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Read Article Spurs vs. Thunder prediction: Oklahoma City favored to win Game 2 of WCF 2026
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Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder predictions for NBA Playoffs Wednesday.
The Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs will lock horns in Game 1 of the 2026 NBA Western Conference Finals at Paycom Center on Wednesday, with tipoff at 8:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of the Spurs vs. Thunder Game 2 matchup.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Thunder lineup will feature stars like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren, while the Spurs will be led by Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle and Dylan Harper.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Spurs vs. Thunder prediction: Who will win Game 2?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NBA Playoffs game between the Spurs and Thunder, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Thunder a 75% chance of defeating the Spurs in Game 2 of the series. Our predicted final score in Game 1 of the 2026 NBA Western Conference Finals has the Thunder winning 111-104.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Spurs and Thunder each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 214.5 points has a 52% chance of going over.
Spurs vs. Thunder Game 1 odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Spurs | Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +7.5 (-105) | -7.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +220 | -258 |
| Total | o214.5 (-105) | u214.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Spurs vs. Thunder picks and best bet for Game 2
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Spurs +7.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Thunder | -258 |
| Total | Over 214.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Wednesday, the top play to make on this game is Thunder to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Spurs vs. Thunder Game 2 player props
Betting on Spurs vs. Thunder NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Paycom Center.
Victor Wembanyama is expected to lead the Spurs with 28 points, 13 rebounds and 4 assists, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected to have 30 points, 4 rebounds and 7 assists for the Thunder.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Spurs prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Spurs are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Wembanyama | 28 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 61 |
| Stephon Castle | 18 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 42 |
| Dylan Harper | 15 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 33 |
| De'Aaron Fox | 14 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 30 |
| Devin Vassell | 14 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 28 |
Thunder prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Thunder:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Gilgeous-Alexander | 30 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 53 |
| Jalen Williams | 18 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 36 |
| Chet Holmgren | 15 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 34 |
| Ajay Mitchell | 12 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 26 |
| Alex Caruso | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22 |
Spurs vs. Thunder Game 2 updates and essential details
Wednesday's Game 2 between the Thunder and Spurs in the NBA Western Conference Finals is scheduled to start at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: San Antonio Spurs vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Date: Wednesday, May 20, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Paycom Center
- NBA Playoffs bracket: Updated NBA Playoffs bracket and schedule
The winner of the 2026 NBA Western Conference Finals will advance to the NBA Finals. Game 1 of the best-of-seven series between the Spurs and Thunder is at Oklahoma City's Paycom Center.
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Conclusion
We predict the Thunder, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat the Spurs in Game 1 of the 2026 Western Conference Finals.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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