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Bucks vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Bucks vs. Grizzlies NBA game on December 26, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
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NBA
Bucks
104
125
Dec 27, 1AM FedExForum
Grizzlies
Dec 27, 1AM FedExForum
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM12 3 4 T
Bucks
35 15 54 0 104
Grizzlies
25 35 65 0 125
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
BucksMIL
Win %
<1%
>99%
GrizzliesMEM
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Bucks
35 15 54 0 104
Grizzlies
25 35 65 0 125
Q4 00:00 Andre Jackson Jr. misses three point driving floating jump shot
Q4 00:30 Javon Small misses two point floating jump shot
Q4 1:00 Jaylen Wells misses two point tip layup
Q4 1:00 Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:03 Christian Koloko misses two point hook shot
Q4 1:12 Javon Small misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:34 Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:46 Cedric Coward makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Wells assists)
Q4 2:08 Amir Coffey makes two point pullup jump shot
Q4 2:25 Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:00
Andre Jackson Jr. misses three point driving floating jump shot
Q4 00:00
Bucks offensive rebound
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:02
Grizzlies turnover
Q4 00:26
Bucks turnover
Q4 00:28
Thanasis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Q4 00:30
Javon Small misses two point floating jump shot
Q4 00:51
Bucks turnover
Q4 1:00
Jaylen Wells misses two point tip layup
Q4 1:00
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
104-125
Q4 1:00
Cedric Coward offensive rebound
Q4 1:00
Jaylen Wells offensive rebound
Q4 1:03
Christian Koloko misses two point hook shot
Q4 1:10
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 1:10
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Q4 1:12
Javon Small misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:29
Andre Jackson Jr. turnover (traveling)
Q4 1:29
Grizzlies lineup change (Cedric Coward, Jaylen Wells, GG Jackson, Javon Small, Christian Koloko)
Q4 1:29
Cole Anthony offensive rebound
Q4 1:34
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:46
+3
Cedric Coward makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Wells assists)
104-123
Q4 2:08
+2
Amir Coffey makes two point pullup jump shot
104-125
Q4 2:22
Andre Jackson Jr. shooting foul (Cedric Coward draws the foul)
Q4 2:22
+1
Cedric Coward makes regular free throw 1 of 2
104-123
Q4 2:22
Cedric Coward offensive rebound
Q4 2:22
+1
Cedric Coward makes regular free throw 2 of 2
104-125
Q4 2:22
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Santi Aldama, Cedric Coward, Jaylen Wells, Javon Small)
Q4 2:25
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:02
+3
Andre Jackson Jr. makes three point pullup jump shot
104-125
Q4 3:26
AJ Green personal foul
Q4 3:26
+1
Jaylen Wells makes regular free throw 1 of 2
104-125
Q4 3:26
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Santi Aldama, Cedric Coward, Jaylen Wells, Ja Morant)
Q4 3:26
Bucks lineup change (Andre Jackson Jr., Pete Nance, Thanasis Antetokounmpo, Cole Anthony, Amir Coffey)
Q4 3:26
+1
Jaylen Wells makes regular free throw 2 of 2
104-125
Q4 3:34
Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
Q4 3:36
AJ Green misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
Q4 3:50
+3
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes three point jump shot (Cam Spencer assists)
104-125
Q4 3:56
Bucks turnover
Q4 4:05
Cam Spencer turnover (bad pass) (Myles Turner steals)
Q4 4:36
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
104-125
Q4 4:49
Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
Q4 4:51
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:55
Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
Q4 4:57
AJ Green misses three point pullup jump shot
Q4 5:17
Bucks 60 second timeout
Q4 5:17
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Myles Turner, Kevin Porter Jr., Ryan Rollins, Bobby Portis)
Q4 5:20
+3
Jaylen Wells makes three point jump shot (Cam Spencer assists)
104-125
Q4 5:24
Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
Q4 5:27
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:33
Grizzlies personal foul
Q4 5:47
+1
Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
104-125
Q4 5:47
Bucks personal foul
Q4 5:47
+1
Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 1 of 2
