NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Monday 5/22/23

Another action-packed day of NBA Playoffs basketball is on the cards, and we've run thousands of Nuggets vs. Lakers Game 4 simulations to find the best NBA first basket predictions for you on Monday May 22, 2023.

NBA first basket props are one of the more popular options for NBA fans to bet on, and by using Monday's projections below, you can gain an edge over other bettors.

The best online sportsbooks across the country offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our state-of-the-art computer power and data, Dimers.com has identified where the best value can be found on Monday 5/22.

Monday's NBA Western Conference Finals Game 4 between the Nuggets and Lakers is set to showcase players such as Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, and LeBron James, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on May 22.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Best First Basket Picks Tonight - Nuggets vs. Lakers Game 4

After simulating today's Nuggets vs. Lakers Game 4, our trusted predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has generated the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Monday.

Rui Hachimura To Score First Basket (+1100)

• Odds: +1100 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 2.0%
• Probability: 10.4%
• Game: Nuggets vs. Lakers (8:30PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today, which is in the game between the Nuggets and Lakers. The bet is on Rui Hachimura (LAL) at odds of +1100 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 2.0%.

Jamal Murray To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 0.5%
• Probability: 13.9%
• Matchup: Nuggets vs. Lakers (8:30PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today also comes in the Nuggets vs. Lakers game, where our model has found an edge of 0.5% on Jamal Murray (DEN) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Tonight's NBA First Basket Predictions - Monday May 22, 2023

As well as providing you with the best NBA first basket bets today, we have also determined the most likely players to score the first basket in Game 4 of Nuggets vs. Lakers.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket tonight is Nikola Jokic, with a probability of 15.6%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Jamal Murray, with a 13.9% probability, and LeBron James, with a 13.0% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight - May 22, 2023

With Game 4 of the Western Conference finals between the Nuggets and Lakers on the slate for tonight, we have determined the probabiliy of each of the 10 expected starters scoring first.

• Nikola Jokic (DEN): 15.6% probability
• Jamal Murray (DEN): 13.9% probability
• LeBron James (LAL): 13.0% probability
• Anthony Davis (LAL): 12.2% probability
• Rui Hachimura (LAL): 10.4% probability
• Austin Reaves (LAL): 8.6% probability
• Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DEN): 6.9% probability
• Aaron Gordon (DEN): 6.2% probability
• Dennis Schroder (LAL): 5.8% probability

Keep in mind that this list only shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Monday, which does not always indicate that our model, DimersBOT, recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to keep an eye on the best odds available.

MORE: NBA Props - Monday May 22, 2023

What Is an Edge in Betting?

The edge at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks - May 22, 2023

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks and predictions for Monday May 22 have been made after 10,000 data-driven simulations per matchup, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket predictions for your personal gambling, it's crucial that you practice responsible gambling and manage your finances effectively.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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