+130)
- Edge: 8.9%
- Probability: 52.3%
- Projection: 2.7
- Game: Heat vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on Golden State's Moses Moody over 2.5 3-pointers made. A probability of 52.3% gives this play an edge of 8.9% at +130 odds.
De'Aaron Fox over 4.5 rebounds (+128)
- Edge: 5.6%
- Probability: 49.5%
- Projection: 4.4
- Game: Jazz vs. Spurs (5:00PM ET)
De'Aaron Fox’s rebounds prop shows a 5.6% edge at +128 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 4.4 rebounds on the over 4.5 line.
James Harden over 9.5 assists (+118)
- Edge: 5.0%
- Probability: 50.9%
- Projection: 9.7
- Game: Clippers vs. Wizards (3:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on James Harden over 9.5 assists, with simulations showing a 50.9% probability and a 5.0% edge at +118.
Giannis Antetokounmpo to score first basket (+500)
- Edge: 4.2%
- Probability: 20.9%
- Game: Bucks vs. Hawks (1:00PM ET)
Our model finds value on Giannis Antetokounmpo to score first basket, with a 20.9% probability and an edge of 4.2% at +500 odds.
Donovan Mitchell to score first basket (+600)
- Edge: 0.9%
- Probability: 15.2%
- Game: Thunder vs. Cavaliers (2:30PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Donovan Mitchell to score first basket for Cleveland, showing an edge of 0.9% at +600 odds.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to score first basket (+490)
- Edge: 0.5%
- Probability: 17.5%
- Game: Thunder vs. Cavaliers (2:30PM ET)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s to score first basket prop shows an edge of 0.5% at +490 odds, supported by a 17.5% probability according to our model.
NBA player prop summary: Monday, January 19, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 3:22AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat vs. Warriors | Moses Moody over 2.5 3-pointers made | +130 @ DraftKings | 8.9% | 52.3% |
| Jazz vs. Spurs | De'Aaron Fox over 4.5 rebounds | +128 @ DraftKings | 5.6% | 49.5% |
| Clippers vs. Wizards | James Harden over 9.5 assists | +118 @ FanDuel | 4.2% | 20.9% |
| Bucks vs. Hawks | Giannis Antetokounmpo to score first basket | +500 @ FanDuel | 4.2% | 20.9% |
| Thunder vs. Cavaliers | Donovan Mitchell to score first basket | +600 @ FanDuel | 0.9% | 15.2% |
| Thunder vs. Cavaliers | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to score first basket | +490 @ FanDuel | 0.5% | 17.5% |
Conclusion
For January 19, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Moses Moody, De'Aaron Fox and James Harden. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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