104-125
Q4 5:47
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Jaylen Wells, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cam Spencer, Christian Koloko)
Q4 5:56
+2
Kyle Kuzma makes two point tip layup
104-125
Q4 5:56
Kyle Kuzma offensive rebound
Q4 6:00
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:17
+3
Cam Spencer makes three point jump shot
104-125
Q4 6:18
Bucks personal foul
Q4 6:18
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, GG Jackson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cam Spencer, Christian Koloko)
Q4 6:18
+1
Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 1 of 1
104-125
Q4 6:42
+3
Kevin Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot
104-125
Q4 6:52
Kevin Porter Jr. offensive rebound
Q4 6:54
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:16
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
91-104
Q4 7:26
Bucks personal foul
Q4 7:26
+1
Cam Spencer makes technical free throw 1 of 1
91-102
Q4 7:35
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Q4 7:39
Grizzlies personal foul
Q4 7:39
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Q4 7:39
+1
Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
104-125
Q4 7:39
Bucks lineup change (Kyle Kuzma, AJ Green, Myles Turner, Kevin Porter Jr., Bobby Portis)
Q4 7:39
Kevin Porter Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q4 7:45
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (AJ Green steals)
Q4 7:50
Ja Morant defensive rebound
Q4 7:53
Christian Koloko blocks Kyle Kuzma's two point driving finger roll layup
Q4 8:00
Gary Harris defensive rebound
Q4 8:02
GG Jackson misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:18
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
104-125
Q4 8:28
Grizzlies personal foul
Q4 8:31
Grizzlies turnover
Q4 8:35
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Q4 8:37
Myles Turner misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
Q4 8:58
+2
Cam Spencer makes two point layup (Ja Morant assists)
104-125
Q4 9:08
Cedric Coward shooting foul (Gary Harris draws the foul)
Q4 9:08
+2
Gary Harris makes two point jump shot
104-125
Q4 9:08
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., GG Jackson, Cam Spencer, Christian Koloko, Ja Morant)
Q4 9:08
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cam Spencer, Christian Koloko, Ja Morant)
Q4 9:08
+1
Gary Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 1
104-125
Q4 9:12
Kyle Kuzma defensive rebound
Q4 9:15
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 9:22
Cedric Coward defensive rebound
Q4 9:24
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 9:35
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
104-125
Q4 9:41
AJ Green turnover (GG Jackson steals)
Q4 9:58
Bucks lineup change (Kyle Kuzma, AJ Green, Myles Turner, Kevin Porter Jr., Gary Harris)
Q4 9:58
Bucks 60 second timeout
Q4 10:00
+3
Cedric Coward makes three point jump shot
104-125
Q4 10:05
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Q4 10:08
Jericho Sims misses two point jump shot
Q4 10:15
Bucks offensive rebound
Q4 10:15
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 10:17
Santi Aldama blocks Kevin Porter Jr.'s two point driving layup
Q4 10:30
Ryan Rollins personal foul
Q4 10:30
+1
Ja Morant makes regular free throw 3 of 3
90-101
Q4 10:30
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Q4 10:30
Ja Morant misses regular free throw 1 of 3
Q4 10:30
+1
Ja Morant makes regular free throw 2 of 3
104-125
Q4 10:30
Bucks lineup change (Kyle Kuzma, AJ Green, Kevin Porter Jr., Gary Harris, Jericho Sims)
Q4 10:37
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 10:43
Gary Harris personal foul
Q4 10:43
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Q4 10:44
Jaren Jackson Jr. misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:54
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 11:10
+2
Ryan Rollins makes two point stepback jump shot
104-125
Q4 11:28
Bucks defensive rebound
Q4 11:28
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 11:32
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 11:47
Jericho Sims personal foul (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)
Q3 00:00
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q4 12:00
Bucks lineup change (Kyle Kuzma, AJ Green, Gary Harris, Jericho Sims, Ryan Rollins)
Q4 12:00
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Santi Aldama, Cedric Coward, GG Jackson, Ja Morant)
Q3 00:01
