Bets 
Spurs vs. Knicks prediction: New York to win, Victor Wembanyama projected for big game in Game 4 of 2026 Finals
NBA
Spurs vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Spurs vs. Thunder NBA game on May 20, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
113
122
May 21, 12:30AM Paycom Center
May 21, 12:30AM Paycom Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spurs | 31 | 20 | 37 | 25 | 113 |
Thunder | 31 | 31 | 34 | 26 | 122 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spurs | 31 | 20 | 37 | 25 | 113 |
Thunder | 31 | 31 | 34 | 26 | 122 |
Q4 00:16 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:19 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:32 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:42 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:06 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:25 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:37 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:56 Spurs makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:12 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:29 Spurs misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
113-122
Spurs 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso)
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
113-120
Spurs turnover
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso)
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
113-118
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
111-118
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
108-118
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Thunder personal foul
Thunder defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
108-115
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
108-116
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Isaiah Hartenstein misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
Isaiah Hartenstein misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
108-114
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
105-114
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
105-112
Thunder personal foul
Keldon Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Spurs 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
103-112
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
103-110
Thunder turnover
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
100-110
Thunder defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
97-110
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 1 of 2
97-108
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Jordan McLaughlin, Stephon Castle, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama)
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 2 of 2
97-109
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jared McCain offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Spurs personal foul
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 1 of 2
97-106
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 2 of 2
97-107
Spurs lineup change (Jordan McLaughlin, Stephon Castle, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant)
Spurs personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
97-105
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
97-102
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jump ball. (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander gains possession)
Stephon Castle personal foul
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
97-99
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
94-99
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Thunder personal foul
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
92-99
Jared McCain offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
92-96
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jared McCain defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
90-96
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Ajay Mitchell, Jared McCain, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
88-96
Spurs turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
88-93
Spurs turnover
Spurs personal foul
Thunder turnover
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
88-91
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Julian Champagnie misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
85-91
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Jared McCain)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
84-91
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
82-91
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
82-89
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
79-89
Thunder personal foul
+1
Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
78-87
+1
Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
79-87
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Jordan McLaughlin, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
77-87
Spurs turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
77-85
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
77-83
+2
Chet Holmgren makes two point jump shot
75-82
Spurs personal foul
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 1
75-83
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
75-80
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
73-79
Spurs personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
73-80
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Thunder 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Devin Vassell, Carter Bryant)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jared McCain offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jared McCain defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
73-77
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
73-75
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
71-75
Spurs personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Alex Caruso)
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Alex Caruso)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
71-72
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
69-72
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Alex Caruso)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
69-69
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
66-69
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
66-66
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
63-66
Thunder 60 second timeout
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
61-66
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Jared McCain)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Victor Wembanyama makes three point jump shot
58-66
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
55-66
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
55-64
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Thunder turnover
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
53-64
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
51-64
End of 1st Half.
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Spurs personal foul
Harrison Barnes turnover (offensive foul)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Ajay Mitchell, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain)
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell, Carter Bryant)
Harrison Barnes offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
51-62
Thunder personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
50-60
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
51-60
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
49-60
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Spurs 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Spurs defensive rebound
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
48-58
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
49-58
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
47-58
Spurs turnover
Thunder personal foul
Thunder 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama)
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
47-56
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Luke Kornet)
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Jaylin Williams, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain)
Thunder turnover
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
47-54
Spurs personal foul
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
45-53
Spurs personal foul
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 1
45-54
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
45-51
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Luke Kornet, Devin Vassell)
Spurs turnover
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
43-51
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Julian Champagnie offensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Luke Kornet, Devin Vassell, Carter Bryant)
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Jaylin Williams, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Jared McCain)
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
43-48
Spurs 60 second timeout
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
41-48
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant)
Spurs turnover
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
41-46
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
41-43
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
38-43
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
39-43
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
37-43
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
35-43
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
35-41
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
33-40
Spurs personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
33-41
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
33-38
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
31-37
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
31-38
Spurs turnover
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
31-36
Spurs turnover
Thunder personal foul
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 1 of 2
31-32
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 2 of 2
31-33
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Jordan McLaughlin, Stephon Castle, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso)
Spurs personal foul
Victor Wembanyama turnover (offensive foul)
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso)
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Jordan McLaughlin, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain)
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant)
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Ajay Mitchell, Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain)
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Jordan McLaughlin, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama)
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso)
Spurs personal foul
+1
Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
31-30
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Jordan McLaughlin, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama)
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace)
+1
Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
31-31
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso)
Instant replay
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Jared McCain)
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie, Luke Kornet, Carter Bryant)
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Jordan McLaughlin, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama)
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Jared McCain)
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Jared McCain)
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Jordan McLaughlin, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama)
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
31-30
Jordan McLaughlin offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
28-30
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
28-28
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
25-28
Spurs turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Jared McCain)
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Jordan McLaughlin, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
25-25
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
25-22
Spurs turnover
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
25-20
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Jared McCain)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
23-20
Thunder turnover
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Jared McCain misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie, Luke Kornet, Carter Bryant)
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Alex Caruso)
+1
Jared McCain makes regular free throw 2 of 2
20-20
Jared McCain offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
20-19
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
18-19
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
18-16
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
18-14
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Luke Kornet makes two point jump shot
16-14
Thunder turnover
Stephon Castle offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
13-14
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Devin Vassell, Carter Bryant)
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Jaylin Williams, Jalen Williams, Luguentz Dort, Alex Caruso)
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
14-14
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort, Jared McCain, Alex Caruso)
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Stephon Castle offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
12-14
Thunder personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
11-11
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Devin Vassell)
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso)
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
12-11
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Jalen Williams, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
10-11
Spurs turnover
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Spurs 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Isaiah Hartenstein turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
10-9
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
8-9
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
8-7
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
5-7
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
5-5
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
2-5
Thunder personal foul
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
1-3
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
2-3
Spurs personal foul
Luguentz Dort misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
+1
Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 2 of 2
0-3
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+2
Luguentz Dort makes two point jump shot
0-2
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Start of 1st Quarter
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama)
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Hartenstein)
(Devin Vassell gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
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Spurs vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Spurs vs. Thunder
- Date: Wednesday, May 20, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Paycom Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Thunder favored at -9.5
- Total (Over/Under): 225.5
- Moneyline Odds: Spurs +315, Thunder -270
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Spurs: 25%
- Thunder: 75%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Spurs 104-112 Thunder.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Spurs a win probability of 25%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 75%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Spurs in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Spurs vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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