NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today [Tuesday, 5/21/2024]

NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today [Tuesday, 5/21/2024]

We have another exciting day of NBA Playoffs ahead of us, and we've run thousands of Celtics vs. Pacers Game 1 simulations to find the most reliable NBA first basket picks and odds for Tuesday, May 21, 2024.

Tuesday's NBA Eastern Conference Finals Game 1 between the Celts and Pacers is set to feature star players such as Jaylen Brown, Tyrese Haliburton and Pascal Siakam, each with a high probability of opening the scoring when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props are one of the more popular options for NBA fans to bet on, and by using Tuesday's data-driven NBA predictions below, you can gain an edge over everyone else.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our predictive analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on May 21.

For today's full list of NBA prop picks, sign up to Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: May 21, 2024

With Game 1 of the Eastern Conference finals between Boston and Indiana scheduled tonight, here is the probabiliy of each of the 10 projected starters opening the scoring.

Player (Team) First Basket Probability
Jaylen Brown (Celtics) 15.0%
Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers) 12.3%
Pascal Siakam (Pacers) 12.2%
Jayson Tatum (Celtics) 11.1%
Derrick White (Celtics) 10.9%
Myles Turner (Pacers) 10.1%
Andrew Nembhard (Pacers) 9.0%
Al Horford (Celtics) 6.9%
Aaron Nesmith (Pacers) 6.4%
Jrue Holiday (Celtics) 6.1%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket tonight is Jaylen Brown, with a probability of 15.0%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Tyrese Haliburton, with a 12.3% probability, and Pascal Siakam, with a 12.2% probability. Keep in mind that this list only shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Tuesday, which does not always mean that our model recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to look out for the best odds available.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Celtics vs. Pacers Game 1

After simulating the result of today's Celtics vs. Pacers Game 1, our independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has generated the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Tuesday.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.

1. Tyrese Haliburton To Score First Basket (+1200)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Tuesday, which is in the game between the Pacers and Celtics. The bet is on Tyrese Haliburton (IND) at odds of +1200 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 4.6%.

The next two suggested bets are on Pascal Siakam and Derrick White to score the opening basket in Pacers vs. Celtics, which each providing an edge for bettors.

2. Pascal Siakam To Score First Basket (+850)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today also comes in the Pacers vs. Celtics game, where our model has found an edge of 1.7% on Pascal Siakam (IND) at odds of +850 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Tuesday's Best NBA Bets

3. Derrick White To Score First Basket (+950)

Our next NBA first basket bet on Tuesday comes in the Pacers vs. Celtics game, where our model has found an edge of 1.4% on Derrick White (BOS) at odds of +950 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Tuesday's NBA Prop Picks

Today's NBA Games

For more NBA picks and props, check out our full betting previews for each game on the Tuesday slate:

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: May 21, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for May 21, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket predictions for Tuesday, May 21, have been generated after rigorous data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket predictions for sports betting, it's important that you practice responsible gambling and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More on NBA

This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.

For more NBA betting content we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news, the best NBA promos and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.

Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience as a sports and betting expert, serves as the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, where he steers the editorial and digital content strategy for leading platforms like, Stats Insider and Gambling Today. Specializing in soccer, Nick brings a global perspective to his coverage of the sport, including detailed analyses of MLS games. He also contributes to NHL content through game previews, best bets, and props, and lends his expertise to crafting NBA first basket betting content. 

With a robust background as a journalist and broadcaster, Nick has been a trusted voice on major networks and channels such as Fox Sports, WCBV-TV Boston, ESPN, ABC, and others. His profound understanding of sports and betting dynamics has made him a sought-after authority in the wagering and gambling industries.

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