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Q3 00:03
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:21
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
104-125
Q3 00:35
Jericho Sims defensive rebound
Q3 00:38
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:48
Bucks turnover
Q3 00:51
Jericho Sims defensive rebound
Q3 00:55
Jaren Jackson Jr. misses two point driving bank hook shot
Q3 1:13
+2
Bobby Portis makes two point jump shot (Ryan Rollins assists)
104-125
Q3 1:32
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
104-125
Q3 1:53
+1
Kyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 2 of 2
78-90
Q3 1:53
+1
Kyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 1 of 2
104-125
Q3 1:53
Grizzlies personal foul
Q3 2:03
+2
GG Jackson makes two point jump shot (Cedric Coward assists)
85-92
Q3 2:03
Bucks personal foul
Q3 2:03
+1
GG Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
104-125
Q3 2:19
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
104-125
Q3 2:41
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
104-125
Q3 2:57
Ryan Rollins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q3 2:57
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope personal foul
Q3 2:57
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Q3 2:57
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Cedric Coward, GG Jackson, Cam Spencer, Christian Koloko)
Q3 2:57
Bucks lineup change (Kyle Kuzma, Gary Harris, Jericho Sims, Ryan Rollins, Bobby Portis)
Q3 2:57
Bucks offensive rebound
Q3 2:57
+1
Ryan Rollins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
104-125
Q3 3:03
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Q3 3:06
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q3 3:25
Cam Spencer defensive rebound
Q3 3:27
Ryan Rollins misses three point jump shot
Q3 3:36
Gary Harris offensive rebound
Q3 3:39
Christian Koloko blocks Ryan Rollins's two point driving finger roll layup
Q3 3:52
Bucks personal foul
Q3 3:52
+1
Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 1 of 2
104-125
Q3 3:52
+1
Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
104-125
Q3 4:00
Grizzlies personal foul
Q3 4:00
+1
Ryan Rollins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
104-125
Q3 4:00
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Gary Harris, Jericho Sims, Ryan Rollins, Bobby Portis)
Q3 4:00
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., GG Jackson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cam Spencer, Christian Koloko)
Q3 4:00
+1
Ryan Rollins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
104-125
Q3 4:05
Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
Q3 4:07
Cam Spencer misses three point running jump shot
Q3 4:10
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
Q3 4:13
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q3 4:18
Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
Q3 4:23
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:27
Bucks turnover
Q3 4:39
Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, GG Jackson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cam Spencer, Christian Koloko)
Q3 4:39
Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, GG Jackson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cam Spencer, Christian Koloko)
Q3 4:40
+1
Santi Aldama makes regular free throw 1 of 3
71-81
Q3 4:40
Jericho Sims shooting foul (Santi Aldama draws the foul)
Q3 4:40
+1
Santi Aldama makes regular free throw 2 of 3
71-80
Q3 4:40
+1
Santi Aldama makes regular free throw 3 of 3
71-83
Q3 4:40
Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, GG Jackson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cam Spencer, Christian Koloko)
Q3 4:58
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
71-80
Q3 5:06
Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 5:08
Cam Spencer misses three point pullup jump shot
Q3 5:17
Ryan Rollins personal foul (Cam Spencer draws the foul)
Q3 5:17
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Kevin Porter Jr., Jericho Sims, Ryan Rollins, Bobby Portis)
Q3 5:29
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
104-125
Q3 5:45
+2
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point driving floating jump shot (Cam Spencer assists)
71-83
Q3 5:51
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
104-125
Q3 5:53
Bobby Portis offensive rebound
Q3 5:55
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q3 6:05
Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 6:09
