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NBA First Basket Predictions for Game 4 Include Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Pascal Siakam [6/13/2025]

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Written by Damien Souness

Our expert analysis on Friday's NBA first basket market.

NBA First Basket Predictions Today.
The most likely NBA first basket scorers for Friday have been revealed.

This Friday, June 13th, it's time for an exciting day of NBA Finals action, with the Thunder taking on the Pacers Game 4 of the 2025 Finals at 8:30PM ET.

After scrutinizing Friday's NBA simulation results early this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our team of data analysts have announced their best first basket bet of the day.

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Additionally, this article reveals the NBA players our predictive analytics model has identified as having the highest probability of scoring the first basket in Friday's lone game.

Let's dive into today's NBA first basket news and updates.

NBA Players to Watch Today

Based on the most recent latest NBA Injury Report, Friday's NBA Finals Game 4 is set to feature star players such as Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Pascal Siakam and Tyrese Haliburton, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket in tonight's matchup.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight? [NBA Cheat Sheet for June 13, 2025]

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in Friday's clash is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, with a probability of 16.3%.

With Game 4 of the NBA Finals between OKC and Indiana scheduled for tonight, DimersBOT has provided the probabilities for each of the 10 likely starters to open the scoring:

Player (Team) First Basket Probability
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) 16.3%
Pascal Siakam (Pacers) 13.3%
Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers) 12.3%
Jalen Williams (Thunder) 11.9%
Chet Holmgren (Thunder) 11.5%
Myles Turner (Pacers) 8.9%
Aaron Nesmith (Pacers) 8.4%
Andrew Nembhard (Pacers) 7.0%
Luguentz Dort (Thunder) 5.3%
Cason Wallace (Thunder) 5.0%

Following Gilgeous-Alexander closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Pascal Siakam at 13.3% and Tyrese Haliburton at 12.3%.

Tyrese Haliburton celebrating a bucket.
Tyrese Haliburton is among the top contenders in the NBA to score the first basket in Game 4 of the 2025 Finals.

Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: NBA First Basket [NBA Finals Game 4]

After simulating the result of today's Thunder vs. Pacers Game 4, our predictive model has found the best NBA first basket betting pick for Friday.

For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.

Tyrese Haliburton To Score First Basket

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Game 4 between the Thunder and Pacers. The bet is on Tyrese Haliburton (IND) at odds of +1100 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 4.0% according to our analysis.

Our model not only highlights Haliburton for his 4.0% betting edge but also ranks him among the top three most first basket likely scorers for today's Thunder vs. Pacers game, as seen in the preceding list.

Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Friday's data-driven NBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.

For today's full list of NBA Finals prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

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NBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: June 13, 2025

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for June 13, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks and predictions for Friday, June 13, are the result of rigorous data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket predictions for your personal gambling, it's vital that you practice responsible gambling and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

More About NBA

This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.

For more NBA betting content, we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.

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Written by
Damien Souness
Chief Innovation Officer

Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.

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