Jazz vs. Spurs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Jazz vs. Spurs NBA game on January 19, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Jazz
110
123
Frost Bank Center
Spurs
Frost Bank Center
TEAM1234T
Jazz
26 31 23 30 110
Spurs
34 27 35 27 123
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Jazz
    <1%
  • Spurs
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Jazz
26 31 23 30 110
Spurs
34 27 35 27 123
Q4 1:01 Jazz makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:21 Jazz makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:29 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:45 Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:23 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:39 Jazz makes three point jump shot
Q4 3:03 Jazz misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:22 Jazz makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:24 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 4:00 Jazz misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:42
    Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
  2. Q4 00:44
    Jazz personal foul
  3. Q4 00:44
    Kelly Olynyk misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  4. Q4 00:44
    Spurs offensive rebound
  5. Q4 00:44
    Kelly Olynyk misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  6. Q4 1:01
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    110-123
  7. Q4 1:09
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  8. Q4 1:21
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    108-123
  9. Q4 1:21
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  10. Q4 1:21
    Spurs lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Jordan McLaughlin, Dylan Harper, Lindy Waters III, Carter Bryant)
  11. Q4 1:21
    Jazz lineup change (Ace Bailey, Kyle Anderson, Taylor Hendricks, Cody Williams, Walter Clayton Jr.)
  12. Q4 1:21
    Spurs lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Jordan McLaughlin, Dylan Harper, Lindy Waters III, Carter Bryant)
  13. Q4 1:29
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  14. Q4 1:43
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  15. Q4 1:45
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  16. Q4 1:58
    Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  17. Q4 1:58
    Jazz lineup change (Ace Bailey, Taylor Hendricks, Kyle Filipowski, Cody Williams, Walter Clayton Jr.)
  18. Q4 2:13
    +1
    Kyle Filipowski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    105-120
  19. Q4 2:23
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    104-120
  20. Q4 2:39
    +3
    Jazz makes three point jump shot
    104-118
  21. Q4 2:46
    Spurs turnover
  22. Q4 2:54
    Jazz turnover
  23. Q4 3:00
    Kyle Filipowski offensive rebound
  24. Q4 3:03
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  25. Q4 3:10
    Jazz personal foul
  26. Q4 3:10
    +1
    Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    101-118
  27. Q4 3:22
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    101-117
  28. Q4 3:24
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    99-117
  29. Q4 3:50
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie)
  30. Q4 3:56
    Cody Williams offensive rebound
  31. Q4 4:00
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  32. Q4 4:09
    Spurs personal foul
  33. Q4 4:14
    Spurs personal foul
  34. Q4 4:14
    Instant replay
  35. Q4 4:17
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  36. Q4 4:40
    +3
    Jazz makes three point jump shot
    96-115
  37. Q4 4:55
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  38. Q4 5:12
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    93-115
  39. Q4 5:12
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  40. Q4 5:12
    Jazz lineup change (Keyonte George, Taylor Hendricks, Kyle Filipowski, Cody Williams, Walter Clayton Jr.)
  41. Q4 5:12
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie)
  42. Q4 5:50
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  43. Q4 6:12
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  44. Q4 6:46
    Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
  45. Q4 6:49
    Jazz personal foul
  46. Q4 6:49
    Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  47. Q4 6:49
    Spurs offensive rebound
  48. Q4 6:49
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie)
  49. Q4 7:11
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    89-112
  50. Q4 7:23
    +1
    Svi Mykhailiuk makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    88-109
  51. Q4 7:23
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie)
  52. Q4 8:00
    Jazz offensive rebound
  53. Q4 8:00
    Jazz turnover
  54. Q4 8:24
    Jazz personal foul
  55. Q4 8:24
    +1
    Carter Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    87-105
  56. Q4 8:47
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  57. Q4 8:54
    Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
  58. Q4 8:56
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  59. Q4 9:08
    Carter Bryant defensive rebound
  60. Q4 9:11
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  61. Q4 9:28
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    84-103
  62. Q4 9:28
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    84-104
  63. Q4 10:01
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  64. Q4 10:15
    Spurs personal foul
  65. Q4 10:54
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  66. Q4 11:12
    Jazz personal foul
  67. Q4 11:12
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    82-97
  68. Q4 11:25
    Jazz personal foul
  69. Q4 11:41
    Spurs turnover
  70. Q4 11:44
    Jazz turnover
  71. Q3 00:00
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  72. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  73. Q3 00:02
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    80-96
  74. Q3 00:22
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  75. Q3 00:25
    Kevin Love offensive rebound
  76. Q3 00:27
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  77. Q3 00:38
    Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
  78. Q3 00:39
    Kevin Love offensive rebound
  79. Q3 1:15
    +1
    Keyonte George makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    80-91
  80. Q3 1:36
    +1
    Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    78-91