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q3 6:19
Myles Turner turnover (bad pass) (Cam Spencer steals)
Q3 6:41
+2
Christian Koloko makes two point jump shot (Jaylen Wells assists)
104-125
Q3 6:45
Bucks turnover
Q3 6:48
Bobby Portis offensive rebound
Q3 6:51
Christian Koloko shooting foul (Kevin Porter Jr. draws the foul)
Q3 6:51
+1
Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
104-125
Q3 6:51
Kevin Porter Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q3 6:51
Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Jaylen Wells, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cam Spencer, Christian Koloko)
Q3 6:56
Ja Morant turnover (lost ball) (Ryan Rollins steals)
Q3 7:14
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
104-125
Q3 7:27
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
104-125
Q3 7:27
Bucks 60 second timeout
Q3 7:27
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Myles Turner, Kevin Porter Jr., Ryan Rollins, Bobby Portis)
Q3 7:31
Ja Morant defensive rebound
Q3 7:33
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:47
+3
Jaylen Wells makes three point jump shot (Santi Aldama assists)
104-125
Q3 7:54
Myles Turner personal foul (Christian Koloko draws the foul)
Q3 8:01
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Q3 8:05
Kyle Kuzma misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:08
AJ Green offensive rebound
Q3 8:12
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q3 8:25
Kyle Kuzma shooting foul (Jaylen Wells draws the foul)
Q3 8:25
Jaylen Wells misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q3 8:25
Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Jaylen Wells, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Christian Koloko, Ja Morant)
Q3 8:25
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Q3 8:25
+1
Jaylen Wells makes regular free throw 2 of 2
104-125
Q3 8:27
Kevin Porter Jr. turnover (Jaylen Wells steals)
Q3 8:34
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Q3 8:38
Ja Morant misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:49
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Q3 8:53
Kyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:13
+2
Ja Morant makes two point running finger roll layup
61-69
Q3 9:13
AJ Green personal foul (Ja Morant draws the foul)
Q3 9:13
+1
Ja Morant makes regular free throw 1 of 1
104-125
Q3 9:14
Ja Morant defensive rebound
Q3 9:16
Myles Turner offensive rebound
Q3 9:16
Jaren Jackson Jr. blocks Myles Turner's two point putback layup
Q3 9:21
Kevin Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:34
Jaylen Wells turnover (traveling)
Q3 9:46
+3
AJ Green makes three point jump shot
71-83
Q3 10:05
+3
Cedric Coward makes three point jump shot (Ja Morant assists)
71-83
Q3 10:15
Jaren Jackson Jr. shooting foul (Kyle Kuzma draws the foul)
Q3 10:15
+2
Kyle Kuzma makes two point driving finger roll layup
71-83
Q3 10:15
+1
Kyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 1 of 1
71-83
Q3 10:25
+2
Ja Morant makes two point jump shot
55-64
Q3 10:38
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
71-83
Q3 10:41
Bobby Portis offensive rebound
Q3 10:45
Kyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:52
Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 10:54
Jaren Jackson Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q3 10:58
Kevin Porter Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Ja Morant steals)
Q3 11:21
+2
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot
71-83
Q3 11:36
+2
Kyle Kuzma makes two point tip layup
71-83
Q3 11:36
Kyle Kuzma offensive rebound
Q3 11:40
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:59
Bucks offensive rebound
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q2 00:00
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:00
Bucks offensive rebound
Q3 12:00
Bucks lineup change (Kyle Kuzma, AJ Green, Myles Turner, Kevin Porter Jr., Bobby Portis)
Q3 12:00
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Santi Aldama, Cedric Coward, Jaylen Wells, Ja Morant)
Q2 00:02
+2
Jaylen Wells makes two point cutting dunk (Ja Morant assists)
50-60
Q2 00:08
Cam Spencer defensive rebound
Q2 00:10
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:30
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Q2 00:33
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:45
Jericho Sims turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 00:45
Jericho Sims offensive foul (Jaylen Wells draws the foul)
Q2 00:55
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 00:57
