NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Monday 5/29/2023

We have another action-packed day of NBA Playoffs ahead of us, and we've run thousands of Celtics vs. Heat Game 7 simulations to find the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Monday May 29, 2023.

NBA first basket props have become one of the most popular options for basketball bettors to wager on, and by using Monday's projections below, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.

The best sportsbooks throughout the nation offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our trusted machine learning and data, Dimers.com has been able to identify where to find the best value on Monday 5/29.

Monday's NBA Eastern Conference Finals Game 7 between the Celtics and Heat is set to showcase star players such as Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, and Jimmy Butler, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our supercomputer has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on May 29.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Best First Basket Picks Tonight - Celtics vs. Heat Game 7

Having simulated today's Celtics vs. Heat Game 7, our independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has discovered the best NBA first basket betting picks for Monday.

Caleb Martin To Score First Basket (+1100)

• Odds: +1100 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 10.4%
• Matchup: Heat vs. Celtics (8:30PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today, which is in the game between the Heat and Celtics. The bet is on Caleb Martin (MIA) at odds of +1100 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 2.1%.

The next two recommended bets are for Max Strus (1.3% edge) to score first in the Heat vs. Celtics game, and Gabe Vincent (0.2%) to score the first basket, also in the Heat-Celtics matchup.

Max Strus To Score First Basket (+1300)

• Odds: +1300 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 1.3%
• Probability: 8.5%
• Matchup: Heat vs. Celtics (8:30PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today also comes in the Heat vs. Celtics game, where our model has found an edge of 1.3% on Max Strus (MIA) at odds of +1300 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Gabe Vincent To Score First Basket (+1200)

• Odds: +1200 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 0.2%
• Probability: 7.9%
• Matchup: Heat vs. Celtics (8:30PM ET)

Our next best NBA first basket bet on Monday comes in the Heat vs. Celtics game, where our model has found an edge of 0.2% on Gabe Vincent (MIA) at odds of +1200 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Tonight's NBA First Basket Predictions - Monday May 29, 2023

In addition to presenting the best NBA first basket bets today, Dimers.com has also identified the most likely players to score the first basket in Game 7 of Celtics vs. Heat.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket today is Jayson Tatum, with a probability of 14.8%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Jaylen Brown, with a 13.8% probability, and Jimmy Butler, with a 11.8% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight - May 29, 2023

With Game 7 of the Eastern Conference finals between the Celtics and Heat set to go down tonight, we have determined the probabiliy of each of the 10 projected starters opening the scoring.

• Jayson Tatum (BOS): 14.8% probability
• Jaylen Brown (BOS): 13.8% probability
• Jimmy Butler (MIA): 11.8% probability
• Bam Adebayo (MIA): 11.4% probability
• Caleb Martin (MIA): 10.4% probability
• Derrick White (BOS): 9.1% probability
• Max Strus (MIA): 8.5% probability
• Gabe Vincent (MIA): 7.9% probability
• Marcus Smart (BOS): 7.7% probability
• Al Horford (BOS): 4.6% probability

Remember, although this list shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Monday, it does not always indicate they are suggested bets according to our predictive analytics model.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to look out for favorable odds.

MORE: NBA Props - Monday May 29, 2023

What Is an Edge in Betting?

The edge at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks - May 29, 2023

All of Dimers' NBA first basket predictions for Monday May 29 are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations per game, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket picks for your personal gambling, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More About NBA

Now you've got the 411 on today's NBA first basket predictions, check out the best betting coverage for all NBA games on our NBA Predictions page, where you can find probabilities and odds, as well as our best bets for each and every NBA matchup.