  81. Q3 1:40
    Jazz turnover
  82. Q3 1:46
    Kyle Filipowski offensive rebound
  83. Q3 1:50
    Keyonte George misses two point jump shot
  84. Q3 1:54
    Keldon Johnson turnover (Isaiah Collier steals)
  85. Q3 2:02
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  86. Q3 2:24
    Keyonte George defensive rebound
  87. Q3 2:42
    Carter Bryant defensive rebound
  88. Q3 2:46
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  89. Q3 2:49
    Kevin Love offensive rebound
  90. Q3 2:57
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  91. Q3 2:59
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    78-89
  92. Q3 2:59
    Spurs turnover
  93. Q3 3:22
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    76-89
  94. Q3 3:31
    Kevin Love offensive rebound
  95. Q3 4:17
    Jazz personal foul
  96. Q3 4:17
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    73-85
  97. Q3 4:24
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    73-83
  98. Q3 4:54
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    71-83
  99. Q3 5:01
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  100. Q3 5:12
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  101. Q3 5:20
    Kevin Love defensive rebound
  102. Q3 5:40
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  103. Q3 5:40
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  104. Q3 5:40
    Spurs challenge timeout
  105. Q3 5:43
    Spurs turnover
  106. Q3 6:08
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Harrison Barnes)
  107. Q3 6:18
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    69-81
  108. Q3 6:30
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  109. Q3 6:46
    Spurs personal foul
  110. Q3 6:56
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  111. Q3 6:58
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  112. Q3 7:15
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    69-77
  113. Q3 7:15
    Jazz personal foul
  114. Q3 7:15
    Jazz lineup change (Keyonte George, Kyle Filipowski, Jusuf Nurkic, Walter Clayton Jr., Isaiah Collier)
  115. Q3 7:36
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    67-75
  116. Q3 7:45
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  117. Q3 8:06
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  118. Q3 8:31
    +3
    Jazz makes three point jump shot
    67-70
  119. Q3 8:50
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  120. Q3 9:15
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    61-70
  121. Q3 9:23
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  122. Q3 9:23
    Spurs offensive rebound
  123. Q3 9:40
    Jazz personal foul
  124. Q3 9:40
    Instant replay
  125. Q3 9:40
    Jazz 60 second timeout
  126. Q3 9:52
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    61-68
  127. Q3 9:52
    Victor Wembanyama misses two point layup
  128. Q3 9:52
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  129. Q3 10:11
    Spurs violation
  130. Q3 10:11
    Spurs personal foul
  131. Q3 10:18
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  132. Q3 10:20
    Cody Williams misses two point jump shot
  133. Q3 10:36
    Jazz personal foul
  134. Q3 10:52
    Keyonte George turnover (offensive foul)
  135. Q3 11:24
    +1
    Keyonte George makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    58-61
  136. Q3 11:24
    +1
    Keyonte George makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    59-61
  137. Q3 11:40
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  138. Q3 12:00
    Jazz lineup change (Ace Bailey, Keyonte George, Cody Williams, Jusuf Nurkic, Svi Mykhailiuk)
  139. Q2 00:06
    Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
  140. Q2 00:08
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  141. Q2 00:29
    +1
    Keyonte George makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    56-61
  142. Q2 00:29
    +1
    Keyonte George makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    57-61
  143. Q2 00:50
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    55-61
  144. Q2 1:00
    Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
  145. Q2 1:02
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  146. Q2 1:20
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    55-59
  147. Q2 1:31
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  148. Q2 2:00
    Cody Williams defensive rebound
  149. Q2 2:02
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  150. Q2 2:07
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  151. Q2 2:38
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    51-59
  152. Q2 2:44
    Jazz personal foul
  153. Q2 2:57
    Spurs personal foul
  154. Q2 2:57
    Spurs personal foul
  155. Q2 2:57
    +1
    Kyle Filipowski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    51-57
  156. Q2 2:57
    Jazz lineup change (Ace Bailey, Keyonte George, Kyle Filipowski, Walter Clayton Jr., Svi Mykhailiuk)
  157. Q2 2:59
    Cody Williams offensive rebound
  158. Q2 3:01
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  159. Q2 3:26
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  160. Q2 3:49
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    48-55
  161. Q2 4:02
    +1
    Keyonte George makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    48-53
  162. Q2 4:32
    +1
    Kyle Filipowski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    46-50
  163. Q2 4:32
    Kyle Filipowski misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  164. Q2 5:13
    +3
    Jazz makes three point jump shot
    45-48
  165. Q2 5:41
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    42-48
  166. Q2 5:42
    Jazz 60 second timeout
  167. Q2 5:42
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes, Julian Champagnie)
  168. Q2 5:54
    Jusuf Nurkic offensive rebound
  169. Q2 5:56
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  170. Q2 6:04
    Keyonte George defensive rebound
  171. Q2 6:16
    Spurs personal foul
  172. Q2 6:16
    Keyonte George misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  173. Q2 6:16
    Jazz offensive rebound
  174. Q2 6:16
    +1
    Keyonte George makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    42-46
  175. Q2 6:51
    Jazz lineup change (Ace Bailey, Keyonte George, Jusuf Nurkic, Walter Clayton Jr., Kevin Love)
  176. Q2 6:57
    Kevin Love defensive rebound
