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NBA player props today: Friday's best props include Anthony Black [12/26/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get NBA player props today with projections for Friday's games.
Dimers' NBA props are live for December 26, 2025, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Anthony Black, Brandon Ingram and Ausar Thompson.
Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Heat vs. Hawks and Suns vs. Pelicans, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.
List of NBA prop picks for Friday, 12/26
Below are the top ten NBA player props for December 26, ranked by edge.
Anthony Black over 4.5 rebounds (+130)
- Edge: 8.8%
- Probability: 52.3%
- Projection: 4.9
- Game: Hornets vs. Magic (7:00PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on Orlando's Anthony Black over 4.5 rebounds. A probability of 52.3% gives this play an edge of 8.8% at +130 odds.
Brandon Ingram over 4.5 assists (+126)
- Edge: 6.9%
- Probability: 51.1%
- Projection: 4.7
- Game: Raptors vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET)
Brandon Ingram’s assists prop shows a 6.9% edge at +126 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 4.7 assists on the over 4.5 line.
Ausar Thompson over 5.5 rebounds (+113)
- Edge: 6.9%
- Probability: 53.8%
- Projection: 6.2
- Game: Pistons vs. Jazz (9:30PM ET)
The data highlights value on Ausar Thompson over 5.5 rebounds, with simulations showing a 53.8% probability and a 6.9% edge at +113.
Jordan Poole over 2.5 3-pointers made (+124)
- Edge: 6.4%
- Probability: 51.1%
- Projection: 2.6
- Game: Suns vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET)
Our model projects Jordan Poole to record 2.6 3-pointers made today, creating an edge of 6.4% on the over 2.5 line at +124 odds.
Kel'el Ware under 11.5 rebounds (+100)
- Edge: 6.3%
- Probability: 56.3%
- Projection: 10.4
- Game: Heat vs. Hawks (7:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Kel'el Ware under 11.5 rebounds for Miami, showing an edge of 6.3% at +100 odds.
Anthony Black over 4.5 assists (+138)
- Edge: 6.0%
- Probability: 48.0%
- Projection: 4.1
- Game: Hornets vs. Magic (7:00PM ET)
Anthony Black’s assists prop shows an edge of 6.0% at +138 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 4.1 today.
Shaedon Sharpe To Score First Basket 4.5 to score first basket (+800)
- Edge: 5.9%
- Probability: 17.1%
- Game: Clippers vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Shaedon Sharpe To Score First Basket 4.5 to score first basket for Portland, with a 17.1% probability and a 5.9% edge at +800 odds.
Collin Gillespie over 4.5 rebounds (+132)
- Edge: 5.5%
- Probability: 48.6%
- Projection: 4.2
- Game: Suns vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET)
Our expert modelling projects Collin Gillespie for 4.2 rebounds, creating value on the over 4.5 line at +132 odds and a 5.5% edge.
Kon Knueppel over 7.5 rebounds (+120)
- Edge: 5.4%
- Probability: 50.8%
- Projection: 4.7
- Game: Hornets vs. Magic (7:00PM ET)
A 5.4% edge on the over 4.5 rebounds line makes Kon Knueppel a value play in Hornets vs. Magic, with our model projecting him for 4.7 rebounds at +120 odds.
Deni Avdija rebounds (+116)
- Edge: 5.3%
- Probability: 51.6%
- Projection: 7.8
- Game: Clippers vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET)
Simulations show value on Deni Avdija rebounds here, with a 51.6% probability and 5.3% edge at +116 odds.
NBA player prop summary: Friday, December 26, 2025
A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 2:02AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hornets vs. Magic | Anthony Black over 4.5 rebounds | +130 @ FanDuel | 8.8% | 52.3% |
| Raptors vs. Wizards | Brandon Ingram over 4.5 assists | +126 @ FanDuel | 6.9% | 51.1% |
| Pistons vs. Jazz | Ausar Thompson over 5.5 rebounds | +113 @ DraftKings | 6.4% | 51.1% |
| Suns vs. Pelicans | Jordan Poole over 2.5 3-pointers made | +124 @ DraftKings | 6.4% | 51.1% |
| Heat vs. Hawks | Kel'el Ware under 11.5 rebounds | +100 @ FanDuel | 6.3% | 56.3% |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Anthony Black over 4.5 assists | +138 @ FanDuel | 6.0% | 48.0% |
| Clippers vs. Trail Blazers | Shaedon Sharpe To Score First Basket 4.5 to score first basket | +800 @ FanDuel | 5.9% | 17.1% |
| Suns vs. Pelicans | Collin Gillespie over 4.5 rebounds | +132 @ FanDuel | 5.5% | 48.6% |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Kon Knueppel over 4.5 rebounds | +120 @ FanDuel | 5.4% | 50.8% |
| Clippers vs. Trail Blazers | Deni Avdija rebounds | +116 @ FanDuel | 5.3% | 51.6% |
Conclusion
For December 26, 2025, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Anthony Black, Brandon Ingram and Ausar Thompson. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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