Jericho Sims personal foul (Ja Morant draws the foul)
Q2 00:57
+1
Ja Morant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
50-60
Q2 00:57
+1
Ja Morant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
71-83
Q2 00:57
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Santi Aldama, Jaylen Wells, Cam Spencer, Ja Morant)
Q2 1:20
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
99-116
Q2 1:22
AJ Green offensive rebound
Q2 1:24
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:31
Jaylen Wells turnover (Bobby Portis steals)
Q2 1:50
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
85-92
Q2 1:53
Kyle Kuzma defensive rebound
Q2 1:57
Bobby Portis shooting foul (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)
Q2 1:57
+1
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
85-92
Q2 1:57
Bucks lineup change (Kyle Kuzma, AJ Green, Kevin Porter Jr., Jericho Sims, Bobby Portis)
Q2 1:57
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Santi Aldama, Cedric Coward, Jaylen Wells, Ja Morant)
Q2 1:57
Jaren Jackson Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 2:14
Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 2:17
Bobby Portis misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:39
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
71-83
Q2 3:01
Stoppage (Other)
Q2 3:04
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
85-92
Q2 3:17
Bobby Portis personal foul (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)
Q2 3:17
Ja Morant defensive rebound
Q2 3:17
+1
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
85-92
Q2 3:17
+1
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
85-92
Q2 3:18
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:31
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Q2 3:33
Cedric Coward misses two point pullup jump shot
Q2 3:37
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 3:48
Jaylen Wells personal foul (Kevin Porter Jr. draws the foul)
Q2 3:48
+1
Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
85-92
Q2 3:48
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Cedric Coward, Jaylen Wells, Christian Koloko, Ja Morant)
Q2 3:48
+1
Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
85-92
Q2 3:58
+3
Cam Spencer makes three point jump shot
41-51
Q2 4:06
Cam Spencer defensive rebound
Q2 4:09
AJ Green misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:27
Kyle Kuzma defensive rebound
Q2 4:30
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:46
Bucks turnover
Q2 4:55
Bucks personal foul
Q2 4:55
+1
Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 1 of 2
85-92
Q2 4:55
+1
Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
85-92
Q2 4:57
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Q2 4:57
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 4:58
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:10
Bucks personal foul
Q2 5:15
Ryan Rollins personal foul (Cam Spencer draws the foul)
Q2 5:15
Bucks lineup change (Kyle Kuzma, AJ Green, Myles Turner, Kevin Porter Jr., Bobby Portis)
Q2 5:24
Bucks turnover
Q2 5:43
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
71-83
Q2 5:55
Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Jaylen Wells, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cam Spencer, Christian Koloko)
Q2 5:55
Bucks turnover
Q2 6:01
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
78-90
Q2 6:12
Cam Spencer offensive rebound
Q2 6:18
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:27
Kyle Kuzma personal foul
Q2 6:34
Christian Koloko defensive rebound
Q2 6:36
Kyle Kuzma misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:52
+2
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point pullup jump shot (Cam Spencer assists)
71-83
Q2 7:03
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Q2 7:05
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Q2 7:05
Instant replay (Challenge)
Q2 7:05
Ja Morant shooting foul (Kyle Kuzma draws the foul)
Q2 7:05
Kyle Kuzma misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 7:05
+1
Kyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 1 of 2
41-39
Q2 7:05
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, GG Jackson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cam Spencer, Christian Koloko)
Q2 7:17
Bucks lineup change (Kyle Kuzma, AJ Green, Kevin Porter Jr., Ryan Rollins, Bobby Portis)
Q2 7:17
GG Jackson personal foul (Kyle Kuzma draws the foul)
Q2 7:29
+2
Ja Morant makes two point driving layup
40-39
Q2 7:39