  177. Q2 6:59
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  178. Q2 7:26
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    41-43
  179. Q2 7:33
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  180. Q2 7:50
    Victor Wembanyama blocks Walter Clayton Jr.'s two point jump shot
  181. Q2 8:02
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    41-40
  182. Q2 8:20
    Spurs turnover
  183. Q2 8:33
    +3
    Ace Bailey makes three point jump shot
    41-38
  184. Q2 8:52
    Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
  185. Q2 8:56
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  186. Q2 9:22
    Ace Bailey defensive rebound
  187. Q2 9:38
    +1
    Kevin Love makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    34-38
  188. Q2 9:51
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    32-38
  189. Q2 9:55
    Kevin Love offensive rebound
  190. Q2 10:35
    +3
    Jazz makes three point jump shot
    30-36
  191. Q2 10:52
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  192. Q2 10:55
    Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
  193. Q2 11:15
    Jazz offensive rebound
  194. Q2 11:15
    +1
    Isaiah Collier makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    27-36
  195. Q2 11:27
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    26-36
  196. Q2 11:31
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  197. Q2 11:43
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  198. Q1 00:00
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  199. Q1 00:00
    Spurs offensive rebound
  200. Q2 12:00
    Jazz lineup change (Ace Bailey, Walter Clayton Jr., Isaiah Collier, Kevin Love, Svi Mykhailiuk)
  201. Q1 00:06
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    26-34
  202. Q1 00:29
    Kevin Love defensive rebound
  203. Q1 00:42
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  204. Q1 1:20
    Carter Bryant defensive rebound
  205. Q1 1:23
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  206. Q1 1:49
    Walter Clayton Jr. defensive rebound
  207. Q1 1:57
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  208. Q1 2:01
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  209. Q1 2:30
    Jazz turnover
  210. Q1 2:38
    Jazz personal foul
  211. Q1 2:38
    Jazz 60 second timeout
  212. Q1 2:38
    Jazz challenge timeout
  213. Q1 2:38
    Instant replay
  214. Q1 3:30
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    20-25
  215. Q1 3:51
    Kevin Love defensive rebound
  216. Q1 3:51
    Jazz 60 second timeout
  217. Q1 3:51
    Jazz lineup change (Keyonte George, Kyle Filipowski, Isaiah Collier, Kevin Love, Svi Mykhailiuk)
  218. Q1 3:58
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  219. Q1 4:01
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  220. Q1 4:29
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  221. Q1 4:46
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    18-23
  222. Q1 5:17
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    15-20
  223. Q1 5:21
    Luke Kornet defensive rebound
  224. Q1 5:35
    Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
  225. Q1 5:44
    Keyonte George defensive rebound
  226. Q1 6:04
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  227. Q1 6:04
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes, Julian Champagnie)
  228. Q1 6:04
    Jazz lineup change (Keyonte George, Kyle Filipowski, Cody Williams, Isaiah Collier, Kevin Love)
  229. Q1 6:16
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  230. Q1 6:49
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    13-15
  231. Q1 7:01
    Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
  232. Q1 7:14
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  233. Q1 7:54
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    10-13
  234. Q1 7:54
    Spurs personal foul
  235. Q1 7:54
    +1
    Keyonte George makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    11-13
  236. Q1 7:54
    Jazz lineup change (Ace Bailey, Keyonte George, Kyle Filipowski, Cody Williams, Svi Mykhailiuk)
  237. Q1 8:08
    Jazz turnover
  238. Q1 8:15
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    8-13
  239. Q1 8:48
    Jazz defensive rebound
  240. Q1 8:48
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  241. Q1 9:00
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  242. Q1 9:14
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    8-10
  243. Q1 9:40
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  244. Q1 9:44
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  245. Q1 10:05
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    5-7
  246. Q1 10:14
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  247. Q1 10:20
    Spurs personal foul
  248. Q1 10:35
    Jazz personal foul
  249. Q1 10:35
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    5-3
  250. Q1 10:58
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  251. Q1 11:02
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  252. Q1 11:09
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  253. Q1 11:26
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    2-2
  254. Q1 11:44
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    2-0
  255. Q1 12:00
    Jusuf Nurkic vs. Victor Wembanyama (Keyonte George gains possession)
  256. Q1 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, Julian Champagnie)
Box Score
Jazz
PosPlayerPts
Spurs
PosPlayerPts

Jazz vs. Spurs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Jazz vs. Spurs
  • Date: Monday, January 19, 2026
  • Time: 5:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Frost Bank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Spurs favored at -16.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 236.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Jazz +700, Spurs -950

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Jazz: 12%
  • Spurs: 88%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Jazz 111-125 Spurs.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Jazz a win probability of 12%, while the Spurs have a win probability of 88%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Jazz in the NBA game at Frost Bank Center on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Jazz vs. Spurs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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