Nationals @ Phillies: Predictions, picks and bets

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Written by Ryan Leaver
Nationals @ Phillies: Predictions, picks and bets

The Washington Nationals and Philadelphia Phillies kick off a four-game series today as the Phillies look to get up to .500 on the season.

The Phillies (14-15) are favorites for this one, with the Nationals (12-19) looking to snap a two-game losing streak.

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Will the Phillies claw their way to 15-15 or with the Nationals upset the home team?
MLB Bet Hub predictions below 👇

 
Dimers' predictions are based on 10,000 simulations of this particular matchup

 

Dimers' Suggested Plays

🔥 BEST: Phillies ML (-133*)
💪 Run line: Phillies -1.5
👇 Over/under: u10.5 total runs
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BEST: Moneyline

Phillies to win has a 57% probability

The Phillies are expected to start pitcher Spencer Howard in this one and our model likes what it sees. A 57% chance makes this the best play even at -133* odds.

Run line

Phillies -1.5 has a 1.5% edge

Some nice plus money on offer for this one. Our model says that the sportsbooks are underating the Phillies chances of covering, spotting a 1.5% edge for us to bet against the books.

Over/Under

Total runs u10.5 has a 51% probability

Our model sees the unders as slightly more likely than the overs for this game. If you can find some nice odds or a line that’s higher than 10.5, then this is a big time play.

Dimers' take-out

The Phillies will be keen to make their way to 15-15 as they look to keep up with the Marlins in the NL East. If you're keen to play, you can review the best legal online sportsbooks in your area, here.

 

🎾 Our picks for Day 1 of the US Open.

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🏀 Our picks for today's NBA playoffs.

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*odds are correct at time of publishing

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Sports Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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