Bobby Portis turnover (lost ball) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)
Q2 7:59
+2
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point driving finger roll layup
40-37
Q2 8:02
Christian Koloko offensive rebound
Q2 8:06
GG Jackson misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:08
Cam Spencer offensive rebound
Q2 8:10
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point pullup jump shot
Q2 8:28
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Q2 8:35
Ja Morant shooting foul (Kyle Kuzma draws the foul)
Q2 8:35
+1
Kyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 1 of 2
40-35
Q2 8:35
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cam Spencer, Christian Koloko, Ja Morant)
Q2 8:35
Kyle Kuzma misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 8:35
Bucks lineup change (Kyle Kuzma, AJ Green, Gary Harris, Ryan Rollins, Bobby Portis)
Q2 8:35
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cam Spencer, Christian Koloko, Ja Morant)
Q2 8:39
Santi Aldama turnover (lost ball) (Bobby Portis steals)
Q2 8:48
+2
Gary Harris makes two point driving finger roll layup (Bobby Portis assists)
39-35
Q2 9:02
+2
Ja Morant makes two point driving finger roll layup
37-35
Q2 9:09
Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 9:12
Ryan Rollins misses two point pullup jump shot
Q2 9:25
+2
Santi Aldama makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Ja Morant assists)
37-33
Q2 9:25
Bucks 60 second timeout
Q2 9:25
Bucks lineup change (Kyle Kuzma, Gary Harris, Jericho Sims, Ryan Rollins, Bobby Portis)
Q2 9:26
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Q2 9:30
Jaren Jackson Jr. blocks Myles Turner's two point cutting layup
Q2 9:49
+2
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes two point turnaround hook shot (Ja Morant assists)
37-31
Q2 9:58
+2
Ryan Rollins makes two point stepback jump shot
37-29
Q2 10:08
Amir Coffey defensive rebound
Q2 10:10
GG Jackson misses two point turnaround hook shot
Q2 10:19
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Q2 10:22
GG Jackson blocks Ryan Rollins's two point driving finger roll layup
Q2 10:37
+2
Ja Morant makes two point running dunk (Cedric Coward assists)
35-29
Q2 10:42
Cedric Coward defensive rebound
Q2 10:45
Myles Turner misses three point jump shot
Q2 10:52
Jaren Jackson Jr. blocks Myles Turner's two point driving layup
Q2 10:52
Bucks offensive rebound
Q2 10:52
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 11:10
+2
Ja Morant makes two point running finger roll layup
35-27
Q2 11:15
Myles Turner turnover (lost ball) (Jaren Jackson Jr. steals)
Q2 11:18
Myles Turner offensive rebound
Q2 11:19
Myles Turner misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q2 11:42
Ja Morant turnover (bad pass) (Ryan Rollins steals)
Q2 11:42
GG Jackson personal foul (Ryan Rollins draws the foul)
Q2 11:47
Ryan Rollins turnover (bad pass) (GG Jackson steals)
Q1 00:00
Ryan Rollins misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q2 12:00
Start of 2nd Quarter
Q2 12:00
Bucks lineup change (Myles Turner, Gary Harris, Jericho Sims, Ryan Rollins, Amir Coffey)
Q2 12:00
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Santi Aldama, Cedric Coward, GG Jackson, Ja Morant)
Q2 12:00
Bucks lineup change (Gary Harris, Jericho Sims, Ryan Rollins, Amir Coffey, Bobby Portis)
Q1 11:49
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
Bucks
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
Grizzlies
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast

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Bucks vs. Grizzlies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Bucks vs. Grizzlies
  • Date: Friday, December 26, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: FedExForum

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Grizzlies favored at -5.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Bucks +165, Grizzlies -185

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Bucks: 31%
  • Grizzlies: 69%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Bucks 112-117 Grizzlies.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Bucks a win probability of 31%, while the Grizzlies have a win probability of 69%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Grizzlies are more likely to beat the Bucks in the NBA game at FedExForum on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Bucks vs. Grizzlies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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