NBA First Basket Predictions Today: Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game 5 [2024]

NBA First Basket Predictions Today: Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game 5 [2024]

Another action-packed day of NBA Playoffs basketball is on the menu, and we've run thousands of Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game 5 simulations to find the most reliable NBA first basket predictions and odds for Thursday, May 30, 2024.

Thursday's NBA Western Conference Finals Game 5 between the Wolves and Mavs is set to showcase players such as Anthony Edwards, Luka Doncic and Karl-Anthony Towns, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props are one of the more popular options for basketball bettors to wager on, and by using Thursday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an edge over other bettors.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on May 30.

For today's full list of NBA prop picks, sign up to Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: May 30, 2024

With Game 5 of the Western Conference finals between Minnesota and Dallas set to go down tonight, here is the probabiliy of each of the 10 expected starters opening the scoring.

Player (Team)First Basket Probability
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)13.4%
Luka Doncic (Mavericks)12.6%
Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves)11.9%
Daniel Gafford (Mavericks)11.0%
Kyrie Irving (Mavericks)10.6%
Jaden McDaniels (Timberwolves)9.2%
P.J. Washington (Mavericks)8.5%
Mike Conley (Timberwolves)8.2%
Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves)7.4%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket tonight is Anthony Edwards, with a probability of 13.4%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Luka Doncic, with a 12.6% probability, and Karl-Anthony Towns, with a 11.9% probability. Remember, although this list shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Thursday, it does not necessarily mean they are recommended bets according to DimersBOT.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to keep an eye on the best odds available.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game 5

Having simulated the outcome of today's Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game 5, our trusted predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has found the best NBA first basket betting picks for Thursday.

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1. P.J. Washington To Score First Basket (+1400)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Thursday, which is in the game between the Mavericks and Timberwolves. The bet is on P.J. Washington (DAL) at odds of +1400 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 1.9%.

2. Daniel Gafford To Score First Basket (+900)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today also comes in the Mavericks vs. Timberwolves game, where our model has found an edge of 1.1% on Daniel Gafford (DAL) at odds of +900 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: May 30, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for May 30, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks for Thursday, May 30, have been generated after thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket picks for your personal gambling, it's important that you practice responsible gambling and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More About NBA

This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.

For more NBA betting content we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news, the best NBA promos and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.

Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience as a sports and betting expert, serves as the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, where he steers the editorial and digital content strategy for leading platforms like, Stats Insider and Gambling Today. Specializing in soccer, Nick brings a global perspective to his coverage of the sport, including detailed analyses of MLS games. He also contributes to NHL content through game previews, best bets, and props, and lends his expertise to crafting NBA first basket betting content. 

With a robust background as a journalist and broadcaster, Nick has been a trusted voice on major networks and channels such as Fox Sports, WCBV-TV Boston, ESPN, ABC, and others. His profound understanding of sports and betting dynamics has made him a sought-after authority in the wagering and gambling industries.

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